Monolithic Power Systems Stock Forecast

Sell candidate since Jun 16, 2026 Loss -5.00%

The Monolithic Power Systems stock price fell by -7.42% on the last day (Tuesday, 23rd Jun 2026) from $1,537.88 to $1,423.76. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 5.95% from a day low at $1,403.36 to a day high of $1,486.92. The price has fallen in 7 of the last 10 days and is down by -8.69% for this period. Volume has increased on the last day by 377 thousand shares but on falling prices. This may be an early warning and the risk will be increased slightly over the next couple of days. In total, 1 million shares were bought and sold for approximately $2.07 billion.

The stock lies in the lower part of a very wide and strong rising trend in the short term, and this may normally pose a very good buying opportunity. If the lower trend floor at $1,412.93 is broken, it will firstly indicate a slower rate of rising, but may also be an early warning for a trend shift. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to rise 32.68% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $1,874.69 and $2,364.26 at the end of this 3-month period.

MPWR Signals & Forecast

There are few to no technical positive signals at the moment. The Monolithic Power Systems stock holds sell signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a more negative forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general sell signal from the relation between the two signals where the long-term average is above the short-term average. On corrections up, there will be some resistance from the lines at $1,528.85 and $1,572.96. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Wednesday, June 03, 2026, and so far it has fallen -15.75%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume rose on falling prices yesterday. This may be an early warning and the stock should be followed more closely.

Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Monolithic Power Systems stock

On the downside, the stock finds support just below today's level from accumulated volume at $1,312.94 and $1,119.51. There is a natural risk involved when a stock is testing a support level, since if this is broken, the stock then may fall to the next support level. In this case, Monolithic Power Systems finds support just below today's level at $1,312.94. If this is broken, then the next support from accumulated volume will be at $1,119.51 and $1,093.35.

This stock has average movements during the day and with good trading volume, the risk is considered to be medium. During the last day, the stock moved $83.56 between high and low, or 5.95%. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 6.80%.

Our recommended stop-loss: We hold a negative evaluation for this stock. No stop-loss is set.

Trading Expectations (MPWR) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Wednesday 24th

For the upcoming trading day on Wednesday, 24th we expect Monolithic Power Systems to open at $1,438.01, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $1,372.25 and $1,475.27, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$103.02 (+/-7.51%) up or down from last closing price. If Monolithic Power Systems takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 7.51% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.

Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at $1,448.21 (1.72%) than the support at $1,312.94 (7.78%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.

Dividend Warning For MPWR

Dividend coming up for MPWR: Ex-dividend date (Tuesday 30th June, 2026) is 6 days away. The dividend is $2.00.

Is Monolithic Power Systems stock A Buy?

The Monolithic Power Systems stock holds several negative signals and despite the positive trend, we believe Monolithic Power Systems will perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. Therefore, we hold a negative evaluation of this stock.

Current score: -3.168 Sell Candidate Unchanged

Predicted Fair Opening Price

Predicted fair opening price on June 24, 2026 - $1,438.01 ( 1.00%).

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