Pennymac Financial Services Stock Forecast

Sell candidate since Jul 30, 2026 Loss -0.03%

The PennyMac Financial Services Inc stock price fell by -2.02% on the last day (Monday, 10th Aug 2026) from $77.41 to $75.85. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 3.37% from a day low at $74.58 to a day high of $77.09. The price has risen in 6 of the last 10 days but is still down by -10.2% for this period. Volume fell on the last day along with the stock, which is actually a good sign as volume should follow the stock. On the last day, the trading volume fell by -482 thousand shares and in total, 770 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately $58.39 million.

The stock lies in the lower of a wide and falling trend in the short term, and this may normally pose a very good buying opportunity. If the lower trend floor at $74.77 is broken, it will firstly indicate a stronger fall rate. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to fall -7.26% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $69.34 and $78.01 at the end of this 3-month period.

PFSI Signals & Forecast

A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Friday, July 31, 2026, and so far it has risen 0.583%. Further rise is indicated until a new top pivot has been found. Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. The PennyMac Financial Services Inc stock holds sell signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a more negative forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general sell signal from the relation between the two signals where the long-term average is above the short-term average. On corrections up, there will be some resistance from the lines at $76.42 and $82.09. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume fell together with the price during the last trading day and this reduces the overall risk as volume should follow the price movements.

Support, Risk & Stop-loss for PennyMac Financial Services Inc stock

PennyMac Financial Services Inc finds support from accumulated volume at $75.41 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.

This stock has average movements during the day and with good trading volume, the risk is considered to be medium. During the last day, the stock moved $2.51 between high and low, or 3.37%. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 3.23%.

Our recommended stop-loss: We hold a negative evaluation for this stock. No stop-loss is set.

Trading Expectations (PFSI) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Tuesday 11th

For the upcoming trading day on Tuesday, 11th we expect PennyMac Financial Services Inc to open at $75.84, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $74.38 and $77.32, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$2.94 (+/-3.95%) up or down from last closing price. If PennyMac Financial Services Inc takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 3.95% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.

Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at $75.87 (0.03%) than the support at $75.41 (0.58%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.

Dividend Warning For PFSI

Dividend warning for PFSI: Ex-dividend date is approaching in 5 days on Monday 17th August, 2026. The dividend to be paid is $0.300, which is a small dividend (0.396%). The stock is expected to open approximately 0.396% lower on the ex-dividend date.

Is PennyMac Financial Services Inc stock A Buy?

PennyMac Financial Services Inc holds several negative signals and is within a wide and falling trend, so we believe it will still perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold a negative evaluation of this stock.

Current score: -4.756 Sell Candidate Unchanged

Predicted Fair Opening Price

Predicted fair opening price on August 11, 2026 - $75.84 ( 0.0132%).

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