AvalonBay Communities Inc Stock Forecast
AvalonBay Communities Inc stock price ended at $182.02 on Thursday, after gaining 0.591%.
(Updated on Apr 18, 2024)
The AvalonBay Communities Inc stock price gained 0.591% on the last trading day (Thursday, 18th Apr 2024), rising from $180.95 to $182.02. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 1.45% from a day low at $180.17 to a day high of $182.79. The price has been going up and down for this period, and there has been a 1.03% gain for the last 2 weeks. Volume fell on the last day by -85 thousand shares and in total, 623 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately $113.33 million. You should take into consideration that falling volume on higher prices causes divergence and may be an early warning about possible changes over the next couple of days.
The stock lies in the middle of a weak rising trend in the short term and a further rise within the trend is signaled. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to rise 5.11% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $186.66 and $199.60 at the end of this 3-month period.
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AVB Signals & Forecast
Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume fell during the last trading day despite gaining prices. This causes a divergence between volume and price and it may be an early warning. The stock should be watched closely. Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. The AvalonBay Communities Inc stock holds sell signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a more negative forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general sell signal from the relation between the two signals where the long-term average is above the short-term average. On corrections up, there will be some resistance from the lines at $182.64 and $183.02. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Tuesday, April 09, 2024, and so far it has fallen -3.62%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. The stock had a Golden Star Signal on Wednesday, February 28, 2024 in the short-term chart.
Golden Star Signal is when the short-term moving average, the long-term moving average, and price line meet in a special combination. This combination is very rare and often followed by long and strong gains for the stock in question.
Golden Star
The stock had a Golden Star Signal on Wednesday, February 28, 2024 in the short-term chart.Golden Star Signal is when the short-term moving average, the long-term moving average, and price line meet in a special combination. This combination is very rare and often followed by long and strong gains for the stock in question.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for AvalonBay Communities Inc stock
AvalonBay Communities Inc finds support from accumulated volume at $178.15 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
In general the stock tends to have very controlled movements and with good liquidity the risk is considered very low in this stock. During the last day, the stock moved $2.62 between high and low, or 1.45%. For the last week the stock has had daily average volatility of 1.97%.
Our recommended stop-loss: We hold a negative evaluation for this stock. No stop-loss is set.
Trading Expectations (AVB) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Friday 19th
For the upcoming trading day on Friday, 19th we expect AvalonBay Communities Inc to open at $181.66, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $178.52 and $185.52, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$3.50 (+/-1.92%) up or down from last closing price. If AvalonBay Communities Inc takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 3.85% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at $183.69 (0.92%) than the support at $178.15 (2.13%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.
Earnings coming up
AvalonBay Communities Inc will release earnings AMC on Thursday, April 25, 2024.The consensus among the analysts for the expected earnings (EPS) is $2.64. We will update the financials statements for AvalonBay Communities Inc, that can be found here as soon as the records are public. Our systems has calculated a possible swing of +/- 2.34% in the first trading day after earnings release.
Is AvalonBay Communities Inc stock A Buy?
The AvalonBay Communities Inc stock holds several negative signals and despite the positive trend, we believe AvalonBay Communities Inc will perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. Therefore, we hold a negative evaluation of this stock.
Current score: -2.344 Sell Candidate Unchanged
Predicted Opening Price for AvalonBay Communities Inc of Friday, April 19, 2024
Fair opening price April 19, 2024 | Current price |
---|---|
$181.66 ( 0.198%) | $182.02 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for AVB
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
Level | Price | |||
---|---|---|---|---|
Resistance | R3 | 184.28 | 1.24 % | |
R2 | 183.28 | 0.692 % | ||
R1 | 182.66 | 0.352 % | ||
Current price: | 182.02 | |||
Support | S1 | 180.66 | -0.748 % | |
S2 | 180.04 | -1.09 % | ||
S3 | 179.04 | -1.64 % |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
Level | Price | |||
---|---|---|---|---|
Resistance | R3 | 185.95 | 2.16 % | |
R2 | 183.78 | 0.97 % | ||
R1 | 183.69 | 0.92 % | ||
Current price | 182.02 | |||
Support | S1 | 178.15 | -2.13% | |
S2 | 177.03 | -2.74% | ||
S3 | 176.12 | -3.24% |
AVB Dividend Payout History
# | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Jan 31, 2024 | Mar 27, 2024 | Apr 15, 2024 | $1.70 | 0.94% |
2 | Dec 28, 2023 | Dec 28, 2023 | Jan 16, 2024 | $1.65 | 0.92% |
3 | Sep 14, 2023 | Sep 28, 2023 | Oct 16, 2023 | $1.65 | 0.93% |
4 | May 24, 2023 | Jun 29, 2023 | Jul 17, 2023 | $1.65 | 0.85% |
5 | Feb 08, 2023 | Mar 30, 2023 | Apr 17, 2023 | $1.65 | 0.95% |
FAQ
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