Mercedes-Benz Group AG Stock Forecast
Evaluation of Mercedes-Benz Group AG stock downgraded after the last trading session.
(Updated on Jun 25, 2024)
The Mercedes-Benz Group AG stock price gained 0.84% on the last trading day (Tuesday, 25th Jun 2024), rising from $69.00 to $69.58. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 0.317% from a day low at $69.36 to a day high of $69.58. The price has fallen in 6 of the last 10 days and is down by -1.23% for this period. Volume fell on the last day by -4 thousand shares and in total, 2 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately $119.75 thousand. You should take into consideration that falling volume on higher prices causes divergence and may be an early warning about possible changes over the next couple of days.
The stock lies in the middle of a falling trend in the short term and further fall within the trend is signaled. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to fall -16.88% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $54.91 and $59.46 at the end of this 3-month period. Do note, that if the stock price manages to stay at current levels or higher, our prediction target will start to change positively over the next few days as the conditions for the current predictions will be broken.
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MBGAF Signals & Forecast
There are mixed signals in the stock today. The Mercedes-Benz Group AG stock holds a buy signal from the short-term Moving Average; at the same time, however, the long-term average holds a general sell signal. Since the longterm average is above the short-term average there is a general sell signal in the stock giving a more negative forecast for the stock. On further gains, the stock will meet resistance from the long-term Moving Average at $71.87. On a fall, the stock will find some support from the short-term average at $68.56. A break-up through the long-term average will give another buy signal, while a fall below the short-term average will add another sell signal and strengthen the general signal. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume fell during the last trading day while the price increased. This causes a divergence and may be considered as an early warning, but it may also not. A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Friday, June 14, 2024, and so far it has risen 3.14%. Further rise is indicated until a new top pivot has been found.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Mercedes-Benz Group AG stock
Mercedes-Benz Group AG finds support from accumulated volume at $69.00 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
In general the stock tends to have controlled movements and therefore the general risk is considered low. However, be aware of low or falling volume and make sure to keep an eye on the stock. During the last day, the stock moved $0.220 between high and low, or 0.317%. For the last week the stock has had daily average volatility of 0.740%.
Our recommended stop-loss: We hold a negative evaluation for this stock. No stop-loss is set.
Trading Expectations (MBGAF) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Wednesday 26th
For the upcoming trading day on Wednesday, 26th we expect Mercedes-Benz Group AG to open at $69.51, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $68.54 and $70.62, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$1.04 (+/-1.50%) up or down from last closing price. If Mercedes-Benz Group AG takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 2.99% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the support from accumulated volume at $69.00 (0.83%) than the resistance at $73.92 (6.23%), our systems sees the trading risk/reward intra-day as attractive and believe profit can be made before the stock reaches first resistance..
Is Mercedes-Benz Group AG stock A Buy?
Mercedes-Benz Group AG holds several negative signals and we believe that it will still perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We, therefore, hold a negative evaluation of this stock. Due to some small weaknesses in the technical picture we have downgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Hold/Accumulate to a Sell candidate.
Current score: -1.635 Sell Candidate Downgraded
Predicted Opening Price for Mercedes-Benz Group AG of Wednesday, June 26, 2024
| Fair opening price June 26, 2024 | Current price |
|---|---|
| $69.51 ( 0.105%) | $69.58 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for MBGAF
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |
|---|---|---|
| R3 | 69.73 | 0.211% |
| R2 | 69.64 | 0.0900% |
| R1 | 69.59 | 0.0154% |
| Price | 69.58 | |
| S1 | 69.42 | -0.226% |
| S2 | 69.37 | -0.301% |
| S3 | 69.29 | -0.422% |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |
|---|---|---|
| R3 | 75.75 | 8.87% |
| R2 | 74.98 | 7.76% |
| R1 | 73.92 | 6.23% |
| Price | 69.58 | |
| S1 | 69.00 | -0.83% |
| S2 | 68.30 | -1.84% |
| S3 | 67.46 | -3.05% |
MBGAF Dividend Payout History
| # | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | May 09, 2024 | May 09, 2024 | May 13, 2024 | $5.70 | 7.73% |
| 2 | May 04, 2023 | May 04, 2023 | May 08, 2023 | $5.76 | 7.84% |
| 3 | May 02, 2022 | May 02, 2022 | May 02, 2022 | $5.28 | 8.04% |
| 4 | Apr 01, 2021 | Apr 01, 2021 | Apr 01, 2021 | $1.58 | 1.78% |
| 5 | Jul 09, 2020 | Jul 09, 2020 | Jul 09, 2020 | $1.02 | 2.52% |
FAQ
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