Elbit Systems Ltd. Stock Forecast
Elbit Systems Ltd. stock downgraded from Hold/Accumulate to Sell Candidate after Tuesday trading session.
(Updated on Apr 23, 2024)
The Elbit Systems Ltd. stock price gained 0.316% on the last trading day (Tuesday, 23rd Apr 2024), rising from $202.57 to $203.21. It has now gained 4 days in a row. It will be exciting to see whether it manages to continue gaining or take a minor break for the next few days. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 1.19% from a day low at $201.50 to a day high of $203.90. The price has been going up and down for this period, and there has been a 0.27% gain for the last 2 weeks. Volume fell on the last day by -367 shares and in total, 11 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately $2.24 million. You should take into consideration that falling volume on higher prices causes divergence and may be an early warning about possible changes over the next couple of days.
The stock lies in the middle of a wide and falling trend in the short term and further fall within the trend is signaled. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to fall -3.35% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $188.51 and $213.64 at the end of this 3-month period.
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ESLT Signals & Forecast
There are mixed signals in the stock today. The Elbit Systems Ltd. stock holds a buy signal from the short-term Moving Average; at the same time, however, the long-term average holds a general sell signal. Since the longterm average is above the short-term average there is a general sell signal in the stock giving a more negative forecast for the stock. On further gains, the stock will meet resistance from the long-term Moving Average at $204.24. On a fall, the stock will find some support from the short-term average at $201.18. A break-up through the long-term average will give another buy signal, while a fall below the short-term average will add another sell signal and strengthen the general signal. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Friday, April 12, 2024, and so far it has risen 3.73%. Further rise is indicated until a new top pivot has been found. Volume fell during the last trading day despite gaining prices. This causes a divergence between volume and price and it may be an early warning. The stock should be watched closely.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Elbit Systems Ltd. stock
Elbit Systems Ltd. finds support from accumulated volume at $201.63 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
This stock is usually traded at a good volume, and with minor daily changes, the risk is considered to be low. During the last day, the stock moved $2.40 (1.19%) between high and low. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 1.53%.
Our recommended stop-loss: We hold a negative evaluation for this stock. No stop-loss is set.
Trading Expectations (ESLT) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Wednesday 24th
For the upcoming trading day on Wednesday, 24th we expect Elbit Systems Ltd. to open at $202.87, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $199.56 and $206.86, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$3.65 (+/-1.80%) up or down from last closing price. If Elbit Systems Ltd. takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 3.59% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at $203.26 (0.02%) than the support at $201.63 (0.78%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.
Is Elbit Systems Ltd. stock A Buy?
Elbit Systems Ltd. holds several negative signals and we believe that it will still perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We, therefore, hold a negative evaluation of this stock. Due to some small weaknesses in the technical picture we have downgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Hold/Accumulate to a Sell candidate.
Current score: -1.281 Sell Candidate Downgraded
Predicted Opening Price for Elbit Systems Ltd. of Wednesday, April 24, 2024
Fair opening price April 24, 2024 | Current price |
---|---|
$202.87 ( 0.167%) | $203.21 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for ESLT
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
Level | Price | |||
---|---|---|---|---|
Resistance | R3 | 205.27 | 1.01 % | |
R2 | 204.35 | 0.563 % | ||
R1 | 203.79 | 0.284 % | ||
Current price: | 203.21 | |||
Support | S1 | 201.95 | -0.618 % | |
S2 | 201.39 | -0.90 % | ||
S3 | 200.47 | -1.35 % |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
Level | Price | |||
---|---|---|---|---|
Resistance | R3 | 211.15 | 3.91 % | |
R2 | 206.38 | 1.56 % | ||
R1 | 203.26 | 0.0246 % | ||
Current price | 203.21 | |||
Support | S1 | 201.63 | -0.778% | |
S2 | 200.10 | -1.53% | ||
S3 | 198.75 | -2.19% |
ESLT Dividend Payout History
# | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Mar 25, 2024 | Apr 23, 2024 | May 06, 2024 | $0.420 | 0.207% |
2 | Dec 26, 2023 | Dec 26, 2023 | Jan 08, 2024 | $0.500 | 0.241% |
3 | Nov 27, 2023 | Dec 22, 2023 | Jan 08, 2024 | $0.420 | 0.203% |
4 | Aug 14, 2023 | Oct 09, 2023 | Oct 23, 2023 | $0.500 | 0.265% |
5 | Aug 14, 2023 | Oct 06, 2023 | Oct 23, 2023 | $0.420 | 0.222% |
FAQ
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