Business First Bancshares Inc. Stock Forecast
Business First Bancshares Inc. stock upgraded from Sell Candidate to Hold/Accumulate after Thursday trading session.
(Updated on Apr 18, 2024)
The Business First Bancshares Inc. stock price gained 1.98% on the last trading day (Thursday, 18th Apr 2024), rising from $20.17 to $20.57. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 2.68% from a day low at $20.18 to a day high of $20.72. The price has risen in 6 of the last 10 days but is still down by -1.3% for this period. Volume has increased on the last day along with the price, which is a positive technical sign, and, in total, 3 thousand more shares were traded than the day before. In total, 45 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately $935.57 thousand.
The stock lies in the middle of a falling trend in the short term and further fall within the trend is signaled. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to fall -9.59% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $18.02 and $19.70 at the end of this 3-month period. Do note, that if the stock price manages to stay at current levels or higher, our prediction target will start to change positively over the next few days as the conditions for the current predictions will be broken.
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BFST Signals & Forecast
A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Wednesday, April 10, 2024, and so far it has risen 2.08%. Further rise is indicated until a new top pivot has been found. Business First Bancshares Inc. has increased volume and follows the last lift in the price. This is considered to be a technical positive sign as volume should follow the price-formation. Higher liquidity also reduces the general risk. Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. The Business First Bancshares Inc. stock holds a buy signal from the short-term Moving Average; at the same time, however, the long-term average holds a general sell signal. Since the longterm average is above the short-term average there is a general sell signal in the stock giving a more negative forecast for the stock. On further gains, the stock will meet resistance from the long-term Moving Average at $21.47. On a fall, the stock will find some support from the short-term average at $20.28. A break-up through the long-term average will give another buy signal, while a fall below the short-term average will add another sell signal and strengthen the general signal. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD).
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Business First Bancshares Inc. stock
Business First Bancshares Inc. finds support from accumulated volume at $20.20 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
This stock has average movements during the day and with good trading volume, the risk is considered to be medium. During the last day, the stock moved $0.540 between high and low, or 2.68%. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 2.13%.
Our recommended stop-loss: $19.37 (-5.82%) (This stock has medium daily movements and this gives medium risk. There is a buy signal from a pivot bottom found 6 days ago.)
Trading Expectations (BFST) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Friday 19th
For the upcoming trading day on Friday, 19th we expect Business First Bancshares Inc. to open at $20.49, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $19.98 and $21.16, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$0.595 (+/-2.89%) up or down from last closing price. If Business First Bancshares Inc. takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 5.78% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the support from accumulated volume at $20.20 (1.80%) than the resistance at $21.18 (2.97%), our systems sees the trading risk/reward intra-day as attractive and believe profit can be made before the stock reaches first resistance..
Earnings coming up
Business First Bancshares Inc. will release earnings AMC on Thursday, April 25, 2024.The consensus among the analysts for the expected earnings (EPS) is $0.570. We will update the financials statements for Business First Bancshares Inc., that can be found here as soon as the records are public. Our systems has calculated a possible swing of +/- 2.75% in the first trading day after earnings release.
Is Business First Bancshares Inc. stock A Buy?
Business First Bancshares Inc. holds several positive signals, but we still don't find these to be enough for a buy candidate. At the current level, it should be considered as a hold candidate (hold or accumulate) in this position whilst awaiting further development. We have upgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Sell to a Hold/Accumulate candidate.
Current score: -0.387 Hold/Accumulate Upgraded
Predicted Opening Price for Business First Bancshares Inc. of Friday, April 19, 2024
Fair opening price April 19, 2024 | Current price |
---|---|
$20.49 ( 0.389%) | $20.57 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for BFST
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
Level | Price | |||
---|---|---|---|---|
Resistance | R3 | 21.03 | 2.24 % | |
R2 | 20.82 | 1.23 % | ||
R1 | 20.70 | 0.614 % | ||
Current price: | 20.57 | |||
Support | S1 | 20.28 | -1.39 % | |
S2 | 20.16 | -2.01 % | ||
S3 | 19.95 | -3.01 % |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
Level | Price | |||
---|---|---|---|---|
Resistance | R3 | 21.71 | 5.54 % | |
R2 | 21.24 | 3.26 % | ||
R1 | 21.18 | 2.97 % | ||
Current price | 20.57 | |||
Support | S1 | 20.20 | -1.80% | |
S2 | 20.17 | -1.94% | ||
S3 | 20.15 | -2.04% |
BFST Dividend Payout History
# | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Jan 23, 2024 | Feb 14, 2024 | Feb 28, 2024 | $0.140 | 0.647% |
2 | Oct 26, 2023 | Nov 14, 2023 | Nov 30, 2023 | $0.140 | 0.692% |
3 | Jul 27, 2023 | Aug 14, 2023 | Aug 31, 2023 | $0.120 | 0.587% |
4 | Apr 27, 2023 | May 12, 2023 | Aug 31, 2023 | $0.120 | 0.587% |
5 | Jan 25, 2023 | Feb 14, 2023 | Feb 28, 2023 | $0.120 | 0.576% |
FAQ
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