First Trust Health Care Alphadex Fund ETF Forecast

Buy or Hold candidate since Jun 03, 2026 Gain 11.08%

The First Trust Health Care AlphaDEX Fund ETF price fell by -0.703% on the last day (Friday, 31st Jul 2026) from $127.98 to $127.08. It has now fallen 3 days in a row. During the last trading day the ETF fluctuated 1.60% from a day low at $125.58 to a day high of $127.59. The price has been going up and down for this period, and there has been a 2.95% gain for the last 2 weeks. Volume has increased on the last day by 44 thousand shares but on falling prices. This may be an early warning and the risk will be increased slightly over the next couple of days. In total, 66 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately $8.38 million.

The ETF lies in the middle of a strong rising trend in the short term and a further rise within the trend is signaled. Given the current short-term trend, the ETF is expected to rise 13.61% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $139.43 and $146.62 at the end of this 3-month period.

FXH Signals & Forecast

There are mixed signals in the ETF today. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Tuesday, July 28, 2026, and so far it has fallen -0.95%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume rose on falling prices yesterday. This may be an early warning and the ETF should be followed more closely. The First Trust Health Care AlphaDEX Fund ETF holds buy signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a positive forecast for the ETF. Also, there is a general buy signal from the relation between the two signals where the short-term average is above the long-term average. On corrections down, there will be some support from the lines at $126.26 and $122.36. A breakdown below any of these levels will issue sell signals. The ETF had a Golden Star Signal on Tuesday, May 19, 2026 in the long-term chart.

Golden Star Signal is when the short-term moving average, the long-term moving average, and price line meet in a special combination. This combination is very rare and often followed by long and strong gains for the ETF in question.

Support, Risk & Stop-loss for First Trust Health Care AlphaDEX Fund ETF

First Trust Health Care AlphaDEX Fund finds support from accumulated volume at $122.89 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.

In general the ETF tends to have very controlled movements and with good liquidity the risk is considered very low in this ETF. During the last day, the ETF moved $2.01 between high and low, or 1.60%. For the last week the ETF has had daily average volatility of 1.30%.

Our recommended stop-loss: $123.14 (-3.10%) (This ETF has very low daily movements and this gives very low risk. There is a sell signal from a pivot top found 3 days ago.)

Trading Expectations (FXH) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Monday 3rd

For the upcoming trading day on Monday, 3rd we expect First Trust Health Care AlphaDEX Fund to open at $126.75, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $126.14 and $128.02, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$1.88 (+/-1.49%) up or down from last closing price. If First Trust Health Care AlphaDEX Fund takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 1.49% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.

Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at $127.98 (0.71%) than the support at $122.89 (3.30%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.

Is First Trust Health Care AlphaDEX Fund ETF A Buy?

Several short-term signals, along with a general good trend, are positive and we conclude that the current level may hold a buying opportunity as there is a fair chance for First Trust Health Care AlphaDEX Fund ETF to perform well in the short-term.

Current score: 2.968 Buy Candidate Unchanged

Predicted Fair Opening Price

Predicted fair opening price on August 3, 2026 - $126.75 ( 0.262%).

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