Provident Financial Services Stock Forecast

Buy or Hold candidate since Jun 09, 2026 Loss -1.05%

The Provident Financial Services Inc stock price gained 0.487% on the last trading day (Thursday, 18th Jun 2026), rising from $22.61 to $22.72. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 1.48% from a day low at $22.61 to a day high of $22.95. The price has risen in 8 of the last 10 days and is up by 1.7% over the past 2 weeks. Volume has increased on the last day along with the price, which is a positive technical sign, and, in total, 1 million more shares were traded than the day before. In total, 2 million shares were bought and sold for approximately $47.53 million.

The stock lies in the middle of a weak rising trend in the short term and a further rise within the trend is signaled. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to rise 7.52% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $23.47 and $25.40 at the end of this 3-month period.

PFS Signals & Forecast

The Provident Financial Services Inc stock holds a sell signal from the short-term Moving Average; at the same time, however, there is a buy signal from the long-term average. Since the short-term average is above the long-term average there is a general buy signal in the stock giving a positive forecast for the stock. On further gains, the stock will meet resistance from the short-term Moving Average at approximately $23.07. On a fall, the stock will find some support from the long-term average at approximately $22.37. A break-up through the short-term average will send a buy signal, whereas a breakdown through the long-term average will send a sell signal. Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume is rising along with the price. This is considered to be a good technical signal. Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Friday, June 12, 2026, and so far it has fallen -3.40%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. The stock had a Golden Star Signal on Tuesday, June 02, 2026 in the short-term chart.

Golden Star Signal is when the short-term moving average, the long-term moving average, and price line meet in a special combination. This combination is very rare and often followed by long and strong gains for the stock in question.

Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Provident Financial Services Inc stock

Provident Financial Services Inc finds support from accumulated volume at $22.67 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.

This stock is usually traded at a good volume, and with minor daily changes, the risk is considered to be low. During the last day, the stock moved $0.335 (1.48%) between high and low. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 2.32%.

Our recommended stop-loss: $21.59 (-4.97%) (This stock has low daily movements and this gives low risk. There is a sell signal from a pivot top found 4 days ago.)

Trading Expectations (PFS) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Monday 22nd

For the upcoming trading day on Monday, 22nd we expect Provident Financial Services Inc to open at $22.76, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $22.46 and $22.98, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$0.519 (+/-2.31%) up or down from last closing price. If Provident Financial Services Inc takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 2.31% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.

Since the stock is closer to the support from accumulated volume at $22.67 (0.22%) than the resistance at $22.81 (0.40%), our systems sees the trading risk/reward intra-day as attractive and believe profit can be made before the stock reaches first resistance..

Is Provident Financial Services Inc stock A Buy?

Several short-term signals, along with a general good trend, are positive and we conclude that the current level may hold a buying opportunity as there is a fair chance for Provident Financial Services Inc stock to perform well in the short-term. We have upgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Hold to a Buy candidate.

Current score: 2.003 Buy Candidate Upgraded

Predicted Fair Opening Price

Predicted fair opening price on June 22, 2026 - $22.76 ( 0.169%).

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