Pagaya Technologies Stock Forecast

Buy or Hold candidate since Jun 04, 2026 Loss -4.27%

The Pagaya Technologies Ltd. stock price fell by -3.14% on the last day (Tuesday, 9th Jun 2026) from $15.28 to $14.80. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 12.52% from a day low at $14.22 to a day high of $16.00. The price has risen in 6 of the last 10 days and is up by 10.53% over the past 2 weeks. Volume has increased on the last day by 721 thousand shares but on falling prices. This may be an early warning and the risk will be increased slightly over the next couple of days. In total, 4 million shares were bought and sold for approximately $60.66 million.

The stock lies in the middle of a wide and strong rising trend in the short term and a further rise within the trend is signaled. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to rise 33.16% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $17.92 and $21.33 at the end of this 3-month period.

PGY Signals & Forecast

The Pagaya Technologies Ltd. stock holds a sell signal from the short-term Moving Average; at the same time, however, there is a buy signal from the long-term average. Since the short-term average is above the long-term average there is a general buy signal in the stock giving a positive forecast for the stock. On further gains, the stock will meet resistance from the short-term Moving Average at approximately $15.00. On a fall, the stock will find some support from the long-term average at approximately $14.07. A break-up through the short-term average will send a buy signal, whereas a breakdown through the long-term average will send a sell signal. Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Monday, June 01, 2026, and so far it has fallen -5.37%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Volume rose on falling prices yesterday. This may be an early warning and the stock should be followed more closely.

Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Pagaya Technologies Ltd. stock

Pagaya Technologies Ltd. finds support from accumulated volume at $14.71 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.

This stock may move much during the day (volatility) and with a large prediction interval from the Bollinger Band this stock is considered to be "high risk". During the last day, the stock moved $1.78 between high and low, or 12.52%. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 11.23%.

Our recommended stop-loss: $14.17 (-4.28%) (This stock has high daily movements and this gives high risk. There is a sell signal from a pivot top found 6 days ago.)

Trading Expectations (PGY) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Wednesday 10th

For the upcoming trading day on Wednesday, 10th we expect Pagaya Technologies Ltd. to open at $15.01, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $14.23 and $15.37, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$1.14 (+/-8.03%) up or down from last closing price. If Pagaya Technologies Ltd. takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 8.03% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.

Since the stock is closer to the support from accumulated volume at $14.71 (0.61%) than the resistance at $15.19 (2.64%), our systems sees the trading risk/reward intra-day as attractive and believe profit can be made before the stock reaches first resistance..

Is Pagaya Technologies Ltd. stock A Buy?

Pagaya Technologies Ltd. holds several positive signals, but we still don't find these to be enough for a buy candidate. At the current level, it should be considered as a hold candidate (hold or accumulate) in this position whilst awaiting further development. Due to some small weaknesses in the technical picture we have downgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Buy to a Hold candidate.

Current score: 0.575 Hold/Accumulate Downgraded

Predicted Fair Opening Price

Predicted fair opening price on June 10, 2026 - $15.01 ( 1.40%).

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