Spdr Gold Shares ETF Forecast

Hold candidate since Jun 29, 2026

The SPDR Gold Shares ETF price fell by -1.37% on the last day (Monday, 29th Jun 2026) from $373.70 to $368.58. During the last trading day the ETF fluctuated 1.15% from a day low at $366.97 to a day high of $371.19. The price has fallen in 6 of the last 10 days and is down by -4.65% for this period. Volume has increased on the last day by 5 million shares but on falling prices. This may be an early warning and the risk will be increased slightly over the next couple of days. In total, 5 million shares were bought and sold for approximately $1.85 billion.

The ETF lies in the lower of a wide and falling trend in the short term, and this may normally pose a very good buying opportunity. If the lower trend floor at $362.87 is broken, it will firstly indicate a stronger fall rate. Given the current short-term trend, the ETF is expected to fall -13.59% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $313.57 and $346.60 at the end of this 3-month period. Do note, that if the ETF price manages to stay at current levels or higher, our prediction target will start to change positively over the next few days as the conditions for the current predictions will be broken.

GLD Signals & Forecast

A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Wednesday, June 24, 2026, and so far it has risen 0.727%. Further rise is indicated until a new top pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. The SPDR Gold Shares ETF holds sell signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a more negative forecast for the ETF. Also, there is a general sell signal from the relation between the two signals where the long-term average is above the short-term average. On corrections up, there will be some resistance from the lines at $375.25 and $402.58. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. Volume rose on falling prices yesterday. This may be an early warning and the ETF should be followed more closely.

Support, Risk & Stop-loss for SPDR Gold Shares ETF

SPDR Gold Shares finds support from accumulated volume at $365.92 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.

This ETF has average movements during the day and with good trading volume, the risk is considered to be medium. During the last day, the ETF moved $4.22 between high and low, or 1.15%. For the last week, the ETF has had daily average volatility of 1.29%.

Our recommended stop-loss: $349.88 (-5.07%) (This ETF has medium daily movements and this gives medium risk. There is a buy signal from a pivot bottom found 3 days ago.)

Trading Expectations (GLD) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Tuesday 30th

For the upcoming trading day on Tuesday, 30th we expect SPDR Gold Shares to open at $368.91, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $364.40 and $372.76, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$8.36 (+/-2.29%) up or down from last closing price. If SPDR Gold Shares takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 2.29% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.

Since the stock is closer to the support from accumulated volume at $365.92 (0.72%) than the resistance at $374.58 (1.63%), our systems sees the trading risk/reward intra-day as attractive and believe profit can be made before the stock reaches first resistance..

Is SPDR Gold Shares ETF A Buy?

SPDR Gold Shares holds several negative signals and this should be a sell candidate, but due to the general chance for a turnaround situation it should be considered as a hold candidate (hold or accumulate) in this position whilst awaiting further development. We have upgraded our analysis conclusion for this ETF since the last evaluation from a Sell to a Hold candidate.

Current score: 0.000 Hold/Accumulate Upgraded

Zero in score indicates that our system is expecting high volatility and risk for the following trading day. Given the latest developments, we cannot determine the next direction as it may go both ways.

Predicted Fair Opening Price

Predicted fair opening price on June 30, 2026 - $368.91 ( 0.0904%).

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