Alarum Technologies Stock Forecast

Sell candidate since Nov 11, 2025 Loss -12.34%

The Alarum Technologies Ltd. stock price fell by -4.94% on the last day (Monday, 17th Nov 2025) from $13.15 to $12.50. It has now fallen 5 days in a row. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 4.25% from a day low at $12.47 to a day high of $13.00. The price has fallen in 8 of the last 10 days and is down by -23.08% for this period. Volume has increased on the last day by 42 thousand shares but on falling prices. This may be an early warning and the risk will be increased slightly over the next couple of days. In total, 64 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately $799.93 thousand.

The stock lies in the lower of a very wide and falling trend in the short term, and this may normally pose a very good buying opportunity. If the lower trend floor at $12.33 is broken, it will firstly indicate a stronger fall rate. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to fall -9.32% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $11.19 and $14.17 at the end of this 3-month period.

ALAR Signals & Forecast

There are few to no technical positive signals at the moment. The Alarum Technologies Ltd. stock holds sell signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a more negative forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general sell signal from the relation between the two signals where the long-term average is above the short-term average. On corrections up, there will be some resistance from the lines at $13.93 and $14.80. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Friday, September 19, 2025, and so far it has fallen -24.95%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Alarum Technologies Ltd. gained volume on the last day, but on falling prices. In technical terms, this is called divergence and may be an early warning. In some cases, increasing volume on falling prices may be considered positive, but that is mainly in typical "sell-offs".

Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Alarum Technologies Ltd. stock

There is no support from accumulated volume below today's level and given the right condition the stock may perform very badly in the next couple of days.

This stock has average movements during the day and with good trading volume, the risk is considered to be medium. During the last day, the stock moved $0.530 between high and low, or 4.25%. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 3.63%.

Alarum Technologies Ltd. is oversold on RSI14 (23). Some stock may drop long and hard while being oversold on RSI before turning, which increases the general risk.

Our recommended stop-loss: We hold a negative evaluation for this stock. No stop-loss is set.

Trading Expectations (ALAR) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Tuesday 18th

For the upcoming trading day on Tuesday, 18th we expect Alarum Technologies Ltd. to open at $12.66, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $12.10 and $12.90, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$0.796 (+/-6.58%) up or down from last closing price. If Alarum Technologies Ltd. takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 6.58% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.

With no support below and resistance from accumulated volume @ $13.69, some $1.19 (9.52%) from the current price of $12.50, our system finds the risk reward not very attractive.

Is Alarum Technologies Ltd. stock A Buy?

Alarum Technologies Ltd. holds several negative signals and is within a very wide and falling trend, so we believe it will still perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold a negative evaluation of this stock. Due to some small weaknesses in the technical picture we have downgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Sell to a Strong Sell candidate.

Current score: -7.479 Strong Sell Candidate Downgraded

Predicted Fair Opening Price

Predicted fair opening price on November 18, 2025 - $12.66 ( 1.25%).

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