- Excellent financial health (Piotroski 7/9)
- Attractive free cash flow ratio of 4.0x
- High gross margin of 66.2%
Capital One Financial Corporation stock downgraded from Hold/Accumulate to Sell Candidate after Friday trading session
(Updated on Jul 31, 2026)
No changes to the price of Capital One Financial Corporation stock on the last trading day (Friday, 31st Jul 2026). During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 0.81% from a day low at $17.27 to a day high of $17.41. The price has fallen in 5 of the last 10 days and is down by -1.31% for this period.
The stock lies in the middle of a falling trend in the short term and further fall within the trend is signaled. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to fall -4.00% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $16.10 and $16.97 at the end of this 3-month period. Do note, that if the stock price manages to stay at current levels or higher, our prediction target will start to change positively over the next few days as the conditions for the current predictions will be broken.
COF-PJ Signals & Forecast
A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Wednesday, June 10, 2026, and so far it has risen 0.87%. Further rise is indicated until a new top pivot has been found. Volume gained on the last day while the price remained unchanged. This is not a classical divergence, but the stock should be watched more closely at it may be a "turning point". Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. The Capital One Financial Corporation stock holds a buy signal from the short-term Moving Average; at the same time, however, the long-term average holds a general sell signal. Since the longterm average is above the short-term average there is a general sell signal in the stock giving a more negative forecast for the stock. On further gains, the stock will meet resistance from the long-term Moving Average at $17.44. On a fall, the stock will find some support from the short-term average at $17.34. A break-up through the long-term average will give another buy signal, while a fall below the short-term average will add another sell signal and strengthen the general signal. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD).
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Capital One Financial Corporation stock
Capital One Financial Corporation finds support from accumulated volume at $17.29 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
In general the stock tends to have very controlled movements and with good liquidity the risk is considered very low in this stock. During the last day, the stock moved $0.140 between high and low, or 0.81%. For the last week the stock has had daily average volatility of 0.717%.
Our recommended stop-loss: We hold a negative evaluation for this stock. No stop-loss is set.
Trading Expectations (COF-PJ) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Monday 3rd
For the upcoming trading day on Monday, 3rd we expect Capital One Financial Corporation to open at $17.34, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $17.28 and $17.40, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$0.128 (+/-0.74%) up or down from last closing price. If Capital One Financial Corporation takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 0.74% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at $17.35 (0.06%) than the support at $17.29 (0.29%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.
Dividend Warning For COF-PJ
Dividend coming up for COF-PJ: Ex-dividend date (Monday 17th August, 2026) is 14 days away. The dividend is $0.300.Is Capital One Financial Corporation stock A Buy?
Capital One Financial Corporation holds several negative signals and we believe that it will still perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We, therefore, hold a negative evaluation of this stock. Due to some small weaknesses in the technical picture we have downgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Hold to a Sell candidate.
Current score:
-2.816
Sell Candidate
Downgraded
Predicted Fair Opening Price
Predicted fair opening price on August 3, 2026 - $17.34 ( 0%).
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COF-PJ Performance
Trading levels for COF-PJ
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |
|---|---|---|
| R3 | 17.48 | 0.81% |
| R2 | 17.43 | 0.499% |
| R1 | 17.39 | 0.308% |
| Price | 17.34 | |
| S1 | 17.29 | -0.308% |
| S2 | 17.25 | -0.499% |
| S3 | 17.20 | -0.81% |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |
|---|---|---|
| R3 | 17.49 | 0.87% |
| R2 | 17.39 | 0.288% |
| R1 | 17.35 | 0.0577% |
| Price | 17.34 | |
| S1 | 17.29 | -0.288% |
| S2 | 17.27 | -0.404% |
| S3 | 17.22 | -0.692% |
COF-PJ Dividend Payout History
| # | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aug 17, 2026 | Aug 17, 2026 | Sep 01, 2026 | $0.300 | 1.73% |
| 2 | May 19, 2026 | May 19, 2026 | Jun 01, 2026 | $0.300 | 1.63% |
| 3 | Feb 17, 2026 | Feb 17, 2026 | Mar 02, 2026 | $0.300 | 1.62% |
| 4 | Nov 17, 2025 | Nov 17, 2025 | Dec 01, 2025 | $0.300 | 1.57% |
| 5 | Aug 15, 2025 | Aug 15, 2025 | Sep 02, 2025 | $0.300 | 1.60% |
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