Grayscale Bitcoin Invt Tr Stock Forecast
Green day on Monday for Grayscale Bitcoin Invt Tr stock after gaining 3.40%
(Updated on Apr 22, 2024)
The Grayscale Bitcoin Invt Tr stock price gained 3.40% on the last trading day (Monday, 22nd Apr 2024), rising from $57.31 to $59.26. It has now gained 3 days in a row. It will be exciting to see whether it manages to continue gaining or take a minor break for the next few days. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 1.81% from a day low at $58.52 to a day high of $59.58. The price has been going up and down for this period, and there has been a -7.35% loss for the last 2 weeks. Volume fell on the last day by -1 million shares and in total, 7 million shares were bought and sold for approximately $443.51 million. You should take into consideration that falling volume on higher prices causes divergence and may be an early warning about possible changes over the next couple of days.
The stock lies in the lower part of a very wide and strong rising trend in the short term, and this may normally pose a very good buying opportunity. If the lower trend floor at $55.65 is broken, it will firstly indicate a slower rate of rising, but may also be an early warning for a trend shift. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to rise 55.27% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $86.40 and $120.51 at the end of this 3-month period.
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GBTC Signals & Forecast
Volume fell during the last trading day despite gaining prices. This causes a divergence between volume and price and it may be an early warning. The stock should be watched closely. Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. The Grayscale Bitcoin Invt Tr stock holds a buy signal from the short-term Moving Average; at the same time, however, the long-term average holds a general sell signal. Since the longterm average is above the short-term average there is a general sell signal in the stock giving a more negative forecast for the stock. On further gains, the stock will meet resistance from the long-term Moving Average at $60.16. On a fall, the stock will find some support from the short-term average at $57.04. A break-up through the long-term average will give another buy signal, while a fall below the short-term average will add another sell signal and strengthen the general signal. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Wednesday, March 13, 2024, and so far it has fallen -9.64%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD).
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Grayscale Bitcoin Invt Tr stock
On the downside, the stock finds support just below today's level from accumulated volume at $55.35 and $55.23. There is a natural risk involved when a stock is testing a support level, since if this is broken, the stock then may fall to the next support level. In this case, Grayscale Bitcoin Invt Tr finds support just below today's level at $55.35. If this is broken, then the next support from accumulated volume will be at $55.23 and $53.83.
This stock has average movements during the day and with good trading volume, the risk is considered to be medium. During the last day, the stock moved $1.06 between high and low, or 1.81%. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 3.28%.
Our recommended stop-loss: We hold a negative evaluation for this stock. No stop-loss is set.
Trading Expectations (GBTC) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Tuesday 23rd
For the upcoming trading day on Tuesday, 23rd we expect Grayscale Bitcoin Invt Tr to open at $59.12, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $56.46 and $62.06, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$2.80 (+/-4.73%) up or down from last closing price. If Grayscale Bitcoin Invt Tr takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 9.45% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at $60.38 (1.89%) than the support at $55.35 (6.60%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.
Is Grayscale Bitcoin Invt Tr stock A Buy?
The Grayscale Bitcoin Invt Tr stock holds several negative signals and despite the positive trend, we believe Grayscale Bitcoin Invt Tr will perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. Therefore, we hold a negative evaluation of this stock.
Current score: -3.154 Sell Candidate Unchanged
Predicted Opening Price for Grayscale Bitcoin Invt Tr of Tuesday, April 23, 2024
| Fair opening price April 23, 2024 | Current price |
|---|---|
| $59.12 ( 0.236%) | $59.26 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for GBTC
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 60.18 | 1.55 % | |
| R2 | 59.78 | 0.87 % | ||
| R1 | 59.52 | 0.447 % | ||
| Current price: | 59.26 | |||
| Support | S1 | 58.72 | -0.92 % | |
| S2 | 58.46 | -1.34 % | ||
| S3 | 58.06 | -2.02 % |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 63.67 | 7.44 % | |
| R2 | 61.78 | 4.25 % | ||
| R1 | 60.38 | 1.89 % | ||
| Current price | 59.26 | |||
| Support | S1 | 55.35 | -6.60% | |
| S2 | 55.23 | -6.80% | ||
| S3 | 53.83 | -9.16% |
GBTC Dividend Payout History
| # | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nov 30, 2017 | Nov 30, 2017 | Apr 03, 2018 | $0.0565 | 0.446% |
FAQ
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