Pagaya Technologies Stock Forecast

Buy or Hold candidate since Jul 30, 2026 Gain 22.45%

The Pagaya Technologies Ltd. stock price gained 1.50% on the last trading day (Monday, 10th Aug 2026), rising from $21.28 to $21.60. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 5.26% from a day low at $20.73 to a day high of $21.82. The price has fallen in 6 of the last 10 days but is still up by 27.36% over the past 2 weeks. Volume has increased on the last day along with the price, which is a positive technical sign, and, in total, 666 thousand more shares were traded than the day before. In total, 2 million shares were bought and sold for approximately $51.88 million.

The stock lies in the middle of a very wide and strong rising trend in the short term and a further rise within the trend is signaled. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to rise 45.56% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $24.91 and $33.21 at the end of this 3-month period.

PGY Signals & Forecast

The Pagaya Technologies Ltd. stock holds buy signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a positive forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general buy signal from the relation between the two signals where the short-term average is above the long-term average. On corrections down, there will be some support from the lines at $21.36 and $17.92. A breakdown below any of these levels will issue sell signals. Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume is rising along with the price. This is considered to be a good technical signal. Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Monday, August 03, 2026, and so far it has fallen -2.88%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found.

Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Pagaya Technologies Ltd. stock

On the downside, the stock finds support just below today's level from accumulated volume at $19.27 and $18.25. There is a natural risk involved when a stock is testing a support level, since if this is broken, the stock then may fall to the next support level. In this case, Pagaya Technologies Ltd. finds support just below today's level at $19.27. If this is broken, then the next support from accumulated volume will be at $18.25 and $17.64.

This stock may move very much during the day (volatility) and with a very large prediction interval from the Bollinger Band this stock is considered to be "very high risk". During the last day, the stock moved $1.09 between high and low, or 5.26%. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 5.17%.

Our recommended stop-loss: $20.63 (-4.48%) (This stock has very high daily movements and this gives very high risk. There is a sell signal from a pivot top found 5 days ago.)

Trading Expectations (PGY) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Tuesday 11th

For the upcoming trading day on Tuesday, 11th we expect Pagaya Technologies Ltd. to open at $21.38, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $20.97 and $22.23, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$1.27 (+/-6.03%) up or down from last closing price. If Pagaya Technologies Ltd. takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 6.03% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.

Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at $21.80 (0.93%) than the support at $19.27 (10.79%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.

Is Pagaya Technologies Ltd. stock A Buy?

Several short-term signals, along with a general good trend, are positive and we conclude that the current level may hold a buying opportunity as there is a fair chance for Pagaya Technologies Ltd. stock to perform well in the short-term.

Current score: 1.581 Buy Candidate Unchanged

Predicted Fair Opening Price

Predicted fair opening price on August 11, 2026 - $21.38 ( 1.01%).

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