Marriott International Stock Forecast
Marriott International stock upgraded from Hold/Accumulate to Buy Candidate after Friday trading session.
(Updated on Apr 26, 2024)
The Marriott International stock price fell by -0.455% on the last day (Friday, 26th Apr 2024) from $241.94 to $240.84. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 1.40% from a day low at $240.74 to a day high of $244.12. The price has fallen in 7 of the last 10 days and is down by -4.07% for this period. Volume fell on the last day along with the stock, which is actually a good sign as volume should follow the stock. On the last day, the trading volume fell by -140 thousand shares and in total, 1 million shares were bought and sold for approximately $255.40 million.
The stock is moving within a horizontal trend and further movements within this trend can be expected. Given the current horizontal trend, you can expect Marriott International stock with a 90% probability to be traded between $238.62 and $261.65 at the end of this 3-month period. A break of a horizontal trend is often followed by a large increase in the volume, and stocks seldom manage to go directly from the bottom of a trend up to the top. Stocks turning up in the middle of a horizontal trend are therefore considered to be potential runners.
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MAR Signals & Forecast
A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Friday, April 19, 2024, and so far it has risen 2.05%. Further rise is indicated until a new top pivot has been found. Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. The Marriott International stock holds a buy signal from the short-term Moving Average; at the same time, however, the long-term average holds a general sell signal. Since the longterm average is above the short-term average there is a general sell signal in the stock giving a more negative forecast for the stock. On further gains, the stock will meet resistance from the long-term Moving Average at $248.59. On a fall, the stock will find some support from the short-term average at $239.46. A break-up through the long-term average will give another buy signal, while a fall below the short-term average will add another sell signal and strengthen the general signal. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume fell together with the price during the last trading day and this reduces the overall risk as volume should follow the price movements.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Marriott International stock
Marriott International finds support from accumulated volume at $238.46 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
This stock has average movements during the day and with good trading volume, the risk is considered to be medium. During the last day, the stock moved $3.38 between high and low, or 1.40%. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 1.56%.
Our recommended stop-loss: $227.00 (-5.74%) (This stock has medium daily movements and this gives medium risk. There is a buy signal from a pivot bottom found 5 days ago.)
Trading Expectations (MAR) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Monday 29th
For the upcoming trading day on Monday, 29th we expect Marriott International to open at $241.90, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $235.88 and $245.80, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$4.96 (+/-2.06%) up or down from last closing price. If Marriott International takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 4.12% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at $242.94 (0.87%) than the support at $238.46 (0.99%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.
Earnings coming up
Marriott International will release earnings BMO on Wednesday, May 01, 2024.The consensus among the analysts for the expected earnings (EPS) is $2.17. We will update the financials statements for Marriott International, that can be found here as soon as the records are public. Our systems has calculated a possible swing of +/- 3.90% in the first trading day after earnings release.
Is Marriott International stock A Buy?
Several short-term signals are positive and we conclude that the current level may hold a buying opportunity, as there is a fair chance for Marriott International stock to perform well in the short-term period. We have upgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Hold/Accumulate to a Buy candidate.
Current score: 1.182 Buy Candidate Upgraded
Predicted Opening Price for Marriott International of Monday, April 29, 2024
Fair opening price April 29, 2024 | Current price |
---|---|
$241.90 ( 0.439%) | $240.84 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for MAR
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
Level | Price | |||
---|---|---|---|---|
Resistance | R3 | 245.27 | 1.84 % | |
R2 | 243.98 | 1.31 % | ||
R1 | 243.19 | 0.97 % | ||
Current price: | 240.84 | |||
Support | S1 | 240.61 | -0.0959 % | |
S2 | 239.81 | -0.427 % | ||
S3 | 238.52 | -0.96 % |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
Level | Price | |||
---|---|---|---|---|
Resistance | R3 | 244.07 | 1.34 % | |
R2 | 244.06 | 1.34 % | ||
R1 | 242.94 | 0.87 % | ||
Current price | 240.84 | |||
Support | S1 | 238.46 | -0.99% | |
S2 | 235.39 | -2.26% | ||
S3 | 234.94 | -2.45% |
MAR Dividend Payout History
# | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Feb 08, 2024 | Feb 21, 2024 | Mar 29, 2024 | $0.520 | 0.206% |
2 | Nov 09, 2023 | Nov 21, 2023 | Dec 29, 2023 | $0.520 | 0.231% |
3 | Aug 03, 2023 | Aug 17, 2023 | Sep 29, 2023 | $0.520 | 0.265% |
4 | Aug 03, 2023 | Aug 16, 2023 | Sep 29, 2023 | $0.520 | 0.265% |
5 | May 12, 2023 | May 25, 2023 | Jun 30, 2023 | $0.520 | 0.283% |
FAQ
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