Arch Coal Stock Forecast
Red day on Friday for Arch Coal stock after losing 0.611%
(Updated on Apr 26, 2024)
The Arch Coal stock price fell by -0.611% on the last day (Friday, 26th Apr 2024) from $165.43 to $164.42. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 3.19% from a day low at $163.21 to a day high of $168.41. The price has been going up and down for this period, and there has been a 4.81% gain for the last 2 weeks. Volume fell on the last day along with the stock, which is actually a good sign as volume should follow the stock. On the last day, the trading volume fell by -188 thousand shares and in total, 361 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately $59.28 million.
The stock lies in the middle of a wide and falling trend in the short term and further fall within the trend is signaled. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to fall -8.57% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $133.20 and $160.30 at the end of this 3-month period. Do note, that if the stock price manages to stay at current levels or higher, our prediction target will start to change positively over the next few days as the conditions for the current predictions will be broken.
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ARCH Signals & Forecast
The Arch Coal stock holds buy signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a positive forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general buy signal from the relation between the two signals where the short-term average is above the long-term average. On corrections down, there will be some support from the lines at $161.89 and $161.84. A breakdown below any of these levels will issue sell signals. A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Friday, April 05, 2024, and so far it has risen 7.79%. Further rise is indicated until a new top pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. Volume fell together with the price during the last trading day and this reduces the overall risk as volume should follow the price movements.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Arch Coal stock
Arch Coal finds support from accumulated volume at $162.03 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
This stock is usually traded at a good volume, and with minor daily changes, the risk is considered to be low. During the last day, the stock moved $5.20 (3.19%) between high and low. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 3.54%.
Our recommended stop-loss: $156.33 (-4.92%) (This stock has low daily movements and this gives low risk. There is a buy signal from a pivot bottom found 15 days ago.)
Trading Expectations (ARCH) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Monday 29th
For the upcoming trading day on Monday, 29th we expect Arch Coal Inc. to open at $165.35, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $158.89 and $169.95, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$5.53 (+/-3.36%) up or down from last closing price. If Arch Coal Inc. takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 6.72% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at $166.67 (1.37%) than the support at $162.03 (1.45%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.
Is Arch Coal Inc. stock A Buy?
Several short-term signals are positive, despite the stock being in a falling trend, we conclude that the current level may hold a buying opportunity as there is a fair chance for stock to perform well in the short-term.
Current score: 1.655 Buy Candidate Unchanged
Predicted Opening Price for Arch Coal Inc. of Monday, April 29, 2024
| Fair opening price April 29, 2024 | Current price |
|---|---|
| $165.35 ( 0.564%) | $164.42 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for ARCH
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 170.55 | 3.73 % | |
| R2 | 168.56 | 2.52 % | ||
| R1 | 167.33 | 1.77 % | ||
| Current price: | 164.42 | |||
| Support | S1 | 163.36 | -0.645 % | |
| S2 | 162.13 | -1.39 % | ||
| S3 | 160.15 | -2.60 % |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 178.18 | 8.37 % | |
| R2 | 168.57 | 2.52 % | ||
| R1 | 166.67 | 1.37 % | ||
| Current price | 164.42 | |||
| Support | S1 | 162.03 | -1.45% | |
| S2 | 161.00 | -2.08% | ||
| S3 | 158.13 | -3.83% |
ARCH Dividend Payout History
| # | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Feb 28, 2024 | Feb 28, 2024 | Mar 15, 2024 | $0.250 | 0.155% |
| 2 | Nov 29, 2023 | Nov 29, 2023 | Dec 15, 2023 | $0.88 | 0.557% |
| 3 | Jul 27, 2023 | Aug 30, 2023 | Sep 15, 2023 | $1.00 | 0.625% |
| 4 | Apr 27, 2023 | May 30, 2023 | Sep 15, 2023 | $2.45 | 1.53% |
| 5 | Feb 16, 2023 | Feb 27, 2023 | Mar 15, 2023 | $3.11 | 2.31% |
FAQ
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