Nippon Steel Stock Forecast

Buy or Hold candidate since Jul 24, 2026 Gain 8.00%

The Nippon Steel Corporation stock price gained 5.12% on the last trading day (Friday, 31st Jul 2026), rising from $3.75 to $3.94. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 0.203% from a day low at $3.94 to a day high of $3.95. The price has risen in 6 of the last 10 days and is up by 5.83% over the past 2 weeks. Volume fell on the last day by -2 thousand shares and in total, 40 shares were bought and sold for approximately $157.68 . You should take into consideration that falling volume on higher prices causes divergence and may be an early warning about possible changes over the next couple of days.

The stock lies in the middle of a wide and weak rising trend in the short term and a further rise within the trend is signaled. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to rise 2.44% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $3.43 and $4.24 at the end of this 3-month period.

NISTF Signals & Forecast

The Nippon Steel Corporation stock holds buy signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a positive forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general buy signal from the relation between the two signals where the short-term average is above the long-term average. On corrections down, there will be some support from the lines at $3.86 and $3.57. A breakdown below any of these levels will issue sell signals. Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Wednesday, July 29, 2026, and so far it has fallen -4.78%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Volume fell during the last trading day while the price increased. This causes a divergence and may be considered as an early warning, but it may not be. The very low volume increases the risk and reduces the other technical signals issued.

Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Nippon Steel Corporation stock

On the downside, the stock finds support just below today's level from accumulated volume at $3.69 and $3.64. There is a natural risk involved when a stock is testing a support level, since if this is broken, the stock then may fall to the next support level. In this case, Nippon Steel Corporation finds support just below today's level at $3.69. If this is broken, then the next support from accumulated volume will be at $3.64 and $3.45.

This stock has average movements during the day, but be aware of low or falling volume as this increases the risk. During the last day, the stock moved $0.0080 between high and low, or 0.203%. For the last week the stock has had daily average volatility of 6.03%.

Our recommended stop-loss: $3.75 (-4.94%) (This stock has medium daily movements and this gives medium risk. There is a sell signal from a pivot top found 2 days ago.)

Trading Expectations (NISTF) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Monday 3rd

For the upcoming trading day on Monday, 3rd we expect Nippon Steel Corporation to open at $3.94, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $3.83 and $4.06, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$0.230 (+/-6.00%) up or down from last closing price. If Nippon Steel Corporation takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 6.00% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.

Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at $3.95 (0.08%) than the support at $3.69 (6.39%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.

Dividend Warning For NISTF

Dividend coming up for NISTF: Ex-dividend date (Tuesday 29th September, 2026) is 58 days away. The dividend is $0.0600.

Is Nippon Steel Corporation stock A Buy?

Several short-term signals, along with a general good trend, are positive and we conclude that the current level may hold a buying opportunity as there is a fair chance for Nippon Steel Corporation stock to perform well in the short-term. We have upgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Hold to a Buy candidate.

Current score: 3.402 Buy Candidate Upgraded

Predicted Fair Opening Price

Predicted fair opening price on August 3, 2026 - $3.94 ( 0.0676%).

Want to trade but not sure how? Our step-by-step guide can help.
Skip the guide? Open account with our trusted broker*
*Your capital is at risk