First Trust Japan Alphadex Fund ETF Forecast

Hold candidate since Jul 09, 2026 Gain 1.47%

The First Trust Japan AlphaDEX Fund ETF price gained 1.47% on the last trading day (Friday, 10th Jul 2026), rising from $75.48 to $76.59. During the last trading day the ETF fluctuated 1.25% from a day low at $76.14 to a day high of $77.09. The price has fallen in 6 of the last 10 days but is still up by 0.22% over the past 2 weeks. Volume fell on the last day by -8 thousand shares and in total, 4 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately $324.74 thousand. You should take into consideration that falling volume on higher prices causes divergence and may be an early warning about possible changes over the next couple of days.

The ETF is moving within a wide and horizontal trend and further movements within this trend can be expected. Given the current horizontal trend, you can expect First Trust Japan AlphaDEX Fund ETF with a 90% probability to be traded between $74.44 and $82.41 at the end of this 3-month period. A break of a horizontal trend is often followed by a large increase in the volume, and ETFS seldom manage to go directly from the bottom of a trend up to the top. ETFS turning up in the middle of a horizontal trend are therefore considered to be potential runners.

FJP Signals & Forecast

The First Trust Japan AlphaDEX Fund ETF holds buy signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a positive forecast for the ETF, but the ETF has a general sell signal from the relation between the two signals where the long-term average is above the short-term average. On corrections down, there will be some support from the lines at $76.36 and $76.54. A breakdown below any of these levels will issue sell signals. A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Thursday, July 09, 2026, and so far it has risen 1.47%. Further rise is indicated until a new top pivot has been found. Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume fell during the last trading day while the price increased. This causes a divergence and may be considered as an early warning, but it may also not.

Support, Risk & Stop-loss for First Trust Japan AlphaDEX Fund ETF

First Trust Japan AlphaDEX Fund finds support from accumulated volume at $76.14 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.

In general the ETF tends to have controlled movements and therefore the general risk is considered low. However, be aware of low or falling volume and make sure to keep an eye on the ETF. During the last day, the ETF moved $0.95 between high and low, or 1.25%. For the last week the ETF has had daily average volatility of 1.59%.

Our recommended stop-loss: $72.67 (-5.12%) (This ETF has low daily movements and this gives low risk. There is a buy signal from a pivot bottom found 1 day ago.)

Trading Expectations (FJP) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Monday 13th

For the upcoming trading day on Monday, 13th we expect First Trust Japan AlphaDEX Fund to open at $76.61, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $75.79 and $77.39, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$1.60 (+/-2.11%) up or down from last closing price. If First Trust Japan AlphaDEX Fund takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 2.11% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.

Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at $76.75 (0.21%) than the support at $76.14 (0.59%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.

Is First Trust Japan AlphaDEX Fund ETF A Buy?

First Trust Japan AlphaDEX Fund holds several positive signals, but we still don't find these to be enough for a buy candidate. At the current level, it should be considered as a hold candidate (hold or accumulate) in this position whilst awaiting further development.

Current score: -0.709 Hold/Accumulate Unchanged

Predicted Fair Opening Price

Predicted fair opening price on July 13, 2026 - $76.61 ( 0.0217%).

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