Pagaya Technologies Stock Forecast

Buy or Hold candidate since Jun 04, 2026 Gain 18.05%

The Pagaya Technologies Ltd. stock price gained 9.74% on the last trading day (Tuesday, 30th Jun 2026), rising from $16.63 to $18.25. It has now gained 5 days in a row. It will be exciting to see whether it manages to continue gaining or take a minor break for the next few days. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 11.80% from a day low at $16.70 to a day high of $18.67. The price has risen in 6 of the last 10 days and is up by 16.39% over the past 2 weeks. Volume has increased on the last day along with the price, which is a positive technical sign, and, in total, 3 million more shares were traded than the day before. In total, 7 million shares were bought and sold for approximately $123.52 million.

The stock has broken the very wide and strong rising the short-term trend up and an even stronger rate of rising is indicated. For any reaction back there will now be support on the roof on the current trend broken at $17.74, a level that may pose a second chance to hit a runner. According to fan-theory $21.31 will be the next possible trend-top level and thereby pose a resistance level that may not be broken at the first attempt.

PGY Signals & Forecast

The Pagaya Technologies Ltd. stock holds buy signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a positive forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general buy signal from the relation between the two signals where the short-term average is above the long-term average. On corrections down, there will be some support from the lines at $15.93 and $14.67. A breakdown below any of these levels will issue sell signals. A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Tuesday, May 19, 2026, and so far it has risen 44.38%. Further rise is indicated until a new top pivot has been found. Volume is rising along with the price. This is considered to be a good technical signal. Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD).

Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Pagaya Technologies Ltd. stock

On the downside, the stock finds support just below today's level from accumulated volume at $15.87 and $15.50. There is a natural risk involved when a stock is testing a support level, since if this is broken, the stock then may fall to the next support level. In this case, Pagaya Technologies Ltd. finds support just below today's level at $15.87. If this is broken, then the next support from accumulated volume will be at $15.50 and $13.96.

This stock has average movements during the day and with good trading volume, the risk is considered to be medium. During the last day, the stock moved $1.97 between high and low, or 11.80%. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 7.30%.

Our recommended stop-loss: $17.61 (-3.52%) (This stock has medium daily movements and this gives medium risk. There is a buy signal from a pivot bottom found 28 days ago.)

Trading Expectations (PGY) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Wednesday 1st

For the upcoming trading day on Wednesday, 1st we expect Pagaya Technologies Ltd. to open at $17.87, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $17.67 and $18.83, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$1.15 (+/-6.52%) up or down from last closing price. If Pagaya Technologies Ltd. takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 6.52% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.

With no resistance above and support from accumulated volume @ $15.87, some $2.38 (13.04%) from the current price of $18.25, our system finds the risk reward attractive.

Is Pagaya Technologies Ltd. stock A Buy?

Pagaya Technologies Ltd. holds several positive signals, but we still don't find these to be enough for a buy candidate. At the current level, it should be considered as a hold candidate (hold or accumulate) in this position whilst awaiting further development. Due to some small weaknesses in the technical picture we have downgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Strong Buy to a Hold candidate.

Current score: 0.000 Hold/Accumulate Downgraded

Zero in score indicates that our system is expecting high volatility and risk for the following trading day. Given the latest developments, we cannot determine the next direction as it may go both ways.

Predicted Fair Opening Price

Predicted fair opening price on July 1, 2026 - $17.87 ( 2.06%).

Want to trade but not sure how? Our step-by-step guide can help.
Skip the guide? Open account with our trusted broker*
*Your capital is at risk