Southwest Airlines Company Stock Forecast
Southwest Airlines Company stock downgraded to Sell Candidate
(Updated on Apr 17, 2024)
The Southwest Airlines Company stock price gained 2.60% on the last trading day (Wednesday, 17th Apr 2024), rising from $28.05 to $28.78. It has now gained 3 days in a row. It will be exciting to see whether it manages to continue gaining or take a minor break for the next few days. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 2.18% from a day low at $28.41 to a day high of $29.03. The price has risen in 7 of the last 10 days and is up by 2.68% over the past 2 weeks. Volume has increased on the last day along with the price, which is a positive technical sign, and, in total, 563 thousand more shares were traded than the day before. In total, 8 million shares were bought and sold for approximately $216.61 million.
The stock lies in the middle of a wide and falling trend in the short term and further fall within the trend is signaled. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to fall -10.41% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $24.51 and $29.65 at the end of this 3-month period.
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LUV Signals & Forecast
A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Friday, April 12, 2024, and so far it has risen 4.50%. Further rise is indicated until a new top pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume is rising along with the price. This is considered to be a good technical signal. Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. The Southwest Airlines Company stock holds a buy signal from the short-term Moving Average; at the same time, however, the long-term average holds a general sell signal. Since the longterm average is above the short-term average there is a general sell signal in the stock giving a more negative forecast for the stock. On further gains, the stock will meet resistance from the long-term Moving Average at $29.94. On a fall, the stock will find some support from the short-term average at $28.25. A break-up through the long-term average will give another buy signal, while a fall below the short-term average will add another sell signal and strengthen the general signal.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Southwest Airlines Company stock
Southwest Airlines Company finds support from accumulated volume at $28.76 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
In general the stock tends to have very controlled movements and with good liquidity the risk is considered very low in this stock. During the last day, the stock moved $0.620 between high and low, or 2.18%. For the last week the stock has had daily average volatility of 2.51%.
Our recommended stop-loss: We hold a negative evaluation for this stock. No stop-loss is set.
Trading Expectations (LUV) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Thursday 18th
For the upcoming trading day on Thursday, 18th we expect Southwest Airlines Company to open at $28.74, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $27.97 and $29.59, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$0.81 (+/-2.81%) up or down from last closing price. If Southwest Airlines Company takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 5.61% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the support from accumulated volume at $28.76 (0.07%) than the resistance at $30.03 (4.34%), our systems sees the trading risk/reward intra-day as attractive and believe profit can be made before the stock reaches first resistance..
Earnings coming up
Southwest Airlines Company will release earnings BMO on Thursday, April 25, 2024.The consensus among the analysts for the expected earnings (EPS) is -$0.310. We will update the financials statements for Southwest Airlines Company, that can be found here as soon as the records are public. Our systems has calculated a possible swing of +/- 5.25% in the first trading day after earnings release.
Is Southwest Airlines Company stock A Buy?
Southwest Airlines Company holds several negative signals and we believe that it will still perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We, therefore, hold a negative evaluation of this stock. Due to some small weaknesses in the technical picture we have downgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Hold/Accumulate to a Sell candidate.
Current score: -2.195 Sell Candidate Downgraded
Predicted Opening Price for Southwest Airlines Company of Thursday, April 18, 2024
Fair opening price April 18, 2024 | Current price |
---|---|
$28.74 ( 0.139%) | $28.78 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for LUV
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
Level | Price | |||
---|---|---|---|---|
Resistance | R3 | 29.36 | 2.02 % | |
R2 | 29.12 | 1.19 % | ||
R1 | 28.98 | 0.684 % | ||
Current price: | 28.78 | |||
Support | S1 | 28.50 | -0.96 % | |
S2 | 28.36 | -1.47 % | ||
S3 | 28.12 | -2.29 % |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
Level | Price | |||
---|---|---|---|---|
Resistance | R3 | 31.11 | 8.10 % | |
R2 | 30.39 | 5.59 % | ||
R1 | 30.03 | 4.34 % | ||
Current price | 28.78 | |||
Support | S1 | 28.76 | -0.0695% | |
S2 | 28.28 | -1.74% | ||
S3 | 27.96 | -2.85% |
LUV Dividend Payout History
# | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Jan 31, 2024 | Mar 06, 2024 | Mar 27, 2024 | $0.180 | 0.615% |
2 | Jan 31, 2024 | Mar 05, 2024 | Mar 27, 2024 | $0.180 | 0.615% |
3 | Nov 16, 2023 | Dec 20, 2023 | Jan 11, 2024 | $0.180 | 0.603% |
4 | Aug 02, 2023 | Sep 05, 2023 | Sep 27, 2023 | $0.180 | 0.671% |
5 | May 17, 2023 | Jun 20, 2023 | Jul 12, 2023 | $0.180 | 0.467% |
FAQ
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