- Strong return on equity of 50.6%
- Strong operating margin of 30.8%
- High gross margin of 65.8%
Weaker technical forecast for Oracle as stock downgraded to Strong Sell Candidate
(Updated on Jul 20, 2026)
The Oracle stock price experienced a decline of -4.04% on the latest trading day (Monday, 20th Jul 2026), dropping from $126.48 to $121.37. Throughout the last trading session, the stock exhibited a fluctuation of 4.55%, with a low of $120.03 and a high of $125.49. Over the past 10 days, the stock has declined in 7 of those days, resulting in an overall decrease of -15.57%. Additionally, trading volume increased on the last day by 120 thousand shares, albeit amidst falling prices. This could serve as an early warning sign, suggesting that the risk may rise slightly in the coming days. In total, 34 million shares were exchanged, totaling approximately $4.09 billion.
The stock lies in the lower of a very wide and falling trend in the short term, and this may normally pose a very good buying opportunity. If the lower trend floor at $113.16 is broken, it will firstly indicate a stronger fall rate. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to fall -19.94% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $90.59 and $175.07 at the end of this 3-month period.
ORCL Signals & Forecast
Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. The Oracle stock holds sell signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a more negative forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general sell signal from the relation between the two signals where the long-term average is above the short-term average. On corrections up, there will be some resistance from the lines at $129.31 and $171.05. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Monday, June 01, 2026, and so far it has fallen -51.09%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Volume rose on falling prices yesterday. This may be an early warning and the stock should be followed more closely.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Oracle stock
There is no support from accumulated volume below today's level and given the right condition the stock may perform very badly in the next couple of days.
This stock may move much during the day (volatility) and with a large prediction interval from the Bollinger Band this stock is considered to be "high risk". During the last day, the stock moved $5.46 between high and low, or 4.55%. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 4.92%.
Our recommended stop-loss: We hold a negative evaluation for this stock. No stop-loss is set.
Trading Expectations (ORCL) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Tuesday 21st
For the upcoming trading day on Tuesday, 21st we expect Oracle Corporation to open at $122.30, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $117.23 and $125.51, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$8.27 (+/-7.06%) up or down from last closing price. If Oracle Corporation takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 7.06% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
With no support below and resistance from accumulated volume @ $124.27, some $2.90 (2.39%) from the current price of $121.37, our system finds the risk reward not very attractive.
Is Oracle Corporation stock A Buy?
Oracle holds several negative signals and is within a very wide and falling trend, so we believe it will still perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold a negative evaluation of this stock. Due to some small weaknesses in the technical picture we have downgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Sell to a Strong Sell candidate.
Current score:
-5.654
Strong Sell Candidate
Downgraded
Predicted Fair Opening Price
Predicted fair opening price on July 21, 2026 - $122.30 ( 0.763%).
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ORCL Performance
Trading levels for ORCL
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |
|---|---|---|
| R3 | 127.76 | 5.26% |
| R2 | 125.67 | 3.54% |
| R1 | 124.38 | 2.48% |
| Price | 121.37 | |
| S1 | 120.21 | -0.95% |
| S2 | 118.92 | -2.02% |
| S3 | 116.84 | -3.73% |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |
|---|---|---|
| R3 | 132.54 | 9.20% |
| R2 | 131.86 | 8.64% |
| R1 | 124.27 | 2.39% |
| Price | 121.37 | |
| S1 | 0 | - |
| S2 | 0 | - |
| S3 | 0 | - |
ORCL Dividend Payout History
| # | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jul 10, 2026 | Jul 10, 2026 | Jul 24, 2026 | $0.500 | 0.272% |
| 2 | Apr 09, 2026 | Apr 09, 2026 | Apr 24, 2026 | $0.500 | 0.307% |
| 3 | Dec 10, 2025 | Jan 09, 2026 | Jan 23, 2026 | $0.500 | 0.271% |
| 4 | Oct 09, 2025 | Oct 09, 2025 | Oct 23, 2025 | $0.500 | 0.152% |
| 5 | Jul 10, 2025 | Jul 10, 2025 | Jul 24, 2025 | $0.500 | 0.232% |
FAQ
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