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CF Industries stock price fell more than -5.12% Monday closing at $80.69
(Updated on Nov 17, 2025)
The CF Industries stock price fell by -5.12% on the last day (Monday, 17th Nov 2025) from $85.04 to $80.69. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 5.22% from a day low at $80.40 to a day high of $84.60. The price has risen in 7 of the last 10 days but is still down by -4.41% for this period. Volume has increased on the last day by 1 million shares but on falling prices. This may be an early warning and the risk will be increased slightly over the next couple of days. In total, 3 million shares were bought and sold for approximately $206.40 million.
Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to fall -2.43% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $78.73 and $88.65 at the end of this 3-month period.
CF Signals & Forecast
Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. The CF Industries stock holds sell signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a more negative forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general sell signal from the relation between the two signals where the long-term average is above the short-term average. On corrections up, there will be some resistance from the lines at $83.33 and $85.76. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Friday, September 26, 2025, and so far it has fallen -12.42%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Volume rose on falling prices yesterday. This may be an early warning and the stock should be followed more closely.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for CF Industries stock
There is no support from accumulated volume below today's level and given the right condition the stock may perform very badly in the next couple of days.
In general the stock tends to have very controlled movements and with good liquidity the risk is considered very low in this stock. During the last day, the stock moved $4.19 between high and low, or 5.22%. For the last week the stock has had daily average volatility of 2.64%.
Our recommended stop-loss: We hold a negative evaluation for this stock. No stop-loss is set.
Trading Expectations (CF) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Tuesday 18th
For the upcoming trading day on Tuesday, 18th we expect CF Industries Holdings Inc to open at $81.90, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $79.52 and $81.86, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$2.33 (+/-2.93%) up or down from last closing price. If CF Industries Holdings Inc takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 2.93% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
With no support below and resistance from accumulated volume @ $85.09, some $4.40 (5.45%) from the current price of $80.69, our system finds the risk reward not very attractive.
Is CF Industries Holdings Inc stock A Buy?
CF Industries holds several negative signals and is within a wide and falling trend, so we believe it will still perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold a negative evaluation of this stock. Due to some small weaknesses in the technical picture we have downgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Hold to a Sell candidate.
Current score:
-2.613
Sell Candidate
Downgraded
Predicted Fair Opening Price
Predicted fair opening price on November 18, 2025 - $81.90 ( 1.49%).
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CF Performance
Trading levels for CF
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |
|---|---|---|
| R3 | 86.09 | 6.69% |
| R2 | 84.49 | 4.71% |
| R1 | 83.50 | 3.48% |
| Price | 80.69 | |
| S1 | 80.29 | -0.493% |
| S2 | 79.30 | -1.72% |
| S3 | 77.70 | -3.71% |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |
|---|---|---|
| R3 | 91.65 | 13.58% |
| R2 | 89.71 | 11.18% |
| R1 | 85.09 | 5.45% |
| Price | 80.69 | |
| S1 | 0 | - |
| S2 | 0 | - |
| S3 | 0 | - |
CF Dividend Payout History
| # | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nov 14, 2025 | Nov 14, 2025 | Nov 28, 2025 | $0.500 | 0.557% |
| 2 | Jul 08, 2025 | Aug 15, 2025 | Aug 29, 2025 | $0.500 | 0.513% |
| 3 | Apr 29, 2025 | May 15, 2025 | May 30, 2025 | $0.500 | 0.569% |
| 4 | Jan 30, 2025 | Feb 14, 2025 | Feb 28, 2025 | $0.500 | 0.617% |
| 5 | Nov 15, 2024 | Nov 15, 2024 | Nov 29, 2024 | $0.500 | 0.558% |
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