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Weaker technical forecast for Oatly Group AB as stock downgraded to Hold/Accumulate
(Updated on Jul 01, 2026)

Buy or Hold candidate since Jun 29, 2026 Loss -1.76%

The Oatly Group AB stock price gained 1.71% on the last trading day (Wednesday, 1st Jul 2026), rising from $9.35 to $9.51. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 3.42% from a day low at $9.35 to a day high of $9.67. The price has risen in 7 of the last 10 days and is up by 18.43% over the past 2 weeks. Volume fell on the last day by -13 thousand shares and in total, 39 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately $375.51 thousand. You should take into consideration that falling volume on higher prices causes divergence and may be an early warning about possible changes over the next couple of days.

The stock lies the upper part of a very wide and falling trend in the short term, and this may normally pose a very good selling opportunity for the short-term trader as reaction back towards the lower part of the trend can be expected. A break up at the top trend line at $9.92 will firstly indicate a slower falling rate, but may be the first sign of a trend shift. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to fall -31.34% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $5.00 and $6.81 at the end of this 3-month period. Do note, that if the stock price manages to stay at current levels or higher, our prediction target will start to change positively over the next few days as the conditions for the current predictions will be broken.

OTLY Signals & Forecast

The Oatly Group AB stock holds buy signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a positive forecast for the stock, but the stock has a general sell signal from the relation between the two signals where the long-term average is above the short-term average. On corrections down, there will be some support from the lines at $9.02 and $9.14. A breakdown below any of these levels will issue sell signals. Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Monday, June 29, 2026, and so far it has fallen -1.76%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Volume fell during the last trading day while the price increased. This causes a divergence and may be considered as an early warning, but it may also not.

Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Oatly Group AB stock

On the downside, the stock finds support just below today's level from accumulated volume at $8.42 and $8.30. There is a natural risk involved when a stock is testing a support level, since if this is broken, the stock then may fall to the next support level. In this case, Oatly Group AB finds support just below today's level at $8.42. If this is broken, then the next support from accumulated volume will be at $8.30 and $8.19.

This stock has average movements during the day, but be aware of low or falling volume as this increases the risk. During the last day, the stock moved $0.320 between high and low, or 3.42%. For the last week the stock has had daily average volatility of 5.08%.

Our recommended stop-loss: $9.16 (-3.67%) (This stock has medium daily movements and this gives medium risk. There is a sell signal from a pivot top found 2 days ago.)

Trading Expectations (OTLY) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Thursday 2nd

For the upcoming trading day on Thursday, 2nd we expect Oatly Group AB to open at $9.51, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $9.29 and $9.73, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$0.431 (+/-4.63%) up or down from last closing price. If Oatly Group AB takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 4.63% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.

Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at $9.68 (1.79%) than the support at $8.42 (11.46%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.

Is Oatly Group AB stock A Buy?

Oatly Group AB holds several positive signals, but we still don't find these to be enough for a buy candidate. At the current level, it should be considered as a hold candidate (hold or accumulate) in this position whilst awaiting further development. Due to some small weaknesses in the technical picture we have downgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Buy to a Hold candidate.

Current score: 0.512 Hold/Accumulate Downgraded

Predicted Fair Opening Price

Predicted fair opening price on July 2, 2026 - $9.51 ( 0%).

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OTLY Performance

Trading levels for OTLY

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Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels

Level Price
R3 9.83 3.36%
R2 9.71 2.08%
R1 9.63 1.29%
Price 9.51
S1 9.39 -1.29%
S2 9.31 -2.08%
S3 9.19 -3.36%

Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels

Level Price
R3 11.18 17.56%
R2 10.05 5.68%
R1 9.68 1.79%
Price 9.51
S1 8.42 -11.46%
S2 8.30 -12.72%
S3 8.19 -13.88%

FAQ

What is the symbol for Oatly Group AB Stock and on which exchange is it traded?
The symbol for Oatly Group AB is OTLY and it is traded on the NASDAQ (NASDAQ Stock Exchange).

Should I buy or sell Oatly Group AB Stock?
Oatly Group AB holds several positive signals, but we still don't find these to be enough for a buy candidate. At the current level, it should be considered as a hold candidate (hold or accumulate) in this position whilst awaiting further development. Due to some small weaknesses in the technical picture we have downgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Buy to a Hold candidate.

How to buy Oatly Group AB Stock?
Oatly Group AB Stock can be purchased through just about any brokerage firm, including online brokerage services.
Click here for our free guide on how to buy Oatly Group AB Stock.

What's the current price of Oatly Group AB Stock?
As of the end of day on the Jul 01, 2026, the price of an Oatly Group AB (OTLY) share was $9.51.

What is the 52-week high and low for Oatly Group AB Stock?
The 52-week high for Oatly Group AB Stock is $18.84 and the 52-week low is $8.01.

What is the market capitalization of Oatly Group AB Stock?
As of the Jul 01, 2026, the market capitalization of Oatly Group AB is 296.95M.

When is the next earnings date for Oatly Group AB?
The upcoming earnings date for Oatly Group AB is Jul 22, 2026.
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ABOUT OATLY GROUP AB
Oatly Group AB
Oatly Group AB, an oatmilk company, provides a range of plant-based dairy products made from oats in Sweden. It offers Barista edition oatmilk, oatgurts, frozen desserts, ice-creams, and yogurts; ready-to-go drinks, such as cold brew latte, mocha latte, matcha latte, and mini oat drink in original and chocolate flavors; and cooking products, including Cooking Cream, in regular and organic, Crème Fraiche, Whipping Cream, Vanilla Custard and Sprea...
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