- Strong operating margin of 28.3%
- High gross margin of 70.5%
- Highly efficient cash conversion (101% FCF/OCF ratio)
PennyMac Financial Services Inc stock upgraded from Sell Candidate to Hold/Accumulate after Wednesday trading session
(Updated on Jun 10, 2026)
The PennyMac Financial Services Inc stock price fell by -2.05% on the last day (Wednesday, 10th Jun 2026) from $81.76 to $80.08. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 3.06% from a day low at $79.95 to a day high of $82.39. The price has fallen in 7 of the last 10 days and is down by -8.36% for this period. Volume fell on the last day along with the stock, which is actually a good sign as volume should follow the stock. On the last day, the trading volume fell by -196 thousand shares and in total, 230 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately $18.42 million.
The stock lies in the lower of a wide and falling trend in the short term, and this may normally pose a very good buying opportunity. If the lower trend floor at $79.42 is broken, it will firstly indicate a stronger fall rate. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to fall -4.47% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $75.87 and $87.93 at the end of this 3-month period.
PFSI Signals & Forecast
A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Monday, June 08, 2026, and so far it has risen 0.654%. Further rise is indicated until a new top pivot has been found. Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. The PennyMac Financial Services Inc stock holds sell signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a more negative forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general sell signal from the relation between the two signals where the long-term average is above the short-term average. On corrections up, there will be some resistance from the lines at $81.26 and $86.66. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume fell together with the price during the last trading day and this reduces the overall risk as volume should follow the price movements.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for PennyMac Financial Services Inc stock
PennyMac Financial Services Inc finds support from accumulated volume at $79.56 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
This stock has average movements during the day and with good trading volume, the risk is considered to be medium. During the last day, the stock moved $2.44 between high and low, or 3.06%. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 2.73%.
Our recommended stop-loss: $75.18 (-6.12%) (This stock has medium daily movements and this gives medium risk. There is a buy signal from a pivot bottom found 2 days ago.)
Trading Expectations (PFSI) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Thursday 11th
For the upcoming trading day on Thursday, 11th we expect PennyMac Financial Services Inc to open at $80.81, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $78.88 and $81.28, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$2.41 (+/-3.05%) up or down from last closing price. If PennyMac Financial Services Inc takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 3.05% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the support from accumulated volume at $79.56 (0.65%) than the resistance at $87.07 (8.73%), our systems sees the trading risk/reward intra-day as attractive and believe profit can be made before the stock reaches first resistance..
Is PennyMac Financial Services Inc stock A Buy?
PennyMac Financial Services Inc holds several negative signals and this should be a sell candidate, but due to the general chance for a turnaround situation it should be considered as a hold candidate (hold or accumulate) in this position whilst awaiting further development. We have upgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Sell to a Hold candidate.
Current score:
-0.162
Hold/Accumulate
Upgraded
Predicted Fair Opening Price
Predicted fair opening price on June 11, 2026 - $80.81 ( 0.91%).
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PFSI Performance
Trading levels for PFSI
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |
|---|---|---|
| R3 | 83.25 | 3.96% |
| R2 | 82.32 | 2.79% |
| R1 | 81.74 | 2.07% |
| Price | 80.08 | |
| S1 | 79.87 | -0.257% |
| S2 | 79.30 | -0.98% |
| S3 | 78.36 | -2.14% |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |
|---|---|---|
| R3 | 91.77 | 14.60% |
| R2 | 87.48 | 9.24% |
| R1 | 87.07 | 8.73% |
| Price | 80.08 | |
| S1 | 79.56 | -0.649% |
| S2 | 0 | - |
| S3 | 0 | - |
PFSI Dividend Payout History
| # | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | May 18, 2026 | May 18, 2026 | May 28, 2026 | $0.300 | 0.345% |
| 2 | Feb 13, 2026 | Feb 13, 2026 | Feb 26, 2026 | $0.300 | 0.300% |
| 3 | Nov 17, 2025 | Nov 17, 2025 | Nov 26, 2025 | $0.300 | 0.232% |
| 4 | Aug 13, 2025 | Aug 13, 2025 | Aug 22, 2025 | $0.300 | 0.322% |
| 5 | May 14, 2025 | May 14, 2025 | May 23, 2025 | $0.300 | 0.297% |
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