- Bullish trend confirmed on both short and long timeframes
- RSI at 33 — potential oversold entry point
- Trading above its 200-day moving average
Direxion Daily Aerospace & Defense Bull ETF price ended at $76.41 on Friday, after gaining 2.17%
(Updated on Jul 24, 2026)
The Direxion Daily Aerospace & Defense Bull ETF price gained 2.17% on the last trading day (Friday, 24th Jul 2026), rising from $74.79 to $76.41. It has now gained 4 days in a row. It will be exciting to see whether it manages to continue gaining or take a minor break for the next few days. During the last trading day the ETF fluctuated 4.36% from a day low at $75.30 to a day high of $78.58. The price has risen in 6 of the last 10 days and is up by 0.45% over the past 2 weeks. Volume fell on the last day by -35 thousand shares and in total, 197 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately $15.03 million. You should take into consideration that falling volume on higher prices causes divergence and may be an early warning about possible changes over the next couple of days.
The ETF lies in the middle of a very wide and strong rising trend in the short term and a further rise within the trend is signaled. Given the current short-term trend, the ETF is expected to rise 22.03% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $82.81 and $111.84 at the end of this 3-month period.
DFEN Signals & Forecast
A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Monday, July 06, 2026, and so far it has fallen -13.02%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Some positive signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. The Direxion Daily Aerospace & Defense Bull ETF holds buy signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a positive forecast for the ETF, but the ETF has a general sell signal from the relation between the two signals where the long-term average is above the short-term average. On corrections down, there will be some support from the lines at $69.99 and $74.29. A breakdown below any of these levels will issue sell signals. Volume fell during the last trading day despite gaining prices. This causes a divergence between volume and price and it may be an early warning. The ETF should be watched closely.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Direxion Daily Aerospace & Defense Bull ETF
Direxion Daily Aerospace & Defense Bull finds support from accumulated volume at $74.79 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
This ETF may move much during the day (volatility) and with a large prediction interval from the Bollinger Band this ETF is considered to be "high risk". During the last day, the ETF moved $3.28 between high and low, or 4.36%. For the last week, the ETF has had daily average volatility of 6.27%.
Our recommended stop-loss: $72.28 (-5.40%) (This ETF has high daily movements and this gives high risk. There is a sell signal from a pivot top found 14 days ago.)
Trading Expectations (DFEN) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Monday 27th
For the upcoming trading day on Monday, 27th we expect Direxion Daily Aerospace & Defense Bull 3X Shares to open at $76.76, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $74.08 and $78.74, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$4.66 (+/-6.30%) up or down from last closing price. If Direxion Daily Aerospace & Defense Bull 3X Shares takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 6.30% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at $77.23 (1.07%) than the support at $74.79 (2.12%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.
Is Direxion Daily Aerospace & Defense Bull 3X Shares ETF A Buy?
Several of the signals/indicators are negative, and we believe that this will affect on the development for the next days and maybe possible weeks. However, over time, we think that today's level holds a possible buying opportunity and that the price will be higher during or at the end of this 3-month period.
Current score:
1.287
Buy Candidate
Unchanged
Predicted Fair Opening Price
Predicted fair opening price on July 27, 2026 - $76.76 ( 0.460%).
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DFEN Performance
Trading levels for DFEN
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |
|---|---|---|
| R3 | 80.05 | 4.76% |
| R2 | 78.79 | 3.12% |
| R1 | 78.02 | 2.10% |
| Price | 76.41 | |
| S1 | 75.51 | -1.18% |
| S2 | 74.73 | -2.20% |
| S3 | 73.48 | -3.84% |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |
|---|---|---|
| R3 | 85.78 | 12.26% |
| R2 | 80.72 | 5.64% |
| R1 | 77.23 | 1.07% |
| Price | 76.41 | |
| S1 | 74.79 | -2.12% |
| S2 | 74.23 | -2.85% |
| S3 | 59.30 | -22.39% |
DFEN Dividend Payout History
| # | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jun 23, 2026 | Jun 23, 2026 | Jun 30, 2026 | $0.0214 | 0.0290% |
| 2 | Mar 24, 2026 | Mar 24, 2026 | Mar 31, 2026 | $0.0377 | 0.0559% |
| 3 | Dec 10, 2025 | Dec 10, 2025 | Dec 17, 2025 | $5.55 | 9.84% |
| 4 | Sep 23, 2025 | Sep 23, 2025 | Sep 30, 2025 | $0.0512 | 0.0804% |
| 5 | Jun 24, 2025 | Jun 24, 2025 | Jul 01, 2025 | $0.0572 | 0.117% |
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