First Trust Technology Alphadex Fund ETF Forecast

Sell candidate since Jul 10, 2026

The FIRST TRUST TECHNOLOGY ALPHADEX FUND ETF price fell by -1.12% on the last day (Friday, 10th Jul 2026) from $210.00 to $207.64. During the last trading day the ETF fluctuated 1.52% from a day low at $206.74 to a day high of $209.88. The price has been going up and down for this period, and there has been a -1% loss for the last 2 weeks. Volume has increased on the last day by 25 thousand shares but on falling prices. This may be an early warning and the risk will be increased slightly over the next couple of days. In total, 47 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately $9.79 million.

The ETF lies in the lower part of a wide and strong rising trend in the short term, and this may normally pose a very good buying opportunity. If the lower trend floor at $205.06 is broken, it will firstly indicate a slower rate of rising, but may also be an early warning for a trend shift. Given the current short-term trend, the ETF is expected to rise 18.91% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $243.84 and $285.80 at the end of this 3-month period.

FXL Signals & Forecast

There are few to no technical positive signals at the moment. The FIRST TRUST TECHNOLOGY ALPHADEX FUND ETF holds a buy signal from the short-term Moving Average; at the same time, however, the long-term average holds a general sell signal. Since the longterm average is above the short-term average there is a general sell signal in the ETF giving a more negative forecast for the ETF. On further gains, the ETF will meet resistance from the long-term Moving Average at $209.65. On a fall, the ETF will find some support from the short-term average at $207.20. A break-up through the long-term average will give another buy signal, while a fall below the short-term average will add another sell signal and strengthen the general signal. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Tuesday, June 02, 2026, and so far it has fallen -7.33%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume rose on falling prices yesterday. This may be an early warning and the ETF should be followed more closely.

Support, Risk & Stop-loss for FIRST TRUST TECHNOLOGY ALPHADEX FUND ETF

FIRST TRUST TECHNOLOGY ALPHADEX FUND finds support from accumulated volume at $207.14 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.

This ETF is usually traded at a good volume, and with minor daily changes, the risk is considered to be low. During the last day, the ETF moved $3.14 (1.52%) between high and low. For the last week, the ETF has had daily average volatility of 2.06%.

Our recommended stop-loss: We hold a negative evaluation for this stock. No stop-loss is set.

Trading Expectations (FXL) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Monday 13th

For the upcoming trading day on Monday, 13th we expect FIRST TRUST TECHNOLOGY ALPHADEX FUND to open at $208.09, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $204.60 and $210.68, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$6.08 (+/-2.97%) up or down from last closing price. If FIRST TRUST TECHNOLOGY ALPHADEX FUND takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 2.97% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.

Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at $208.13 (0.24%) than the support at $207.14 (0.24%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.

Is FIRST TRUST TECHNOLOGY ALPHADEX FUND ETF A Buy?

The FIRST TRUST TECHNOLOGY ALPHADEX FUND ETF holds several negative signals and despite the positive trend, we believe FIRST TRUST TECHNOLOGY ALPHADEX FUND will perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. Therefore, we hold a negative evaluation of this ETF. Due to some small weaknesses in the technical picture we have downgraded our analysis conclusion for this ETF since the last evaluation from a Hold to a Sell candidate.

Current score: -2.912 Sell Candidate Downgraded

Predicted Fair Opening Price

Predicted fair opening price on July 13, 2026 - $208.09 ( 0.215%).

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