Marathon Petroleum Stock Forecast

Buy or Hold candidate since Jul 01, 2026 Gain 17.87%

The Marathon Petroleum Corporation stock price gained 5.15% on the last trading day (Monday, 10th Aug 2026), rising from 260.00€ to 273.40€. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 5.97% from a day low at 258.00€ to a day high of 273.40€. The price has fallen in 6 of the last 10 days but is still up by 0.02% over the past 2 weeks. Volume fell on the last day by -32 shares and in total, 0 shares were bought and sold for approximately 0€ . You should take into consideration that falling volume on higher prices causes divergence and may be an early warning about possible changes over the next couple of days.

The stock lies in the middle of a wide and strong rising trend in the short term and a further rise within the trend is signaled. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to rise 29.62% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between 320.99€ and 382.95€ at the end of this 3-month period.

MPN.DE Signals & Forecast

The Marathon Petroleum Corporation stock holds buy signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a positive forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general buy signal from the relation between the two signals where the short-term average is above the long-term average. On corrections down, there will be some support from the lines at 266.51€ and 254.38€. A breakdown below any of these levels will issue sell signals. A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Thursday, August 06, 2026, and so far it has risen 5.56%. Further rise is indicated until a new top pivot has been found. Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume fell during the last trading day while the price increased. This causes a divergence and may be considered as an early warning, but it may not be. The very low volume increases the risk and reduces the other technical signals issued.

Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Marathon Petroleum Corporation stock

On the downside, the stock finds support just below today's level from accumulated volume at 234.80€ and 232.65€. There is a natural risk involved when a stock is testing a support level, since if this is broken, the stock then may fall to the next support level. In this case, Marathon Petroleum Corporation finds support just below today's level at 234.80€. If this is broken, then the next support from accumulated volume will be at 232.65€ and 215.15€.

In general the stock tends to have very controlled movements and therefore the general risk is considered very low. However, be aware of low or falling volume and make sure to keep an eye on the stock During the last day, the stock moved 15.40€ between high and low, or 5.97%. For the last week the stock has had daily average volatility of 3.72%

Our recommended stop-loss: 263.34€ (-3.68%) (This stock has very low daily movements and this gives very low risk. There is a buy signal from a pivot bottom found 2 days ago.)

Trading Expectations (MPN.DE) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Tuesday 11th

For the upcoming trading day on Tuesday, 11th we expect Marathon Petroleum Corporation to open at 268.27€, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between 269.45€ and 277.35€, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-7.90€ (+/-2.93%) up or down from last closing price. If Marathon Petroleum Corporation takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 2.93% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.

Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at 276.80€ (1.24%) than the support at 234.80€ (14.12%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.

Dividend Warning For MPN.DE

Dividend coming up for MPN.DE: Ex-dividend date (Wednesday 19th August, 2026) is 7 days away. The dividend is 0.87€.

Is Marathon Petroleum Corporation stock A Buy?

Several short-term signals, along with a general good trend, are positive and we conclude that the current level may hold a buying opportunity as there is a fair chance for Marathon Petroleum Corporation stock to perform well in the short-term.

Current score: 3.708 Buy Candidate Unchanged

Predicted Fair Opening Price

Predicted fair opening price on August 11, 2026 - 268.27€ ( 1.88%).

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