Mattel Stock Forecast
Green day on Wednesday for Mattel
(Updated on Apr 17, 2024)
The Mattel stock price gained 0.445% on the last trading day (Wednesday, 17th Apr 2024), rising from $17.97 to $18.05. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 1.28% from a day low at $17.94 to a day high of $18.17. The price has fallen in 7 of the last 10 days and is down by -6.86% for this period. Volume fell on the last day by -430 thousand shares and in total, 2 million shares were bought and sold for approximately $43.11 million. You should take into consideration that falling volume on higher prices causes divergence and may be an early warning about possible changes over the next couple of days.
The stock lies in the lower part of a wide and weak rising trend in the short term, and this may normally pose a very good buying opportunity. If the lower trend floor at $17.99 is broken, it will firstly indicate a slower rate of rising, but may also be an early warning for a trend shift. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to rise 4.98% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $18.88 and $21.69 at the end of this 3-month period.
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MAT Signals & Forecast
A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Tuesday, April 16, 2024, and so far it has risen 0.445%. Further rise is indicated until a new top pivot has been found. Volume fell during the last trading day despite gaining prices. This causes a divergence between volume and price and it may be an early warning. The stock should be watched closely. Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. The Mattel stock holds sell signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a more negative forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general sell signal from the relation between the two signals where the long-term average is above the short-term average. On corrections up, there will be some resistance from the lines at $18.42 and $19.35. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD).
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Mattel stock
Mattel finds support from accumulated volume at $17.97 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
This stock has average movements during the day and with good trading volume, the risk is considered to be medium. During the last day, the stock moved $0.230 between high and low, or 1.28%. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 1.98%.
Mattel is oversold on RSI14 (13). Some stocks may fall long and hard while being oversold on RSI, but stocks that are heavily oversold on RSI often pose good re-bounce chance and played well it can be a buy candidate.
Our recommended stop-loss: $16.95 (-6.07%) (This stock has medium daily movements and this gives medium risk. Low RSI14 is 13 which reduces the risk some. There is a buy signal from a pivot bottom found 1 day ago.)
Trading Expectations (MAT) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Thursday 18th
For the upcoming trading day on Thursday, 18th we expect Mattel to open at $18.05, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $17.67 and $18.43, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$0.377 (+/-2.09%) up or down from last closing price. If Mattel takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 4.17% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the support from accumulated volume at $17.97 (0.44%) than the resistance at $19.02 (5.37%), our systems sees the trading risk/reward intra-day as attractive and believe profit can be made before the stock reaches first resistance..
Earnings coming up
Mattel will release earnings BMO on Tuesday, April 23, 2024.The consensus among the analysts for the expected earnings (EPS) is -$0.120. We will update the financials statements for Mattel, that can be found here as soon as the records are public. Our systems has calculated a possible swing of +/- 3.54% in the first trading day after earnings release.
Is Mattel stock A Buy?
Mattel holds several negative signals and this should be a sell candidate, but due to the general chance for a turnaround situation it should be considered as a hold candidate (hold or accumulate) in this position whilst awaiting further development.
Current score: -0.546 Hold/Accumulate Unchanged
Predicted Opening Price for Mattel of Thursday, April 18, 2024
| Fair opening price April 18, 2024 | Current price |
|---|---|
| $18.05 ( 0.0185%) | $18.05 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for MAT
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 18.28 | 1.29 % | |
| R2 | 18.20 | 0.81 % | ||
| R1 | 18.14 | 0.505 % | ||
| Current price: | 18.05 | |||
| Support | S1 | 17.97 | -0.468 % | |
| S2 | 17.91 | -0.769 % | ||
| S3 | 17.82 | -1.26 % |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 19.34 | 7.15 % | |
| R2 | 19.17 | 6.20 % | ||
| R1 | 19.02 | 5.37 % | ||
| Current price | 18.05 | |||
| Support | S1 | 17.97 | -0.443% | |
| S2 | 17.89 | -0.89% | ||
| S3 | 17.87 | -1.00% |
MAT Dividend Payout History
| # | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jun 14, 2017 | Aug 21, 2017 | Sep 15, 2017 | $0.150 | 0.95% |
| 2 | Apr 20, 2017 | May 17, 2017 | Jun 09, 2017 | $0.380 | 1.71% |
| 3 | Jan 26, 2017 | Feb 14, 2017 | Mar 03, 2017 | $0.380 | 1.49% |
| 4 | Oct 19, 2016 | Nov 18, 2016 | Dec 09, 2016 | $0.380 | 1.29% |
| 5 | Jul 20, 2016 | Aug 19, 2016 | Sep 16, 2016 | $0.380 | 1.22% |
FAQ
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