Baozun Inc. Stock Forecast
Red day on Friday for Baozun Inc.
(Updated on Apr 19, 2024)
The Baozun Inc. stock price fell by -2.52% on the last day (Friday, 19th Apr 2024) from $2.38 to $2.32. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 4.87% from a day low at $2.26 to a day high of $2.37. The price has fallen in 5 of the last 10 days and is down by -0.43% for this period. Volume has increased on the last day by 24 thousand shares but on falling prices. This may be an early warning and the risk will be increased slightly over the next couple of days. In total, 361 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately $836.50 thousand.
The stock lies in the lower part of a very wide and weak rising trend in the short term, and this may normally pose a very good buying opportunity. If the lower trend floor at $2.18 is broken, it will firstly indicate a slower rate of rising, but may also be an early warning for a trend shift. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to rise 3.92% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $2.27 and $3.06 at the end of this 3-month period.
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BZUN Signals & Forecast
A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Tuesday, April 02, 2024, and so far it has risen 2.65%. Further rise is indicated until a new top pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. The Baozun Inc. stock holds sell signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a more negative forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general sell signal from the relation between the two signals where the long-term average is above the short-term average. On corrections up, there will be some resistance from the lines at $2.39 and $2.46. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. Baozun Inc. gained volume on the last day, but on falling prices. In technical terms, this is called divergence and may be an early warning. In some cases, increasing volume on falling prices may be considered positive, but that is mainly in typical "sell-offs".
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Baozun Inc. stock
Baozun Inc. finds support from accumulated volume at $2.30 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
This stock has average movements during the day and with good trading volume, the risk is considered to be medium. During the last day, the stock moved $0.110 between high and low, or 4.87%. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 4.41%.
Our recommended stop-loss: We hold a negative evaluation for this stock. No stop-loss is set.
Trading Expectations (BZUN) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Monday 22nd
For the upcoming trading day on Monday, 22nd we expect Baozun Inc. to open at $2.32, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $2.18 and $2.46, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$0.136 (+/-5.87%) up or down from last closing price. If Baozun Inc. takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 11.74% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the support from accumulated volume at $2.30 (0.86%) than the resistance at $2.36 (1.72%), our systems sees the trading risk/reward intra-day as attractive and believe profit can be made before the stock reaches first resistance..
Is Baozun Inc. stock A Buy?
The Baozun Inc. stock holds several negative signals and despite the positive trend, we believe Baozun Inc. will perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. Therefore, we hold a negative evaluation of this stock.
Current score: -1.402 Sell Candidate Unchanged
Predicted Opening Price for Baozun Inc. of Monday, April 22, 2024
| Fair opening price April 22, 2024 | Current price |
|---|---|
| $2.32 ( 0.144%) | $2.32 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for BZUN
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 2.43 | 4.60 % | |
| R2 | 2.38 | 2.79 % | ||
| R1 | 2.36 | 1.67 % | ||
| Current price: | 2.32 | |||
| Support | S1 | 2.27 | -1.95 % | |
| S2 | 2.25 | -3.07 % | ||
| S3 | 2.21 | -4.89 % |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 2.64 | 13.79 % | |
| R2 | 2.40 | 3.45 % | ||
| R1 | 2.36 | 1.72 % | ||
| Current price | 2.32 | |||
| Support | S1 | 2.30 | -0.86% | |
| S2 | 2.25 | -3.02% | ||
| S3 | 2.22 | -4.31% |
FAQ
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