- 21.15% TTM dividend yield
- Strong operating margin of 33.5%
- High gross margin of 71.0%
Weaker technical forecast for Orchid Island Capital as stock downgraded to Sell Candidate
(Updated on Jun 22, 2026)
The Orchid Island Capital stock price fell by -1.19% on the last day (Monday, 22nd Jun 2026) from $6.70 to $6.62. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 1.89% from a day low at $6.61 to a day high of $6.74. The price has been going up and down for this period, and there has been a -0.45% loss for the last 2 weeks. Volume fell on the last day along with the stock, which is actually a good sign as volume should follow the stock. On the last day, the trading volume fell by -3 million shares and in total, 3 million shares were bought and sold for approximately $20.47 million.
The stock lies in the middle of a falling trend in the short term and further fall within the trend is signaled. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to fall -7.05% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $5.92 and $6.48 at the end of this 3-month period. Do note, that if the stock price manages to stay at current levels or higher, our prediction target will start to change positively over the next few days as the conditions for the current predictions will be broken.
ORC Signals & Forecast
Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. The Orchid Island Capital stock holds a buy signal from the short-term Moving Average; at the same time, however, the long-term average holds a general sell signal. Since the longterm average is above the short-term average there is a general sell signal in the stock giving a more negative forecast for the stock. On further gains, the stock will meet resistance from the long-term Moving Average at $6.78. On a fall, the stock will find some support from the short-term average at $6.62. A break-up through the long-term average will give another buy signal, while a fall below the short-term average will add another sell signal and strengthen the general signal. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Thursday, June 18, 2026, and so far it has fallen -1.19%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Volume fell together with the price during the last trading day and this reduces the overall risk as volume should follow the price movements.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Orchid Island Capital stock
Orchid Island Capital finds support from accumulated volume at $6.61 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
This stock is usually traded at a good volume, and with minor daily changes, the risk is considered to be low. During the last day, the stock moved $0.125 (1.89%) between high and low. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 1.61%.
Our recommended stop-loss: We hold a negative evaluation for this stock. No stop-loss is set.
Trading Expectations (ORC) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Tuesday 23rd
For the upcoming trading day on Tuesday, 23rd we expect Orchid Island Capital Inc to open at $6.66, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $6.55 and $6.69, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$0.131 (+/-2.00%) up or down from last closing price. If Orchid Island Capital Inc takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 2.00% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the support from accumulated volume at $6.61 (0.15%) than the resistance at $6.80 (2.72%), our systems sees the trading risk/reward intra-day as attractive and believe profit can be made before the stock reaches first resistance..
Is Orchid Island Capital Inc stock A Buy?
Orchid Island Capital holds several negative signals and we believe that it will still perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We, therefore, hold a negative evaluation of this stock. Due to some small weaknesses in the technical picture we have downgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Hold to a Sell candidate.
Current score:
-3.432
Sell Candidate
Downgraded
Predicted Fair Opening Price
Predicted fair opening price on June 23, 2026 - $6.66 ( 0.529%).
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ORC Performance
Trading levels for ORC
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |
|---|---|---|
| R3 | 6.78 | 2.42% |
| R2 | 6.73 | 1.70% |
| R1 | 6.70 | 1.25% |
| Price | 6.62 | |
| S1 | 6.61 | -0.193% |
| S2 | 6.58 | -0.638% |
| S3 | 6.53 | -1.36% |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |
|---|---|---|
| R3 | 7.05 | 6.50% |
| R2 | 6.95 | 4.98% |
| R1 | 6.80 | 2.72% |
| Price | 6.62 | |
| S1 | 6.61 | -0.151% |
| S2 | 6.60 | -0.302% |
| S3 | 6.45 | -2.57% |
ORC Dividend Payout History
| # | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jun 09, 2026 | Jun 30, 2026 | Jul 30, 2026 | $0.100 | 1.52% |
| 2 | May 13, 2026 | May 29, 2026 | Jun 29, 2026 | $0.100 | 1.46% |
| 3 | Apr 15, 2026 | Apr 30, 2026 | May 28, 2026 | $0.100 | 1.43% |
| 4 | Mar 18, 2026 | Mar 31, 2026 | Apr 29, 2026 | $0.120 | 1.74% |
| 5 | Feb 11, 2026 | Feb 27, 2026 | Mar 30, 2026 | $0.120 | 1.60% |
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