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Guggenheim CurrencyShares Japanese ETF downgraded to Sell Candidate
(Updated on Jul 13, 2026)
The Guggenheim CurrencyShares Japanese ETF price fell by -0.493% on the last day (Monday, 13th Jul 2026) from $56.74 to $56.46. During the last trading day the ETF fluctuated 0.301% from a day low at $56.45 to a day high of $56.62. The price has fallen in 6 of the last 10 days and is down by -0.44% for this period. Volume fell on the last day along with the ETF, which is actually a good sign as volume should follow the ETF. On the last day, the trading volume fell by -56 thousand shares and in total, 141 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately $7.96 million.
The ETF lies in the lower of a narrow and falling trend in the short term, and this may normally pose a very good buying opportunity. If the lower trend floor at $56.24 is broken, it will firstly indicate a stronger fall rate. Given the current short-term trend, the ETF is expected to fall -2.76% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $54.69 and $55.90 at the end of this 3-month period. Do note, that if the ETF price manages to stay at current levels or higher, our prediction target will start to change positively over the next few days as the conditions for the current predictions will be broken.
FXY Signals & Forecast
There are mixed signals in the ETF today. The Guggenheim CurrencyShares Japanese ETF holds sell signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a more negative forecast for the ETF. Also, there is a general sell signal from the relation between the two signals where the long-term average is above the short-term average. On corrections up, there will be some resistance from the lines at $56.62 and $57.06. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. Volume fell together with the price during the last trading day and this reduces the overall risk as volume should follow the price movements. A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Wednesday, July 01, 2026, and so far it has risen 0.0532%. Further rise is indicated until a new top pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD).
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Guggenheim CurrencyShares Japanese ETF
Guggenheim CurrencyShares Japanese finds support from accumulated volume at $56.44 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
In general the ETF tends to have very controlled movements and with good liquidity the risk is considered very low in this ETF. During the last day, the ETF moved $0.170 between high and low, or 0.301%. For the last week the ETF has had daily average volatility of 0.241%.
Our recommended stop-loss: We hold a negative evaluation for this stock. No stop-loss is set.
Trading Expectations (FXY) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Tuesday 14th
For the upcoming trading day on Tuesday, 14th we expect Guggenheim CurrencyShares Japanese to open at $56.51, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $56.35 and $56.57, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$0.228 (+/-0.41%) up or down from last closing price. If Guggenheim CurrencyShares Japanese takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 0.41% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the support from accumulated volume at $56.44 (0.04%) than the resistance at $56.85 (0.69%), our systems sees the trading risk/reward intra-day as attractive and believe profit can be made before the stock reaches first resistance..
Is Guggenheim CurrencyShares Japanese ETF A Buy?
Guggenheim CurrencyShares Japanese holds several negative signals and we believe that it will still perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We, therefore, hold a negative evaluation of this ETF. Due to some small weaknesses in the technical picture we have downgraded our analysis conclusion for this ETF since the last evaluation from a Hold to a Sell candidate.
Current score:
-2.472
Sell Candidate
Downgraded
Predicted Fair Opening Price
Predicted fair opening price on July 14, 2026 - $56.51 ( 0.0886%).
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FXY Performance
Trading levels for FXY
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |
|---|---|---|
| R3 | 56.68 | 0.390% |
| R2 | 56.62 | 0.275% |
| R1 | 56.57 | 0.204% |
| Price | 56.46 | |
| S1 | 56.45 | -0.0265% |
| S2 | 56.40 | -0.0975% |
| S3 | 56.34 | -0.213% |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |
|---|---|---|
| R3 | 58.63 | 3.84% |
| R2 | 58.44 | 3.51% |
| R1 | 56.85 | 0.691% |
| Price | 56.46 | |
| S1 | 56.44 | -0.0354% |
| S2 | 56.43 | -0.0531% |
| S3 | 0 | - |
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