First Trust Japan Alphadex Fund ETF Forecast

Hold candidate since Jul 09, 2026 Loss -0.77%

The First Trust Japan AlphaDEX Fund ETF price fell by -2.21% on the last day (Monday, 13th Jul 2026) from $76.59 to $74.90. During the last trading day the ETF fluctuated 1.30% from a day low at $74.61 to a day high of $75.58. The price has fallen in 7 of the last 10 days and is down by -2.69% for this period. Volume has increased on the last day by 1 thousand shares but on falling prices. This may be an early warning and the risk will be increased slightly over the next couple of days. In total, 5 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately $394.10 thousand.

The ETF is moving within a horizontal trend and further movements within this trend can be expected. Given the current horizontal trend, you can expect First Trust Japan AlphaDEX Fund ETF with a 90% probability to be traded between $74.23 and $80.92 at the end of this 3-month period. A break of a horizontal trend is often followed by a large increase in the volume, and ETFS seldom manage to go directly from the bottom of a trend up to the top. ETFS turning up in the middle of a horizontal trend are therefore considered to be potential runners.

FJP Signals & Forecast

There are few to no technical positive signals at the moment. The First Trust Japan AlphaDEX Fund ETF holds sell signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a more negative forecast for the ETF. Also, there is a general sell signal from the relation between the two signals where the long-term average is above the short-term average. On corrections up, there will be some resistance from the lines at $76.09 and $76.51. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Monday, June 22, 2026, and so far it has fallen -5.93%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). First Trust Japan AlphaDEX Fund gained volume on the last day, but on falling prices. In technical terms, this is called divergence and may be an early warning. In some cases, increasing volume on falling prices may be considered positive, but that is mainly in typical "sell-offs".

Support, Risk & Stop-loss for First Trust Japan AlphaDEX Fund ETF

First Trust Japan AlphaDEX Fund finds support from accumulated volume at $74.73 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.

In general the ETF tends to have very controlled movements and with good liquidity the risk is considered very low in this ETF. During the last day, the ETF moved $0.97 between high and low, or 1.30%. For the last week the ETF has had daily average volatility of 1.57%.

Our recommended stop-loss: $71.85 (-4.07%) (This ETF has very low daily movements and this gives very low risk. There is a sell signal from a pivot top found 14 days ago.)

Trading Expectations (FJP) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Tuesday 14th

For the upcoming trading day on Tuesday, 14th we expect First Trust Japan AlphaDEX Fund to open at $75.03, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $74.09 and $75.70, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$1.62 (+/-2.19%) up or down from last closing price. If First Trust Japan AlphaDEX Fund takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 2.19% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.

Since the stock is closer to the support from accumulated volume at $74.73 (0.22%) than the resistance at $76.14 (1.66%), our systems sees the trading risk/reward intra-day as attractive and believe profit can be made before the stock reaches first resistance..

Is First Trust Japan AlphaDEX Fund ETF A Buy?

First Trust Japan AlphaDEX Fund holds several negative signals and this should be a sell candidate, but due to the general chance for a turnaround situation it should be considered as a hold candidate (hold or accumulate) in this position whilst awaiting further development.

Current score: -0.877 Hold/Accumulate Unchanged

Predicted Fair Opening Price

Predicted fair opening price on July 14, 2026 - $75.03 ( 0.178%).

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