- Beat earnings estimates in 3 of the last 4 quarters
- High gross margin of 70.1%
- Low bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score: 4.17)
MEDIFAST INC stock upgraded from Sell Candidate to Hold/Accumulate after Friday trading session
(Updated on Jun 26, 2026)
The MEDIFAST INC stock price gained 3.04% on the last trading day (Friday, 26th Jun 2026), rising from $10.20 to $10.51. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 5.48% from a day low at $10.04 to a day high of $10.59. The price has fallen in 8 of the last 10 days and is down by -11.83% for this period. Volume has increased on the last day along with the price, which is a positive technical sign, and, in total, 437 thousand more shares were traded than the day before. In total, 874 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately $9.19 million.
The stock lies in the lower part of a very wide and strong rising trend in the short term, and this may normally pose a very good buying opportunity. If the lower trend floor at $10.23 is broken, it will firstly indicate a slower rate of rising, but may also be an early warning for a trend shift. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to rise 13.00% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $11.55 and $15.43 at the end of this 3-month period.
MED Signals & Forecast
A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Thursday, June 25, 2026, and so far it has risen 3.04%. Further rise is indicated until a new top pivot has been found. Volume is rising along with the price. This is considered to be a good technical signal. Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. The MEDIFAST INC stock holds sell signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a more negative forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general sell signal from the relation between the two signals where the long-term average is above the short-term average. On corrections up, there will be some resistance from the lines at $10.71 and $12.06. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD).
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for MEDIFAST INC stock
MEDIFAST INC finds support from accumulated volume at $10.36 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
This stock may move much during the day (volatility) and with a large prediction interval from the Bollinger Band this stock is considered to be "high risk". During the last day, the stock moved $0.550 between high and low, or 5.48%. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 5.89%.
MEDIFAST INC is oversold on RSI14 (19). Some stocks may drop long and hard while being oversold on RSI before turning, which increases the general risk.
Our recommended stop-loss: $9.94 (-5.47%) (This stock has high daily movements and this gives high risk. Low RSI14 is 19 which reduces the risk some. There is a buy signal from a pivot bottom found 1 day ago.)
Trading Expectations (MED) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Monday 29th
For the upcoming trading day on Monday, 29th we expect MEDIFAST INC to open at $10.38, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $10.27 and $10.75, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$0.485 (+/-4.73%) up or down from last closing price. If MEDIFAST INC takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 4.73% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at $10.63 (1.14%) than the support at $10.36 (1.43%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.
Is MEDIFAST INC stock A Buy?
MEDIFAST INC holds several negative signals and this should be a sell candidate, but due to the general chance for a turnaround situation it should be considered as a hold candidate (hold or accumulate) in this position whilst awaiting further development. We have upgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Sell to a Hold candidate.
Current score:
-0.071
Hold/Accumulate
Upgraded
Predicted Fair Opening Price
Predicted fair opening price on June 29, 2026 - $10.38 ( 1.24%).
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MED Performance
Trading levels for MED
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |
|---|---|---|
| R3 | 10.93 | 4.00% |
| R2 | 10.72 | 2.00% |
| R1 | 10.59 | 0.762% |
| Price | 10.51 | |
| S1 | 10.17 | -3.24% |
| S2 | 10.04 | -4.47% |
| S3 | 9.83 | -6.47% |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |
|---|---|---|
| R3 | 13.02 | 23.88% |
| R2 | 11.04 | 5.04% |
| R1 | 10.63 | 1.14% |
| Price | 10.51 | |
| S1 | 10.36 | -1.43% |
| S2 | 10.20 | -2.95% |
| S3 | 9.99 | -4.95% |
MED Dividend Payout History
| # | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 07, 2023 | Sep 18, 2023 | Nov 07, 2023 | $1.65 | 2.40% |
| 2 | Jun 15, 2023 | Jun 26, 2023 | Aug 08, 2023 | $1.65 | 1.85% |
| 3 | Mar 16, 2023 | Mar 27, 2023 | May 09, 2023 | $1.65 | 1.89% |
| 4 | Dec 08, 2022 | Dec 19, 2022 | Feb 07, 2023 | $1.64 | 1.43% |
| 5 | Sep 08, 2022 | Sep 19, 2022 | Nov 08, 2022 | $1.64 | 1.50% |
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