- Lower volatility than the market (beta 0.23)
- Bullish trend confirmed on both short and long timeframes
- Consistently positive technical signals over the last month
Evaluation of Innovator Etfs Trust trust downgraded after the last trading session
(Updated on Jul 31, 2026)
The Innovator Etfs Trust trust price fell by -0.264% on the last day (Friday, 31st Jul 2026) from $32.23 to $32.15. During the last trading day the trust fluctuated 0.579% from a day low at $31.97 to a day high of $32.16. The price has been going up and down for this period, and there has been a 1.5% gain for the last 2 weeks. Volume has increased on the last day by 330 shares but on falling prices. This may be an early warning and the risk will be increased slightly over the next couple of days. In total, 331 shares were bought and sold for approximately $10.64 thousand.
The trust lies in the upper part of a narrow and weak rising trend in the short term, and this may normally pose a very good selling opportunity for the short-term trader as reaction back towards the lower part of the trend can be expected. A break-up at the top trend line at $32.24 will firstly indicate a stronger rate of rising. Given the current short-term trend, the trust is expected to rise 2.03% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $32.08 and $32.89 at the end of this 3-month period.
IMAY Signals & Forecast
The Innovator Etfs Trust trust holds buy signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a positive forecast for the trust. Also, there is a general buy signal from the relation between the two signals where the short-term average is above the long-term average. On corrections down, there will be some support from the lines at $31.88 and $31.77. A breakdown below any of these levels will issue sell signals. Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Thursday, July 30, 2026, and so far it has fallen -0.264%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Innovator Etfs Trust gained volume on the last day, but on falling prices. In technical terms, this is called divergence and may be an early warning. In some cases, increasing volume on falling prices may be considered positive, but that is mainly in typical "sell-offs". The very low volume increases the risk and reduces the other technical signals issued.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Innovator Etfs Trust trust
Innovator Etfs Trust finds support from accumulated volume at $31.64 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
In general the trust tends to have very controlled movements and with good liquidity the risk is considered very low in this trust. During the last day, the trust moved $0.185 between high and low, or 0.579%. For the last week the trust has had daily average volatility of 0.638%.
Our recommended stop-loss: $31.23 (-2.84%) (This trust has very low daily movements and this gives very low risk. There is a sell signal from a pivot top found 1 day ago.)
Trading Expectations (IMAY) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Monday 3rd
For the upcoming trading day on Monday, 3rd we expect Innovator Etfs Trust to open at $32.09, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $32.04 and $32.25, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$0.217 (+/-0.68%) up or down from last closing price. If Innovator Etfs Trust takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 0.68% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at $32.23 (0.26%) than the support at $31.64 (1.57%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.
Is Innovator Etfs Trust trust A Buy?
Several short-term signals, along with a general good trend, are positive and we conclude that the current level may hold a buying opportunity as there is a fair chance for Innovator Etfs Trust trust to perform well in the short-term. Due to some small weaknesses in the technical picture we have downgraded our analysis conclusion for this trust since the last evaluation from a Strong Buy to a Buy candidate.
Current score:
2.448
Buy Candidate
Downgraded
Predicted Fair Opening Price
Predicted fair opening price on August 3, 2026 - $32.09 ( 0.171%).
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IMAY Performance
Trading levels for IMAY
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |
|---|---|---|
| R3 | 32.28 | 0.404% |
| R2 | 32.20 | 0.185% |
| R1 | 32.16 | 0.0487% |
| Price | 32.15 | |
| S1 | 32.02 | -0.391% |
| S2 | 31.98 | -0.527% |
| S3 | 31.91 | -0.747% |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |
|---|---|---|
| R3 | 0 | - |
| R2 | 0 | - |
| R1 | 32.23 | 0.264% |
| Price | 32.15 | |
| S1 | 31.64 | -1.57% |
| S2 | 31.56 | -1.82% |
| S3 | 30.84 | -4.06% |
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