First Trust Nasdaq Semiconductor Etf ETF Forecast

Buy or Hold candidate since Apr 15, 2026 Gain 35.41%

The FIRST TRUST NASDAQ SEMICONDUCTOR ETF price fell by -10.52% on the last day (Friday, 5th Jun 2026) from $273.12 to $244.38. During the last trading day the ETF fluctuated 7.63% from a day low at $244.27 to a day high of $262.91. The price has been going up and down for this period, and there has been a 1.25% gain for the last 2 weeks. Volume has increased on the last day by 248 thousand shares but on falling prices. This may be an early warning and the risk will be increased slightly over the next couple of days. In total, 455 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately $111.07 million.

Given the current short-term trend, the ETF is expected to rise 99.88% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $488.48 and $567.44 at the end of this 3-month period.

FTXL Signals & Forecast

A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Wednesday, June 03, 2026, and so far it has fallen -12.53%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume rose on falling prices yesterday. This may be an early warning and the ETF should be followed more closely. Some positive signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. The FIRST TRUST NASDAQ SEMICONDUCTOR ETF holds a sell signal from the short-term Moving Average; at the same time, however, there is a buy signal from the long-term average. Since the short-term average is above the long-term average there is a general buy signal in the ETF giving a positive forecast for the ETF. On further gains, the ETF will meet resistance from the short-term Moving Average at approximately $264.27. On a fall, the ETF will find some support from the long-term average at approximately $232.39. A break-up through the short-term average will send a buy signal, whereas a breakdown through the long-term average will send a sell signal.

Support, Risk & Stop-loss for FIRST TRUST NASDAQ SEMICONDUCTOR ETF

FIRST TRUST NASDAQ SEMICONDUCTOR finds support from accumulated volume at $241.64 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.

This ETF has average movements during the day and with good trading volume, the risk is considered to be medium. During the last day, the ETF moved $18.64 between high and low, or 7.63%. For the last week, the ETF has had daily average volatility of 4.70%.

Our recommended stop-loss: $232.41 (-4.90%) (This ETF has medium daily movements and this gives medium risk. There is a sell signal from a pivot top found 2 days ago.)

Trading Expectations (FTXL) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Monday 8th

For the upcoming trading day on Monday, 8th we expect FIRST TRUST NASDAQ SEMICONDUCTOR ETF to open at $250.52, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $238.69 and $250.07, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$11.38 (+/-4.77%) up or down from last closing price. If FIRST TRUST NASDAQ SEMICONDUCTOR ETF takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 4.77% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.

Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at $245.28 (0.37%) than the support at $241.64 (1.12%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.

Is FIRST TRUST NASDAQ SEMICONDUCTOR ETF ETF A Buy?

Several of the signals/indicators are negative, and we believe that this will affect on the development for the next days and maybe possible weeks. However, over time, we think that today's level holds a possible buying opportunity and that the price will be higher during or at the end of this 3-month period.

Current score: 1.413 Buy Candidate Unchanged

Predicted Fair Opening Price

Predicted fair opening price on June 8, 2026 - $250.52 ( 2.51%).

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