Pagaya Technologies Stock Forecast

Buy or Hold candidate since Jun 04, 2026 Gain 10.54%

The Pagaya Technologies Ltd. stock price fell by -0.350% on the last day (Monday, 20th Jul 2026) from $17.15 to $17.09. It has now fallen 4 days in a row. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 4.50% from a day low at $16.65 to a day high of $17.40. The price has fallen in 7 of the last 10 days and is down by -8.66% for this period. Volume fell on the last day along with the stock, which is actually a good sign as volume should follow the stock. On the last day, the trading volume fell by -677 thousand shares and in total, 2 million shares were bought and sold for approximately $39.52 million.

The stock lies in the middle of a very wide and strong rising trend in the short term and a further rise within the trend is signaled. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to rise 31.63% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $20.68 and $25.93 at the end of this 3-month period.

PGY Signals & Forecast

The Pagaya Technologies Ltd. stock holds a sell signal from the short-term Moving Average; at the same time, however, there is a buy signal from the long-term average. Since the short-term average is above the long-term average there is a general buy signal in the stock giving a positive forecast for the stock. On further gains, the stock will meet resistance from the short-term Moving Average at approximately $17.65. On a fall, the stock will find some support from the long-term average at approximately $16.32. A break-up through the short-term average will send a buy signal, whereas a breakdown through the long-term average will send a sell signal. Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Wednesday, July 01, 2026, and so far it has fallen -8.95%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume fell together with the price during the last trading day and this reduces the overall risk as volume should follow the price movements.

Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Pagaya Technologies Ltd. stock

On the downside, the stock finds support just below today's level from accumulated volume at $15.87 and $15.50. There is a natural risk involved when a stock is testing a support level, since if this is broken, the stock then may fall to the next support level. In this case, Pagaya Technologies Ltd. finds support just below today's level at $15.87. If this is broken, then the next support from accumulated volume will be at $15.50 and $13.96.

This stock may move much during the day (volatility) and with a large prediction interval from the Bollinger Band this stock is considered to be "high risk". During the last day, the stock moved $0.750 between high and low, or 4.50%. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 5.70%.

Our recommended stop-loss: $16.17 (-5.37%) (This stock has high daily movements and this gives high risk. There is a sell signal from a pivot top found 12 days ago.)

Trading Expectations (PGY) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Tuesday 21st

For the upcoming trading day on Tuesday, 21st we expect Pagaya Technologies Ltd. to open at $17.05, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $16.53 and $17.65, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$1.12 (+/-6.79%) up or down from last closing price. If Pagaya Technologies Ltd. takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 6.79% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.

Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at $17.79 (4.10%) than the support at $15.87 (7.14%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.

Is Pagaya Technologies Ltd. stock A Buy?

Several short-term signals, along with a general good trend, are positive and we conclude that the current level may hold a buying opportunity as there is a fair chance for Pagaya Technologies Ltd. stock to perform well in the short-term. We have upgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Hold to a Buy candidate.

Current score: 1.043 Buy Candidate Upgraded

Predicted Fair Opening Price

Predicted fair opening price on July 21, 2026 - $17.05 ( 0.254%).

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