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Weaker Hold
Today BZUN ranks #5225 as hold candidate. Get a Free Stock at Robinhood
Stronger Stock

$19.31 (2.66%)

Volume: 922k

Closed: Oct 15, 2021

Hollow Logo Score: 0.312

Baozun Inc. Stock Forecast

$19.31 (2.66%)

Volume: 922k

Closed: Oct 15, 2021

Score Hollow Logo 0.312
Which way will BZUN go? Request
Stop-loss: $18.67 (-3.32%)
Key Stats
Beta 0.81
* StockInvest.us uses dynamically calculated RSI max/min levels to determine when stock is oversold or overbought based on historical behavior.
RSImin/max Values: [ 25 - 75 ] RSI14 is 59 and the stock is currently not being overbought or oversold

Baozun Inc. stock upgraded from Sell Candidate to Hold/Accumulate after Friday trading session.
(Updated on Oct 15, 2021)

Hold candidate since 2021-10-15

The Baozun Inc. stock price gained 2.66% on the last trading day (Friday, 15th Oct 2021), rising from $18.81 to $19.31. During the day the stock fluctuated 4.34% from a day low at $18.74 to a day high of $19.55. The price has risen in 7 of the last 10 days and is up by 12.86% over the past 2 weeks. Volume fell on the last day by -373 thousand shares and in total, 922 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately $17.81 million. You should take into consideration that falling volume on higher prices causes divergence and may be an early warning about possible changes over the next couple of days.

The stock lies in the middle of a very wide and falling trend in the short term and further fall within the trend is signaled. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to fall -33.08% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $10.10 and $14.57 at the end of this 3-month period. Do note, that if the stock price manages to stay at current levels or higher, our prediction target will start to change positively over the next few days as the conditions for the current predictions will be broken.

Signals & Forecast

A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Monday, October 04, 2021, and so far it has risen 16.33%. Further rise is indicated until a new top pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume fell during the last trading day despite gaining prices. This causes a divergence between volume and price and it may be an early warning. The stock should be watched closely. Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. The Baozun Inc. stock holds a buy signal from the short-term moving average; at the same time, however, the long-term average holds a general sell signal. Since the longterm average is above the short-term average there is a general sell signal in the stock giving a more negative forecast for the stock. On further gains, the stock will meet resistance from the long-term moving average at $20.09. On a fall, the stock will find some support from the short-term average at $19.17. A break-up through the long-term average will give another buy signal, while a fall below the short-term average will add another sell signal and strengthen the general signal.

Support, Risk & Stop-loss

Baozun Inc. finds support from accumulated volume at $19.15 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.

This stock has average movements during the day and with good trading volume, the risk is considered to be medium. During the last day, the stock moved $0.81 between high and low, or 4.34%. For the last week, the stock has had a daily average volatility of 6.27%.

Our recommended stop-loss: $18.67 (-3.32%) (This stock has medium daily movements and this gives medium risk. There is a buy signal from a pivot bottom found 9 days ago.)

Is Baozun Inc. stock A Buy?

Baozun Inc. holds several positive signals, but we still don't find these to be enough for a buy candidate. At the current level, it should be considered as a hold candidate (hold or accumulate) in this position whilst awaiting further development. We have upgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Sell to a Hold/Accumulate candidate.

Current score: 0.312

Predicted Opening Price for Baozun Inc. of Monday, October 18, 2021

The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and the closing price.

Fair opening price October 18, 2021 Current price
$19.20 $19.31 (Overvalued)
Hold/Accumulate Upgraded

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Analyst Ratings

On Aug 20, 2021 "Daiwa Capital Markets" gave "$42.00 - $20.00" rating for BZUN. The price target was changed from $19.15 to 9.4%.

Volatility and Risk
Daily Average Volatility: 6.27 %
Overall Risk: Very High High Medium Low Very Low
6.27 %
Daily Average Volatility
Overall Risk

Very High
Very Low

Support & Resistance

Resistance: $24.04
Price: $19.31
Support: $19.15

Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels

Level Price Change
Resistance 20.01 3.64 %
19.70 2.03 %
19.51 1.04 %
Current price: 19.31
Support 18.89 -2.17 %
18.70 -3.17 %
18.39 -4.77 %

Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels

Level Price Chg %
Resistance 24.12 24.91 %
24.08 24.70 %
24.04 24.50 %
Current price 19.31
Support 19.15 -0.83%
18.88 -2.23%
18.65 -3.42%

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About Baozun Inc.

Baozun Inc. provides e-commerce solutions for brand partners in the People’s Republic of China. It offers end-to-end e-commerce solutions, including IT infrastructure setup and integration, online store design and setup, visual merchandizing and marketing campaigns, store operations, customer services, warehousing, and order fulfillment. The company also operates Maikefeng mobile application that offers various branded products. It serves brand ... Read more

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