- Strong operating margin of 31.4%
- Lower volatility than the market (beta 0.13)
- High gross margin of 74.1%
Industrial and Commercial Bank of China stock downgraded from Buy Candidate to Hold/Accumulate after Tuesday trading session
(Updated on Jul 28, 2026)
The Industrial and Commercial Bank of China stock price gained 1.18% on the last trading day (Tuesday, 28th Jul 2026), rising from $18.57 to $18.79. It has now gained 5 days in a row. It will be exciting to see whether it manages to continue gaining or take a minor break for the next few days. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 0.762% from a day low at $18.70 to a day high of $18.84. The price has risen in 8 of the last 10 days and is up by 8.05% over the past 2 weeks. Volume fell on the last day by -2 thousand shares and in total, 601 shares were bought and sold for approximately $11.29 thousand. You should take into consideration that falling volume on higher prices causes divergence and may be an early warning about possible changes over the next couple of days.
The stock has broken the wide and horizontal trend up. Breaks like this are often followed by swift and strong movements, and any correction down to the breakline at approximately. $18.34 is considered to be a "second chance" to hit a potential runner. It is, however, important that volume does follow the price as false breaks may appear and it may move back into the horizontal trend. Based on the rectangle-formation theory the stock is predicted to reach $20.39 sometime during the next 3 months.
IDCBY Signals & Forecast
The Industrial and Commercial Bank of China stock holds buy signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a positive forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general buy signal from the relation between the two signals where the short-term average is above the long-term average. On corrections down, there will be some support from the lines at $18.23 and $17.52. A breakdown below any of these levels will issue sell signals. A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Thursday, July 02, 2026, and so far it has risen 14.99%. Further rise is indicated until a new top pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. Volume fell during the last trading day while the price increased. This causes a divergence and may be considered as an early warning, but it may not be. The very low volume increases the risk and reduces the other technical signals issued.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Industrial and Commercial Bank of China stock
Industrial and Commercial Bank of China finds support from accumulated volume at $18.27 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
This stock has average movements during the day, but be aware of low or falling volume as this increases the risk. During the last day, the stock moved $0.142 between high and low, or 0.762%. For the last week the stock has had daily average volatility of 0.618%.
The Industrial and Commercial Bank of China stock is extremely overbought on RSI14 (76). Normally this may pose a good selling opportunity but since the stock has broken the trend up, the chance for a major correction due to high RSI is very small as the stock will find support at the trend broken.
Our recommended stop-loss: $18.02 (-4.08%) (This stock has medium daily movements and this gives medium risk. The RSI14 is 76 and this increases the risk substantially. There is a buy signal from a pivot bottom found 17 days ago.)
Trading Expectations (IDCBY) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Wednesday 29th
For the upcoming trading day on Wednesday, 29th we expect Industrial and Commercial Bank of China Ltd to open at $18.78, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $18.63 and $18.95, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$0.312 (+/-1.68%) up or down from last closing price. If Industrial and Commercial Bank of China Ltd takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 1.68% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
With no resistance above and support from accumulated volume @ $18.27, some $0.520 (2.77%) from the current price of $18.79, our system finds the risk reward attractive.
Is Industrial and Commercial Bank of China Ltd stock A Buy?
Industrial and Commercial Bank of China holds several positive signals, but we still don't find these to be enough for a buy candidate. At the current level, it should be considered as a hold candidate (hold or accumulate) in this position whilst awaiting further development. Due to some small weaknesses in the technical picture we have downgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Buy to a Hold candidate.
Current score:
0.000
Hold/Accumulate
Downgraded
Zero in score indicates that our system is expecting high volatility and risk for the following trading day. Given the latest developments, we cannot determine the next direction as it may go both ways.
Predicted Fair Opening Price
Predicted fair opening price on July 29, 2026 - $18.78 ( 0.0754%).
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IDCBY Performance
Trading levels for IDCBY
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |
|---|---|---|
| R3 | 18.92 | 0.683% |
| R2 | 18.86 | 0.393% |
| R1 | 18.83 | 0.214% |
| Price | 18.79 | |
| S1 | 18.72 | -0.365% |
| S2 | 18.69 | -0.544% |
| S3 | 18.63 | -0.83% |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |
|---|---|---|
| R3 | 0 | - |
| R2 | 0 | - |
| R1 | 0 | - |
| Price | 18.79 | |
| S1 | 18.27 | -2.77% |
| S2 | 18.01 | -4.15% |
| S3 | 17.94 | -4.52% |
IDCBY Dividend Payout History
| # | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Apr 21, 2026 | May 05, 2026 | Jul 01, 2026 | $0.380 | 2.08% |
| 2 | Nov 20, 2025 | Dec 05, 2025 | Feb 10, 2026 | $0.300 | 1.81% |
| 3 | Jul 03, 2025 | Jul 03, 2025 | Sep 05, 2025 | $0.350 | 2.27% |
| 4 | Jan 03, 2025 | Jan 03, 2025 | Feb 07, 2025 | $0.302 | 2.20% |
| 5 | Jun 27, 2024 | Jul 09, 2024 | Sep 03, 2024 | $0.690 | 6.35% |
FAQ
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