Auburn National Bancorporation Stock Forecast
Auburn National Bancorporation stock downgraded from Sell Candidate to Strong Sell Candidate after Friday trading session.
(Updated on Apr 19, 2024)
The Auburn National Bancorporation stock price fell by -0.94% on the last day (Friday, 19th Apr 2024) from $17.00 to $16.84. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 5.26% from a day low at $16.84 to a day high of $17.73. The price has fallen in 8 of the last 10 days and is down by -11.83% for this period. Volume has increased on the last day by 4 thousand shares but on falling prices. This may be an early warning and the risk will be increased slightly over the next couple of days. In total, 10 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately $165.49 thousand.
The stock has broken the falling short-term trend down. Firstly a stronger fallrate is indicated, but false breaks and "sell-off" may occur. However, a further fall is realistic and any reactions back to the breaking point ($17.43) are considered to be a "second chance" to get out. According to the fan-theory $15.72 will represent the new bottom line of the next trend, but it is far too early to say this for certain.
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AUBN Signals & Forecast
There are few to no technical positive signals at the moment. The Auburn National Bancorporation stock holds sell signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a more negative forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general sell signal from the relation between the two signals where the long-term average is above the short-term average. On corrections up, there will be some resistance from the lines at $17.30 and $19.04. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Wednesday, February 28, 2024, and so far it has fallen -20.34%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Auburn National Bancorporation gained volume on the last day, but on falling prices. In technical terms, this is called divergence and may be an early warning. In some cases, increasing volume on falling prices may be considered positive, but that is mainly in typical "sell-offs".
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Auburn National Bancorporation stock
There is no support from accumulated volume below today's level and given the right condition the stock may perform very badly in the next couple of days.
This stock has average movements during the day and with good trading volume, the risk is considered to be medium. During the last day, the stock moved $0.89 between high and low, or 5.26%. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 2.99%.
Auburn National Bancorporation is oversold on RSI14 (12). Some stocks may fall long and hard while being oversold on RSI, but stocks that are heavily oversold on RSI often pose good re-bounce chance and played well it can be a buy candidate.
Our recommended stop-loss: We hold a negative evaluation for this stock. No stop-loss is set.
Trading Expectations (AUBN) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Monday 22nd
For the upcoming trading day on Monday, 22nd we expect Auburn National Bancorporation to open at $17.14, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $16.35 and $17.33, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$0.491 (+/-2.92%) up or down from last closing price. If Auburn National Bancorporation takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 5.83% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
With no support below and resistance from accumulated volume @ $17.75, some $0.91 (5.40%) from the current price of $16.84, our system finds the risk reward not very attractive.
Earnings coming up
Auburn National Bancorporation will release earnings BMO on Tuesday, April 23, 2024. We will update the financials statements for Auburn National Bancorporation, that can be found here as soon as the records are public. Our systems has calculated a possible swing of +/- 2.26% in the first trading day after earnings release.
Is Auburn National Bancorporation stock A Buy?
Auburn National Bancorporation holds several negative signals and is within a falling trend, so we believe it will still perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold a negative evaluation of this stock. Due to some small weaknesses in the technical picture we have downgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Sell to a Strong Sell candidate.
Current score: -6.248 Strong Sell Candidate Downgraded
Predicted Opening Price for Auburn National Bancorporation of Monday, April 22, 2024
Fair opening price April 22, 2024 | Current price |
---|---|
$17.14 ( 1.75%) | $16.84 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for AUBN
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
Level | Price | |||
---|---|---|---|---|
Resistance | R3 | 18.02 | 7.01 % | |
R2 | 17.68 | 5.00 % | ||
R1 | 17.47 | 3.76 % | ||
Current price: | 16.84 | |||
Support | S1 | 16.80 | -0.256 % | |
S2 | 16.59 | -1.50 % | ||
S3 | 16.25 | -3.50 % |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
Level | Price | |||
---|---|---|---|---|
Resistance | R3 | 19.79 | 17.52 % | |
R2 | 18.20 | 8.08 % | ||
R1 | 17.75 | 5.40 % | ||
Current price | 16.84 | |||
Support | S1 | 0 | . | |
S2 | 0 | . | ||
S3 | 0 | . |
AUBN Dividend Payout History
# | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Feb 13, 2024 | Mar 07, 2024 | Mar 25, 2024 | $0.270 | 1.40% |
2 | Nov 14, 2023 | Dec 07, 2023 | Dec 26, 2023 | $0.270 | 1.31% |
3 | Aug 08, 2023 | Sep 07, 2023 | Sep 25, 2023 | $0.270 | 1.23% |
4 | May 09, 2023 | Jun 08, 2023 | Jun 26, 2023 | $0.270 | 1.31% |
5 | Feb 14, 2023 | Mar 09, 2023 | Mar 27, 2023 | $0.270 | 1.16% |
FAQ
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