Oracle Stock Forecast
Weaker technical forecast for Oracle as stock downgraded to Sell Candidate.
(Updated on Apr 18, 2024)
The Oracle stock price fell by -2.25% on the last day (Thursday, 18th Apr 2024) from $118.67 to $116.00. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 2.64% from a day low at $115.70 to a day high of $118.76. The price has fallen in 7 of the last 10 days and is down by -6.59% for this period. Volume has increased on the last day by 1 million shares but on falling prices. This may be an early warning and the risk will be increased slightly over the next couple of days. In total, 6 million shares were bought and sold for approximately $737.77 million.
Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to rise 12.02% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $129.94 and $149.97 at the end of this 3-month period.
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ORCL Signals & Forecast
There are few to no technical positive signals at the moment. The Oracle stock holds sell signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a more negative forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general sell signal from the relation between the two signals where the long-term average is above the short-term average. On corrections up, there will be some resistance from the lines at $120.18 and $121.95. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Wednesday, March 20, 2024, and so far it has fallen -10.24%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume rose on falling prices yesterday. This may be an early warning and the stock should be followed more closely.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Oracle stock
Oracle finds support from accumulated volume at $114.31 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
This stock is usually traded at a good volume, and with minor daily changes, the risk is considered to be low. During the last day, the stock moved $3.06 (2.64%) between high and low. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 1.97%.
Our recommended stop-loss: We hold a negative evaluation for this stock. No stop-loss is set.
Trading Expectations (ORCL) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Friday 19th
For the upcoming trading day on Friday, 19th we expect Oracle Corporation to open at $116.82, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $113.43 and $118.57, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$2.57 (+/-2.22%) up or down from last closing price. If Oracle Corporation takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 4.44% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the support from accumulated volume at $114.31 (1.46%) than the resistance at $125.52 (8.21%), our systems sees the trading risk/reward intra-day as attractive and believe profit can be made before the stock reaches first resistance..
Is Oracle Corporation stock A Buy?
The Oracle stock holds several negative signals and despite the positive trend, we believe Oracle will perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. Therefore, we hold a negative evaluation of this stock. Due to some small weaknesses in the technical picture we have downgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Hold/Accumulate to a Sell candidate.
Current score: -2.593 Sell Candidate Downgraded
Predicted Opening Price for Oracle Corporation of Friday, April 19, 2024
Fair opening price April 19, 2024 | Current price |
---|---|
$116.82 ( 0.707%) | $116.00 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for ORCL
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
Level | Price | |||
---|---|---|---|---|
Resistance | R3 | 119.88 | 3.34 % | |
R2 | 118.71 | 2.34 % | ||
R1 | 117.99 | 1.71 % | ||
Current price: | 116.00 | |||
Support | S1 | 115.65 | -0.301 % | |
S2 | 114.93 | -0.92 % | ||
S3 | 113.76 | -1.93 % |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
Level | Price | |||
---|---|---|---|---|
Resistance | R3 | 129.01 | 11.22 % | |
R2 | 127.54 | 9.95 % | ||
R1 | 125.52 | 8.21 % | ||
Current price | 116.00 | |||
Support | S1 | 114.31 | -1.46% | |
S2 | 114.13 | -1.61% | ||
S3 | 111.68 | -3.72% |
ORCL Dividend Payout History
# | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Mar 11, 2024 | Apr 10, 2024 | Apr 24, 2024 | $0.400 | 0.345% |
2 | Mar 11, 2024 | Apr 09, 2024 | Apr 24, 2024 | $0.400 | 0.345% |
3 | Dec 11, 2023 | Jan 10, 2024 | Jan 25, 2024 | $0.400 | 0.348% |
4 | Sep 11, 2023 | Oct 11, 2023 | Oct 26, 2023 | $0.400 | 0.398% |
5 | Jun 12, 2023 | Jul 11, 2023 | Jul 26, 2023 | $0.400 | 0.346% |
FAQ
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