Industrial and Commercial Bank of China Stock Forecast

Industrial and Commercial Bank of China stock downgraded from Buy Candidate to Hold/Accumulate after Thursday trading session.
(Updated on May 02, 2024)

IDCBY Signals & Forecast

The Industrial and Commercial Bank of China stock holds buy signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a positive forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general buy signal from the relation between the two signals where the short-term average is above the long-term average. On corrections down, there will be some support from the lines at $10.64 and $10.26. A breakdown below any of these levels will issue sell signals. A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Friday, March 22, 2024, and so far it has risen 9.01%. Further rise is indicated until a new top pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. Volume fell during the last trading day while the price increased. This causes a divergence and may be considered as an early warning, but it may also not. The stock had a Golden Star Signal on Wednesday, April 17, 2024 in the short-term chart.

Golden Star Signal is when the short-term moving average, the long-term moving average, and price line meet in a special combination. This combination is very rare and often followed by long and strong gains for the stock in question.

Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Industrial and Commercial Bank of China stock

Industrial and Commercial Bank of China finds support from accumulated volume at $10.42 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.

In general the stock tends to have controlled movements and therefore the general risk is considered low. However, be aware of low or falling volume and make sure to keep an eye on the stock. During the last day, the stock moved $0.193 between high and low, or 1.80%. For the last week the stock has had daily average volatility of 2.46%.

The Industrial and Commercial Bank of China stock is overbought on RSI14 and lies in the upper part of the trend. Normally this may pose a good selling opportunity for the short-term trader, but some stocks may go long and hard while being overbought. Regardless, the high RSI together with the trend position increases the risk and higher daily movements (volatility) should be expected. A correction down in the nearby future seems very likely and it is of great importance that the stock manages to break the trend before that occurs.

Our recommended stop-loss: $10.53 (-3.30%) (This stock has low daily movements and this gives low risk. The RSI14 is 88 and this increases the risk substantially. There is a buy signal from a pivot bottom found 28 days ago.)

Trading Expectations (IDCBY) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Friday 3rd

For the upcoming trading day on Friday, 3rd we expect Industrial and Commercial Bank of China Ltd to open at $10.85, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $10.66 and $11.12, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$0.227 (+/-2.08%) up or down from last closing price. If Industrial and Commercial Bank of China Ltd takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 4.17% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.

With no resistance above and support from accumulated volume @ $10.42, some $0.471 (4.33%) from the current price of $10.89, our system finds the risk reward attractive.

Is Industrial and Commercial Bank of China Ltd stock A Buy?

Industrial and Commercial Bank of China holds several positive signals, but we still don't find these to be enough for a buy candidate. At the current level, it should be considered as a hold candidate (hold or accumulate) in this position whilst awaiting further development. Due to some small weaknesses in the technical picture we have downgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Buy to a Hold/Accumulate candidate.

Current score: 0.000 Hold/Accumulate Downgraded

Zero in score indicates that our system is expecting high volatility and risk for the following trading day. Given the latest developments, we cannot determine the next direction as it may go both ways.

Predicted Opening Price for Industrial and Commercial Bank of China Ltd of Friday, May 3, 2024

The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.