Cf Industries Stock Forecast

Sell candidate since Aug 03, 2026 Loss -1.34%

The CF Industries stock price fell by -1.19% on the last day (Wednesday, 5th Aug 2026) from $118.11 to $116.71. It has now fallen 5 days in a row. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 2.49% from a day low at $115.76 to a day high of $118.65. The price has fallen in 8 of the last 10 days and is down by -8.35% for this period. Volume has increased on the last day by 129 thousand shares but on falling prices. This may be an early warning and the risk will be increased slightly over the next couple of days. In total, 2 million shares were bought and sold for approximately $214.40 million.

The stock is moving within a wide and horizontal trend and further movements within this trend can be expected. Given the current horizontal trend, you can expect CF Industries stock with a 90% probability to be traded between $103.25 and $128.22 at the end of this 3-month period. A break of a horizontal trend is often followed by a large increase in the volume, and stocks seldom manage to go directly from the bottom of a trend up to the top. Stocks turning up in the middle of a horizontal trend are therefore considered to be potential runners.

CF Signals & Forecast

The CF Industries stock holds a sell signal from the short-term Moving Average; at the same time, however, there is a buy signal from the long-term average. Since the short-term average is above the long-term average there is a general buy signal in the stock giving a positive forecast for the stock. On further gains, the stock will meet resistance from the short-term Moving Average at approximately $122.05. On a fall, the stock will find some support from the long-term average at approximately $115.45. A break-up through the short-term average will send a buy signal, whereas a breakdown through the long-term average will send a sell signal. Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Wednesday, July 29, 2026, and so far it has fallen -8.35%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume rose on falling prices yesterday. This may be an early warning and the stock should be followed more closely.

Support, Risk & Stop-loss for CF Industries stock

On the downside, the stock finds support just below today's level from accumulated volume at $108.58 and $106.90. There is a natural risk involved when a stock is testing a support level, since if this is broken, the stock then may fall to the next support level. In this case, CF Industries finds support just below today's level at $108.58. If this is broken, then the next support from accumulated volume will be at $106.90 and $102.93.

This stock has average movements during the day and with good trading volume, the risk is considered to be medium. During the last day, the stock moved $2.88 between high and low, or 2.49%. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 3.15%.

Our recommended stop-loss: We hold a negative evaluation for this stock. No stop-loss is set.

Trading Expectations (CF) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Thursday 6th

For the upcoming trading day on Thursday, 6th we expect CF Industries Holdings Inc to open at $117.04, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $114.61 and $118.81, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$4.20 (+/-3.67%) up or down from last closing price. If CF Industries Holdings Inc takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 3.67% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.

Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at $118.68 (1.69%) than the support at $108.58 (6.97%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.

Dividend Warning For CF

Dividend coming up for CF: Ex-dividend date (Friday 14th August, 2026) is 8 days away. The dividend is $0.600.

Is CF Industries Holdings Inc stock A Buy?

CF Industries holds several negative signals and is within a wide and falling trend, so we believe it will still perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold a negative evaluation of this stock.

Current score: -1.032 Sell Candidate Unchanged

Predicted Fair Opening Price

Predicted fair opening price on August 6, 2026 - $117.04 ( 0.281%).

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