National Bank Of Canada Stock Forecast

Buy or Hold candidate since Jun 11, 2026 Gain 8.56%

The National Bank of Canada stock price fell by -0.0123% on the last day (Friday, 31st Jul 2026) from $162.01 to $161.99. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 1.91% from a day low at $160.32 to a day high of $163.39. The price has fallen in 6 of the last 10 days and is down by -2.33% for this period. Volume has increased on the last day by 87 shares but on falling prices. This may be an early warning and the risk will be increased slightly over the next couple of days. In total, 200 shares were bought and sold for approximately $32.40 thousand.

The stock lies in the middle of a wide and strong rising trend in the short term and a further rise within the trend is signaled. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to rise 11.05% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $171.95 and $189.48 at the end of this 3-month period.

NTIOF Signals & Forecast

There are mixed signals in the stock today. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Wednesday, July 15, 2026, and so far it has fallen -3.17%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). National Bank of Canada gained volume on the last day, but on falling prices. In technical terms, this is called divergence and may be an early warning. In some cases, increasing volume on falling prices may be considered positive, but that is mainly in typical "sell-offs". The very low volume increases the risk and reduces the other technical signals issued. The National Bank of Canada stock holds buy signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a positive forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general buy signal from the relation between the two signals where the short-term average is above the long-term average. On corrections down, there will be some support from the lines at $161.28 and $159.05. A breakdown below any of these levels will issue sell signals.

Support, Risk & Stop-loss for National Bank of Canada stock

On the downside, the stock finds support just below today's level from accumulated volume at $153.89 and $148.04. There is a natural risk involved when a stock is testing a support level, since if this is broken, the stock then may fall to the next support level. In this case, National Bank of Canada finds support just below today's level at $153.89. If this is broken, then the next support from accumulated volume will be at $148.04 and $143.15.

In general the stock tends to have very controlled movements and with good liquidity the risk is considered very low in this stock. During the last day, the stock moved $3.07 between high and low, or 1.91%. For the last week the stock has had daily average volatility of 1.15%.

Our recommended stop-loss: $156.34 (-3.49%) (This stock has very low daily movements and this gives very low risk. There is a sell signal from a pivot top found 12 days ago.)

Trading Expectations (NTIOF) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Monday 3rd

For the upcoming trading day on Monday, 3rd we expect National Bank of Canada to open at $161.90, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $160.62 and $163.36, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$2.74 (+/-1.70%) up or down from last closing price. If National Bank of Canada takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 1.70% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.

Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at $162.51 (0.32%) than the support at $153.89 (5.00%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.

Is National Bank of Canada stock A Buy?

Several short-term signals, along with a general good trend, are positive and we conclude that the current level may hold a buying opportunity as there is a fair chance for National Bank of Canada stock to perform well in the short-term.

Current score: 3.336 Buy Candidate Unchanged

Predicted Fair Opening Price

Predicted fair opening price on August 3, 2026 - $161.90 ( 0.0556%).

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