- Lower volatility than the market (beta -0.71)
- +584.0% price growth over the last year
- High gross margin of 89.6%
Alumis Inc. Common Stock stock downgraded from Buy Candidate to Hold/Accumulate after Friday trading session
(Updated on Jul 31, 2026)
The Alumis Inc. Common Stock stock price fell by -2.42% on the last day (Friday, 31st Jul 2026) from $28.95 to $28.25. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 5.93% from a day low at $27.57 to a day high of $29.20. The price has fallen in 8 of the last 10 days and is down by -1.43% for this period. Volume has increased on the last day by 335 thousand shares but on falling prices. This may be an early warning and the risk will be increased slightly over the next couple of days. In total, 1 million shares were bought and sold for approximately $36.94 million.
The stock lies in the middle of a very wide and strong rising trend in the short term and a further rise within the trend is signaled. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to rise 29.55% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $30.38 and $41.75 at the end of this 3-month period.
ALMS Signals & Forecast
There are mixed signals in the stock today. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Thursday, July 09, 2026, and so far it has fallen -6.77%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume rose on falling prices yesterday. This may be an early warning and the stock should be followed more closely. The Alumis Inc. Common Stock stock holds buy signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a positive forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general buy signal from the relation between the two signals where the short-term average is above the long-term average. On corrections down, there will be some support from the lines at $27.71 and $26.76. A breakdown below any of these levels will issue sell signals.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Alumis Inc. Common Stock stock
Alumis Inc. Common Stock finds support from accumulated volume at $28.14 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
This stock has average movements during the day and with good trading volume, the risk is considered to be medium. During the last day, the stock moved $1.64 between high and low, or 5.93%. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 7.14%.
Our recommended stop-loss: $27.25 (-3.54%) (This stock has medium daily movements and this gives medium risk. There is a sell signal from a pivot top found 16 days ago.)
Trading Expectations (ALMS) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Monday 3rd
For the upcoming trading day on Monday, 3rd we expect Alumis Inc. Common Stock to open at $28.34, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $27.34 and $29.16, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$1.82 (+/-6.66%) up or down from last closing price. If Alumis Inc. Common Stock takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 6.66% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the support from accumulated volume at $28.14 (0.39%) than the resistance at $28.81 (1.98%), our systems sees the trading risk/reward intra-day as attractive and believe profit can be made before the stock reaches first resistance..
Is Alumis Inc. Common Stock stock A Buy?
Alumis Inc. Common Stock holds several positive signals, but we still don't find these to be enough for a buy candidate. At the current level, it should be considered as a hold candidate (hold or accumulate) in this position whilst awaiting further development. Due to some small weaknesses in the technical picture we have downgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Buy to a Hold candidate.
Current score:
0.897
Hold/Accumulate
Downgraded
Predicted Fair Opening Price
Predicted fair opening price on August 3, 2026 - $28.34 ( 0.313%).
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ALMS Performance
Trading levels for ALMS
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |
|---|---|---|
| R3 | 29.97 | 6.10% |
| R2 | 29.35 | 3.89% |
| R1 | 28.96 | 2.52% |
| Price | 28.25 | |
| S1 | 27.71 | -1.90% |
| S2 | 27.33 | -3.26% |
| S3 | 26.70 | -5.47% |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |
|---|---|---|
| R3 | 29.74 | 5.27% |
| R2 | 29.27 | 3.61% |
| R1 | 28.81 | 1.98% |
| Price | 28.25 | |
| S1 | 28.14 | -0.389% |
| S2 | 26.40 | -6.55% |
| S3 | 24.15 | -14.51% |
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