LightPath Technologies Stock Forecast
LightPath Technologies stock upgraded to Hold/Accumulate.
(Updated on Apr 25, 2024)
The LightPath Technologies stock price fell by -2.43% on the last day (Thursday, 25th Apr 2024) from $1.45 to $1.41. It has now fallen 3 days in a row. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 4.29% from a day low at $1.40 to a day high of $1.46. The price has fallen in 7 of the last 10 days and is down by -9.62% for this period. Volume fell on the last day along with the stock, which is actually a good sign as volume should follow the stock. On the last day, the trading volume fell by -6 thousand shares and in total, 30 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately $42.15 thousand.
The stock lies in the lower of a wide and falling trend in the short term, and this may normally pose a very good buying opportunity. If the lower trend floor at $1.37 is broken, it will firstly indicate a stronger fall rate. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to fall -2.80% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $1.33 and $1.57 at the end of this 3-month period.
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LPTH Signals & Forecast
There are few to no technical positive signals at the moment. The LightPath Technologies stock holds sell signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a more negative forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general sell signal from the relation between the two signals where the long-term average is above the short-term average. On corrections up, there will be some resistance from the lines at $1.45 and $1.47. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Thursday, April 11, 2024, and so far it has fallen -9.62%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume fell along with the price during the last trading day which is technical positive. One should, however, note that this stock may have low liquidity in periods, which increases the general risk. The very low volume increases the risk and reduces the other technical signals issued.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for LightPath Technologies stock
LightPath Technologies finds support from accumulated volume at $1.40 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
This stock has average movements during the day, but be aware of low or falling volume as this increases the risk. During the last day, the stock moved $0.0600 between high and low, or 4.29%. For the last week the stock has had daily average volatility of 5.32%.
Our recommended stop-loss: $1.32 (-6.14%) (This stock has medium daily movements and this gives medium risk. There is a sell signal from a pivot top found 10 days ago.)
Trading Expectations (LPTH) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Friday 26th
For the upcoming trading day on Friday, 26th we expect LightPath Technologies to open at $1.42, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $1.33 and $1.49, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$0.0779 (+/-5.52%) up or down from last closing price. If LightPath Technologies takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 11.04% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the support from accumulated volume at $1.40 (0.70%) than the resistance at $1.49 (5.68%), our systems sees the trading risk/reward intra-day as attractive and believe profit can be made before the stock reaches first resistance..
Is LightPath Technologies stock A Buy?
LightPath Technologies holds several negative signals and this should be a sell candidate, but due to the general chance for a turnaround situation it should be considered as a hold candidate (hold or accumulate) in this position whilst awaiting further development. We have upgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Sell to a Hold/Accumulate candidate.
Current score: -0.971 Hold/Accumulate Upgraded
Predicted Opening Price for LightPath Technologies of Friday, April 26, 2024
Fair opening price April 26, 2024 | Current price |
---|---|
$1.42 ( 0.95%) | $1.41 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for LPTH
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
Level | Price | |||
---|---|---|---|---|
Resistance | R3 | 1.48 | 5.21 % | |
R2 | 1.46 | 3.58 % | ||
R1 | 1.45 | 2.58 % | ||
Current price: | 1.41 | |||
Support | S1 | 1.40 | -0.675 % | |
S2 | 1.39 | -1.68 % | ||
S3 | 1.36 | -3.31 % |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
Level | Price | |||
---|---|---|---|---|
Resistance | R3 | 1.60 | 13.48 % | |
R2 | 1.50 | 6.39 % | ||
R1 | 1.49 | 5.68 % | ||
Current price | 1.41 | |||
Support | S1 | 1.40 | -0.702% | |
S2 | 1.39 | -1.41% | ||
S3 | 1.37 | -2.83% |
FAQ
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