Nomura Holdings Adr Stock Forecast

Buy or Hold candidate since May 29, 2026 Gain 21.09%

The Nomura Holdings Inc ADR stock price fell by -1.31% on the last day (Monday, 10th Aug 2026) from $9.95 to $9.82. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 0.716% from a day low at $9.78 to a day high of $9.85. The price has been going up and down for this period, and there has been a 0.31% gain for the last 2 weeks. Volume has increased on the last day by 25 thousand shares but on falling prices. This may be an early warning and the risk will be increased slightly over the next couple of days. In total, 497 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately $4.88 million.

The stock lies in the lower part of a strong rising trend in the short term, and this may normally pose a very good buying opportunity. If the lower trend floor at $9.76 is broken, it will firstly indicate a slower rate of rising, but may also be an early warning for a trend shift. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to rise 26.23% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $12.31 and $13.49 at the end of this 3-month period.

NMR Signals & Forecast

There are mixed signals in the stock today. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Wednesday, July 15, 2026, and so far it has fallen -2.19%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume rose on falling prices yesterday. This may be an early warning and the stock should be followed more closely. The Nomura Holdings Inc ADR stock holds buy signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a positive forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general buy signal from the relation between the two signals where the short-term average is above the long-term average. On corrections down, there will be some support from the lines at $9.80 and $9.46. A breakdown below any of these levels will issue sell signals. The stock had a Golden Star Signal on Friday, May 29, 2026 in the short-term chart.

Golden Star Signal is when the short-term moving average, the long-term moving average, and price line meet in a special combination. This combination is very rare and often followed by long and strong gains for the stock in question.

Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Nomura Holdings Inc ADR stock

On the downside, the stock finds support just below today's level from accumulated volume at $8.79 and $8.11. There is a natural risk involved when a stock is testing a support level, since if this is broken, the stock then may fall to the next support level. In this case, Nomura Holdings Inc ADR finds support just below today's level at $8.79. If this is broken, then the next support from accumulated volume will be at $8.11 and $7.90.

In general the stock tends to have very controlled movements and with good liquidity the risk is considered very low in this stock. During the last day, the stock moved $0.0700 between high and low, or 0.716%. For the last week the stock has had daily average volatility of 1.14%.

Our recommended stop-loss: $9.52 (-3.09%) (This stock has very low daily movements and this gives very low risk. There is a sell signal from a pivot top found 18 days ago.)

Trading Expectations (NMR) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Tuesday 11th

For the upcoming trading day on Tuesday, 11th we expect Nomura Holdings Inc ADR to open at $9.82, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $9.71 and $9.93, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$0.222 (+/-2.29%) up or down from last closing price. If Nomura Holdings Inc ADR takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 2.29% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.

Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at $9.92 (1.02%) than the support at $8.79 (10.49%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.

Is Nomura Holdings Inc ADR stock A Buy?

Several short-term signals, along with a general good trend, are positive and we conclude that the current level may hold a buying opportunity as there is a fair chance for Nomura Holdings Inc ADR stock to perform well in the short-term.

Current score: 2.841 Buy Candidate Unchanged

Predicted Fair Opening Price

Predicted fair opening price on August 11, 2026 - $9.82 ( 0.0339%).

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