First Trust Technology Alphadex Fund ETF Forecast

Hold candidate since Jul 30, 2026 Gain 1.36%

The FIRST TRUST TECHNOLOGY ALPHADEX FUND ETF price gained 1.36% on the last trading day (Friday, 31st Jul 2026), rising from $197.32 to $200.00. During the last trading day the ETF fluctuated 3.07% from a day low at $197.02 to a day high of $203.07. The price has been going up and down for this period, and there has been a 1.9% gain for the last 2 weeks. Volume fell on the last day by -22 thousand shares and in total, 29 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately $5.83 million. You should take into consideration that falling volume on higher prices causes divergence and may be an early warning about possible changes over the next couple of days.

The ETF is moving within a wide and horizontal trend and further movements within this trend can be expected. Given the current horizontal trend, you can expect FIRST TRUST TECHNOLOGY ALPHADEX FUND ETF with a 90% probability to be traded between $192.84 and $229.49 at the end of this 3-month period. A break of a horizontal trend is often followed by a large increase in the volume, and ETFS seldom manage to go directly from the bottom of a trend up to the top. ETFS turning up in the middle of a horizontal trend are therefore considered to be potential runners.

FXL Signals & Forecast

There are mixed signals in the ETF today. The FIRST TRUST TECHNOLOGY ALPHADEX FUND ETF holds a buy signal from the short-term Moving Average; at the same time, however, the long-term average holds a general sell signal. Since the longterm average is above the short-term average there is a general sell signal in the ETF giving a more negative forecast for the ETF. On further gains, the ETF will meet resistance from the long-term Moving Average at $205.10. On a fall, the ETF will find some support from the short-term average at $196.11. A break-up through the long-term average will give another buy signal, while a fall below the short-term average will add another sell signal and strengthen the general signal. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Wednesday, July 29, 2026, and so far it has risen 5.27%. Further rise is indicated until a new top pivot has been found. Volume fell during the last trading day despite gaining prices. This causes a divergence between volume and price and it may be an early warning. The ETF should be watched closely.

Support, Risk & Stop-loss for FIRST TRUST TECHNOLOGY ALPHADEX FUND ETF

FIRST TRUST TECHNOLOGY ALPHADEX FUND finds support from accumulated volume at $197.55 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.

This ETF has average movements during the day and with good trading volume, the risk is considered to be medium. During the last day, the ETF moved $6.05 between high and low, or 3.07%. For the last week, the ETF has had daily average volatility of 2.71%.

Our recommended stop-loss: $192.63 (-3.68%) (This ETF has medium daily movements and this gives medium risk. There is a buy signal from a pivot bottom found 2 days ago.)

Trading Expectations (FXL) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Monday 3rd

For the upcoming trading day on Monday, 3rd we expect FIRST TRUST TECHNOLOGY ALPHADEX FUND to open at $200.03, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $197.13 and $202.87, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$5.74 (+/-2.91%) up or down from last closing price. If FIRST TRUST TECHNOLOGY ALPHADEX FUND takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 2.91% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.

Since the stock is closer to the support from accumulated volume at $197.55 (1.22%) than the resistance at $207.14 (3.57%), our systems sees the trading risk/reward intra-day as attractive and believe profit can be made before the stock reaches first resistance..

Is FIRST TRUST TECHNOLOGY ALPHADEX FUND ETF A Buy?

FIRST TRUST TECHNOLOGY ALPHADEX FUND holds several positive signals, but we still don't find these to be enough for a buy candidate. At the current level, it should be considered as a hold candidate (hold or accumulate) in this position whilst awaiting further development.

Current score: 0.697 Hold/Accumulate Unchanged

Predicted Fair Opening Price

Predicted fair opening price on August 3, 2026 - $200.03 ( 0.0133%).

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