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Evaluation of MXN/USD currency pair downgraded after the last trading session
(Updated on Jul 31, 2026)
The MXN/USD currency pair price fell by -0.0360% on the last day (Friday, 31st Jul 2026) from $0.0577 to $0.0577. During the last trading day the currency pair fluctuated 0.278% from a day low at $0.0576 to a day high of $0.0577. The price has risen in 6 of the last 10 days and is up by 1.19% over the past 2 weeks. Volume has increased on the last day by 41 thousand shares but on falling prices. This may be an early warning and the risk will be increased slightly over the next couple of days. In total, 42 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately $2.41 thousand.
The currency pairis at the upper part of a narrow and horizontal trend and normally this may pose a good selling opportunity but a break-up through the top trend line at $0.0578 will give a strong buy signal and a trend shift could be expected. Given the current horizontal trend, you can expect MXN/USD currency pair with a 90% probability to be traded between $0.0558 and $0.0571 at the end of this 3-month period. A break of a horizontal trend is often followed by a large increase in the volume, and currency pairs seldom manage to go directly from the bottom of a trend up to the top. Currency pairs turning up in the middle of a horizontal trend are therefore considered to be potential runners. Do note, that if the currency pair price manages to stay at current levels or higher, our prediction target will start to change positively over the next few days as the conditions for the current predictions will be broken.
MXNUSD Signals & Forecast
The MXN/USD currency pair holds buy signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a positive forecast for the currency pair, but the currency pair has a general sell signal from the relation between the two signals where the long-term average is above the short-term average. On corrections down, there will be some support from the lines at $0.0574 and $0.0574. A breakdown below any of these levels will issue sell signals. Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Thursday, July 30, 2026, and so far it has fallen -0.0360%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. MXN/USD gained volume on the last day, but on falling prices. In technical terms, this is called divergence and may be an early warning. In some cases, increasing volume on falling prices may be considered positive, but that is mainly in typical "sell-offs". The very low volume increases the risk and reduces the other technical signals issued. The currency pair had a Golden Star Signal on Tuesday, July 28, 2026 for the short-term and also have Golden Star Signal for the medium-term dated Monday, July 27, 2026.
Golden Star Signal is when the short-term moving average, the long-term moving average, and price line meet in a special combination. This combination is very rare and often followed by long and strong gains for the currency pair in question.
Golden Star
The currency pair had a Golden Star Signal on Tuesday, July 28, 2026 for the short-term and also have Golden Star Signal for the medium-term dated Monday, July 27, 2026.Golden Star Signal is when the short-term moving average, the long-term moving average, and price line meet in a special combination. This combination is very rare and often followed by long and strong gains for the currency pair in question.
Golden Star 12 Months
The currency pair had a Golden Star Signal on Tuesday, July 28, 2026 for the short-term and also have Golden Star Signal for the medium-term dated Monday, July 27, 2026.Golden Star Signal is when the short-term moving average, the long-term moving average, and price line meet in a special combination. This combination is very rare and often followed by long and strong gains for the currency pair in question.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for MXN/USD currency pair
MXN/USD finds support from accumulated volume at $0.0573 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
In general the currency pair tends to have very controlled movements and with good liquidity the risk is considered very low in this currency pair. During the last day, the currency pair moved $0.0002 between high and low, or 0.278%. For the last week the currency pair has had daily average volatility of 0.500%.
Our recommended stop-loss: We hold a negative evaluation for this stock. No stop-loss is set.
Trading Expectations (MXNUSD) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Monday 3rd
For the upcoming trading day on Monday, 3rd we expect MXN/USD to open at $0.0576, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $0.0575 and $0.0578, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$0.0003 (+/-0.58%) up or down from last closing price. If MXN/USD takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 0.58% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at $0.0580 (0.55%) than the support at $0.0573 (0.61%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.
Is MXN/USD currency pair A Buy?
MXN/USD holds several negative signals and we believe that it will still perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We, therefore, hold a negative evaluation of this currency pair. Due to some small weaknesses in the technical picture we have downgraded our analysis conclusion for this currency pair since the last evaluation from a Hold to a Sell candidate.
Current score:
-1.176
Sell Candidate
Downgraded
Predicted Fair Opening Price
Predicted fair opening price on August 3, 2026 - $0.0576 ( 0.0116%).
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MXNUSD Performance
Trading levels for MXNUSD
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |
|---|---|---|
| R3 | 0.0578 | 0.266% |
| R2 | 0.0577 | 0.160% |
| R1 | 0.0577 | 0.0945% |
| Price | 0.0577 | |
| S1 | 0.0576 | -0.118% |
| S2 | 0.0575 | -0.183% |
| S3 | 0.0575 | -0.289% |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |
|---|---|---|
| R3 | 0.0580 | 0.668% |
| R2 | 0.0580 | 0.624% |
| R1 | 0.0580 | 0.551% |
| Price | 0.0577 | |
| S1 | 0.0573 | -0.607% |
| S2 | 0.0572 | -0.712% |
| S3 | 0.0572 | -0.83% |
FAQ
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Buy MXNUSD
A sell signal from a double top formation was found on Tuesday, June 16, 2026 and based on theory for this formation the price should fall by -1.03% to $0.0571 within 23 trading days (Tuesday, July 21, 2026) since signal was issued.