Fidelity Covington Trust - Disruptive ETF Forecast
Red day on Thursday for Fidelity Covington Trust - Disruptive ETF after losing 0.512%
(Updated on Jun 20, 2024)
The Fidelity Covington Trust - Disruptive ETF price fell by -0.512% on the last day (Thursday, 20th Jun 2024) from $35.58 to $35.40. During the last trading day the ETF fluctuated 0.89% from a day low at $35.30 to a day high of $35.62. The price has been going up and down for this period, and there has been a 1.46% gain for the last 2 weeks. Volume fell on the last day along with the ETF, which is actually a good sign as volume should follow the ETF. On the last day, the trading volume fell by -4 thousand shares and in total, 7 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately $244.03 thousand.
The ETF lies in the upper part of a strong rising trend in the short term, and this may normally pose a very good selling opportunity for the short-term trader as reaction back towards the lower part of the trend can be expected. A break-up at the top trend line at $35.77 will firstly indicate a stronger rate of rising. Given the current short-term trend, the ETF is expected to rise 15.00% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $37.95 and $41.14 at the end of this 3-month period.
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FDCF Signals & Forecast
The Fidelity Covington Trust - Disruptive ETF holds buy signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a positive forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general buy signal from the relation between the two signals where the short-term average is above the long-term average. On corrections down, there will be some support from the lines at $35.38 and $34.17. A breakdown below any of these levels will issue sell signals. Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Monday, June 17, 2024, and so far it has fallen -0.624%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Volume fell along with the price during the last trading day, which is technical positive. One should, however, note that this ETF may have low liquidity in periods, which increases the general risk.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Fidelity Covington Trust - Disruptive ETF
Fidelity Covington Trust - Disruptive finds support from accumulated volume at $34.92 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
In general the ETF tends to have very controlled movements and therefore the general risk is considered very low. However, be aware of low or falling volume and make sure to keep an eye on the ETF During the last day, the ETF moved $0.314 between high and low, or 0.89%. For the last week the ETF has had daily average volatility of 0.709%
Our recommended stop-loss: $34.10 (-3.67%) (This ETF has low daily movements and this gives low risk. There is a sell signal from a pivot top found 42 days ago.)
Trading Expectations (FDCF) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Friday 21st
For the upcoming trading day on Friday, 21st we expect Fidelity Covington Trust - Disruptive Communications Etf to open at $35.44, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $35.07 and $35.72, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$0.324 (+/-0.92%) up or down from last closing price. If Fidelity Covington Trust - Disruptive Communications Etf takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 1.83% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at $35.41 (0.02%) than the support at $34.92 (1.35%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.
Is Fidelity Covington Trust - Disruptive Communications Etf ETF A Buy?
Several short-term signals, along with a general good trend, are positive and we conclude that the current level may hold a buying opportunity as there is a fair chance for Fidelity Covington Trust - Disruptive ETF to perform well in the short-term.
Current score: 3.720 Buy Candidate Unchanged
Predicted Opening Price for Fidelity Covington Trust - Disruptive Communications Etf of Friday, June 21, 2024
| Fair opening price June 21, 2024 | Current price |
|---|---|
| $35.44 ( 0.115%) | $35.40 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for FDCF
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |
|---|---|---|
| R3 | 35.75 | 1.00% |
| R2 | 35.63 | 0.663% |
| R1 | 35.56 | 0.454% |
| Price | 35.40 | |
| S1 | 35.32 | -0.224% |
| S2 | 35.24 | -0.434% |
| S3 | 35.12 | -0.772% |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |
|---|---|---|
| R3 | 35.62 | 0.628% |
| R2 | 35.58 | 0.515% |
| R1 | 35.41 | 0.0212% |
| Price | 35.40 | |
| S1 | 34.92 | -1.35% |
| S2 | 34.44 | -2.71% |
| S3 | 34.18 | -3.44% |
FAQ
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