Eur/usd Currency Pair Forecast

Sell candidate since Jul 10, 2026

The EUR/USD currency pair price fell by -0.163% on the last day (Friday, 10th Jul 2026) from $1.14 to $1.14. During the last trading day the currency pair fluctuated 0.431% from a day low at $1.14 to a day high of $1.15. The price has risen in 6 of the last 10 days and is up by 0.39% over the past 2 weeks. Volume has increased on the last day by 18 thousand shares but on falling prices. This may be an early warning and the risk will be increased slightly over the next couple of days. In total, 106 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately $120.52 thousand.

The currency pair lies in the middle of a narrow and falling trend in the short term and further fall within the trend is signaled. Given the current short-term trend, the currency pair is expected to fall -3.49% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $1.09 and $1.11 at the end of this 3-month period. Do note, that if the currency pair price manages to stay at current levels or higher, our prediction target will start to change positively over the next few days as the conditions for the current predictions will be broken.

EURUSD Signals & Forecast

A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Wednesday, June 24, 2026, and so far it has risen 0.528%. Further rise is indicated until a new top pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. The EUR/USD currency pair holds sell signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a more negative forecast for the currency pair. Also, there is a general sell signal from the relation between the two signals where the long-term average is above the short-term average. On corrections up, there will be some resistance from the lines at $1.14 and $1.15. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. EUR/USD gained volume on the last day, but on falling prices. In technical terms, this is called divergence and may be an early warning. In some cases, increasing volume on falling prices may be considered positive, but that is mainly in typical "sell-offs".

Support, Risk & Stop-loss for EUR/USD currency pair

EUR/USD finds support from accumulated volume at $1.14 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.

In general the currency pair tends to have very controlled movements and with good liquidity the risk is considered very low in this currency pair. During the last day, the currency pair moved $0.0049 between high and low, or 0.431%. For the last week the currency pair has had daily average volatility of 0.193%.

Our recommended stop-loss: We hold a negative evaluation for this stock. No stop-loss is set.

Trading Expectations (EURUSD) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Monday 13th

For the upcoming trading day on Monday, 13th we expect EUR/USD to open at $1.14, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $1.14 and $1.14, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$0.0042 (+/-0.37%) up or down from last closing price. If EUR/USD takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 0.37% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.

Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at $1.14 (0.12%) than the support at $1.14 (0.26%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.

Is EUR/USD currency pair A Buy?

EUR/USD holds several negative signals and is within a narrow and falling trend, so we believe it will still perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold a negative evaluation of this currency pair. Due to some small weaknesses in the technical picture we have downgraded our analysis conclusion for this currency pair since the last evaluation from a Hold to a Sell candidate.

Current score: -3.081 Sell Candidate Downgraded

Predicted Fair Opening Price

Predicted fair opening price on July 13, 2026 - $1.14 ( 0.124%).

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