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Guggenheim CurrencyShares Japanese ETF upgraded to Buy Candidate
(Updated on Jul 31, 2026)
The Guggenheim CurrencyShares Japanese ETF price gained 0.139% on the last trading day (Friday, 31st Jul 2026), rising from $57.58 to $57.66. It has now gained 3 days in a row. It will be exciting to see whether it manages to continue gaining or take a minor break for the next few days. During the last trading day the ETF fluctuated 1.29% from a day low at $57.26 to a day high of $58.00. The price has been going up and down for this period, and there has been a 2.04% gain for the last 2 weeks. Volume fell on the last day by -1 million shares and in total, 679 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately $39.13 million. You should take into consideration that falling volume on higher prices causes divergence and may be an early warning about possible changes over the next couple of days.
Given the current short-term trend, the ETF is expected to fall -3.64% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $53.86 and $55.56 at the end of this 3-month period. Do note, that if the ETF price manages to stay at current levels or higher, our prediction target will start to change positively over the next few days as the conditions for the current predictions will be broken.
FXY Signals & Forecast
Mostly positive signals in the chart today. The Guggenheim CurrencyShares Japanese ETF holds buy signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a positive forecast for the ETF, but the ETF has a general sell signal from the relation between the two signals where the long-term average is above the short-term average. On corrections down, there will be some support from the lines at $56.49 and $56.66. A breakdown below any of these levels will issue sell signals. A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Tuesday, July 28, 2026, and so far it has risen 2.96%. Further rise is indicated until a new top pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume fell during the last trading day despite gaining prices. This causes a divergence between volume and price and it may be an early warning. The ETF should be watched closely.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Guggenheim CurrencyShares Japanese ETF
Guggenheim CurrencyShares Japanese finds support from accumulated volume at $57.58 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
In general the ETF tends to have very controlled movements and with good liquidity the risk is considered very low in this ETF. During the last day, the ETF moved $0.740 between high and low, or 1.29%. For the last week the ETF has had daily average volatility of 1.02%.
The Guggenheim CurrencyShares Japanese ETF is overbought on RSI14 and lies in the upper part of the trend. Normally this may pose a good selling opportunity for the short-term trader, but some ETFS may go long and hard while being overbought and the RSI is still moving upwards. Regardless, the high RSI together with the trend position increases the risk and higher daily movements (volatility) should be expected. A correction down in the nearby future seems very likely, and it is of great importance that the ETF manages to break the trend before that occurs.
Our recommended stop-loss: $55.35 (-4.01%) (This ETF has very low daily movements and this gives very low risk. The RSI14 is 74 and this increases the risk substantially. There is a buy signal from a pivot bottom found 3 days ago.)
Trading Expectations (FXY) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Monday 3rd
For the upcoming trading day on Monday, 3rd we expect Guggenheim CurrencyShares Japanese to open at $57.64, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $57.49 and $57.83, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$0.335 (+/-0.58%) up or down from last closing price. If Guggenheim CurrencyShares Japanese takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 0.58% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the support from accumulated volume at $57.58 (0.14%) than the resistance at $57.85 (0.33%), our systems sees the trading risk/reward intra-day as attractive and believe profit can be made before the stock reaches first resistance..
Is Guggenheim CurrencyShares Japanese ETF A Buy?
Several short-term signals are positive, despite the ETF being in a falling trend, we conclude that the current level may hold a buying opportunity as there is a fair chance for ETF to perform well in the short-term. We have upgraded our analysis conclusion for this ETF since the last evaluation from a Hold to a Buy candidate.
Current score:
2.140
Buy Candidate
Upgraded
Predicted Fair Opening Price
Predicted fair opening price on August 3, 2026 - $57.64 ( 0.0347%).
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FXY Performance
Trading levels for FXY
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |
|---|---|---|
| R3 | 58.38 | 1.25% |
| R2 | 58.10 | 0.758% |
| R1 | 57.92 | 0.456% |
| Price | 57.66 | |
| S1 | 57.36 | -0.525% |
| S2 | 57.18 | -0.83% |
| S3 | 56.90 | -1.32% |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |
|---|---|---|
| R3 | 58.69 | 1.79% |
| R2 | 58.44 | 1.35% |
| R1 | 57.85 | 0.330% |
| Price | 57.66 | |
| S1 | 57.58 | -0.139% |
| S2 | 56.85 | -1.40% |
| S3 | 56.01 | -2.86% |
FAQ
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