Mercedes-benz Group Ag Stock Forecast

Sell candidate since Jul 20, 2026

The Mercedes-Benz Group AG stock price fell by -1.13% on the last day (Monday, 20th Jul 2026) from $52.00 to $51.41. It has now fallen 3 days in a row. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 2.23% from a day low at $51.21 to a day high of $52.35. The price has fallen in 6 of the last 10 days and is down by -1.08% for this period. Volume has increased on the last day by 1 thousand shares but on falling prices. This may be an early warning and the risk will be increased slightly over the next couple of days. In total, 9 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately $487.26 thousand.

The stock lies in the middle of a wide and falling trend in the short term and further fall within the trend is signaled. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to fall -15.36% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $39.68 and $46.83 at the end of this 3-month period. Do note, that if the stock price manages to stay at current levels or higher, our prediction target will start to change positively over the next few days as the conditions for the current predictions will be broken.

MBGAF Signals & Forecast

A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Friday, June 26, 2026, and so far it has risen 4.17%. Further rise is indicated until a new top pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. The Mercedes-Benz Group AG stock holds sell signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a more negative forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general sell signal from the relation between the two signals where the long-term average is above the short-term average. On corrections up, there will be some resistance from the lines at $51.52 and $53.34. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. Mercedes-Benz Group AG gained volume on the last day, but on falling prices. In technical terms, this is called divergence and may be an early warning. In some cases, increasing volume on falling prices may be considered positive, but that is mainly in typical "sell-offs".

Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Mercedes-Benz Group AG stock

Mercedes-Benz Group AG finds support from accumulated volume at $50.91 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.

This stock is usually traded at a good volume, and with minor daily changes, the risk is considered to be low. During the last day, the stock moved $1.14 (2.23%) between high and low. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 1.66%.

Our recommended stop-loss: We hold a negative evaluation for this stock. No stop-loss is set.

Trading Expectations (MBGAF) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Tuesday 21st

For the upcoming trading day on Tuesday, 21st we expect Mercedes-Benz Group AG to open at $51.66, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $50.79 and $52.03, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$1.25 (+/-2.45%) up or down from last closing price. If Mercedes-Benz Group AG takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 2.45% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.

Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at $51.53 (0.23%) than the support at $50.91 (0.97%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.

Is Mercedes-Benz Group AG stock A Buy?

Mercedes-Benz Group AG holds several negative signals and is within a wide and falling trend, so we believe it will still perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold a negative evaluation of this stock. Due to some small weaknesses in the technical picture we have downgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Hold to a Sell candidate.

Current score: -1.266 Sell Candidate Downgraded

Predicted Fair Opening Price

Predicted fair opening price on July 21, 2026 - $51.66 ( 0.480%).

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