Noah Holdings Stock Forecast

Sell candidate since Jun 24, 2026 Loss -1.97%

The Noah Holdings Ltd stock price fell by -1.97% on the last day (Thursday, 25th Jun 2026) from $10.14 to $9.94. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 2.72% from a day low at $9.93 to a day high of $10.20. The price has been going up and down for this period, and there has been a -1.58% loss for the last 2 weeks. Volume has increased on the last day by 12 thousand shares but on falling prices. This may be an early warning and the risk will be increased slightly over the next couple of days. In total, 58 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately $574.43 thousand.

The stock has broken the weak rising short-term trend down. This signalizes a slower rate of rising, but may also be an early warning about a possible trend shift. Due to the trend being broken there will now be resistance at the bottom line of the trend at $10.10. A reaction back to this level may hold a second chance to get out before further falls.

NOAH Signals & Forecast

There are few to no technical positive signals at the moment. The Noah Holdings Ltd stock holds sell signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a more negative forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general sell signal from the relation between the two signals where the long-term average is above the short-term average. On corrections up, there will be some resistance from the lines at $10.25 and $10.37. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Monday, June 01, 2026, and so far it has fallen -6.67%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Noah Holdings Ltd gained volume on the last day, but on falling prices. In technical terms, this is called divergence and may be an early warning. In some cases, increasing volume on falling prices may be considered positive, but that is mainly in typical "sell-offs".

Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Noah Holdings Ltd stock

Noah Holdings Ltd finds support from accumulated volume at $9.90 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.

In general the stock tends to have very controlled movements and with good liquidity the risk is considered very low in this stock. During the last day, the stock moved $0.270 between high and low, or 2.72%. For the last week the stock has had daily average volatility of 2.40%.

Our recommended stop-loss: We hold a negative evaluation for this stock. No stop-loss is set.

Trading Expectations (NOAH) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Friday 26th

For the upcoming trading day on Friday, 26th we expect Noah Holdings Ltd to open at $10.02, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $9.80 and $10.08, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$0.270 (+/-2.75%) up or down from last closing price. If Noah Holdings Ltd takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 2.75% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.

Since the stock is closer to the support from accumulated volume at $9.90 (0.40%) than the resistance at $10.02 (0.80%), our systems sees the trading risk/reward intra-day as attractive and believe profit can be made before the stock reaches first resistance..

Dividend Warning For NOAH

Dividend coming up for NOAH: Ex-dividend date (Thursday 9th July, 2026) is 12 days away. The dividend is $1.38.

Is Noah Holdings Ltd stock A Buy?

The Noah Holdings Ltd stock holds several negative signals and despite the positive trend, we believe Noah Holdings Ltd will perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. Therefore, we hold a negative evaluation of this stock.

Current score: -1.306 Sell Candidate Unchanged

Predicted Fair Opening Price

Predicted fair opening price on June 26, 2026 - $10.02 ( 0.84%).

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