Alpha Architect U.S. Quantitative Value ETF Forecast

$44.75
+0.720 (+1.64%)
At Close: Mar 27, 2024
RSI low/high Values: [ 30 - 75 ]
* StockInvest.us uses dynamically calculated RSI max/min levels to determine when stock is oversold or overbought based on historical behavior.
AI Analysis of QVAL
Powered by GPT-4
Upgraded!
Stock Analysis
Risk Assessment
Trading Strategy

Weaker technical forecast for Alpha Architect U.S. Quantitative Value as ETF downgraded to Hold/Accumulate.
(Updated on Mar 27, 2024)

Buy or Hold candidate since Jan 25, 2024 Gain 10.41% PDF

The Alpha Architect U.S. Quantitative Value ETF price gained 1.64% on the last trading day (Wednesday, 27th Mar 2024), rising from $44.03 to $44.75. During the last trading day the ETF fluctuated 1.38% from a day low at $44.14 to a day high of $44.75. The price has risen in 6 of the last 10 days and is up by 3.67% over the past 2 weeks. Volume fell on the last day by -865 shares and in total, 12 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately $548.55 thousand. You should take into consideration that falling volume on higher prices causes divergence and may be an early warning about possible changes over the next couple of days.

The ETF has broken the narrow and strong rising the short-term trend up and an even stronger rate of rising is indicated. For any reaction back there will now be support on the roof on the current trend broken at $44.29, a level that may pose a second chance to hit a runner. According to fan-theory $46.03 will be the next possible trend-top level and thereby pose a resistance level that may not be broken at the first attempt.

Ready to grow your portfolio? Here's your beginner's guide to opening a free brokerage account.

QVAL Signals & Forecast

The Alpha Architect U.S. Quantitative Value ETF holds buy signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a positive forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general buy signal from the relation between the two signals where the short-term average is above the long-term average. On corrections down, there will be some support from the lines at $44.02 and $42.25. A breakdown below any of these levels will issue sell signals. A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Tuesday, February 20, 2024, and so far it has risen 9.80%. Further rise is indicated until a new top pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. Volume fell during the last trading day while the price increased. This causes a divergence and may be considered as an early warning, but it may also not. The ETF had a Golden Star Signal on Wednesday, November 01, 2023 in the long-term chart.

Golden Star Signal is when the short-term moving average, the long-term moving average, and price line meet in a special combination. This combination is very rare and often followed by long and strong gains for the ETF in question.

Buy
Special Signal Notification

Golden Star 12 Months

The ETF had a Golden Star Signal on Wednesday, November 01, 2023 in the long-term chart.

Golden Star Signal is when the short-term moving average, the long-term moving average, and price line meet in a special combination. This combination is very rare and often followed by long and strong gains for the ETF in question.
Sell
Special Signal Notification

Double Top Formation

Double Top Formation

Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Alpha Architect U.S. Quantitative Value ETF

On the downside, the ETF finds support just below today's level from accumulated volume at $41.80 and $40.44. There is a natural risk involved when a ETF is testing a support level, since if this is broken, the ETF then may fall to the next support level. In this case, Alpha Architect U.S. Quantitative Value finds support just below today's level at $41.80. If this is broken, then the next support from accumulated volume will be at $40.44 and $39.85.

In general the ETF tends to have very controlled movements and therefore the general risk is considered very low. However, be aware of low or falling volume and make sure to keep an eye on the ETF During the last day, the ETF moved $0.610 between high and low, or 1.38%. For the last week the ETF has had daily average volatility of 0.722%

Our recommended stop-loss: $43.02 (-3.86%) (This ETF has low daily movements and this gives low risk. There is a buy signal from a pivot bottom found 26 days ago.)

Trading Expectations (QVAL) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Thursday 28th

For the upcoming trading day on Thursday, 28th we expect Alpha Architect U.S. Quantitative Value ETF to open at $44.55, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $44.28 and $45.22, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$0.466 (+/-1.04%) up or down from last closing price. If Alpha Architect U.S. Quantitative Value ETF takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 2.08% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.

With no resistance above and support from accumulated volume @ $41.80, some $2.95 (6.59%) from the current price of $44.75, our system finds the risk reward attractive.

Is Alpha Architect U.S. Quantitative Value ETF ETF A Buy?

Alpha Architect U.S. Quantitative Value holds several positive signals, but we still don't find these to be enough for a buy candidate. At the current level, it should be considered as a hold candidate (hold or accumulate) in this position whilst awaiting further development. Due to some small weaknesses in the technical picture we have downgraded our analysis conclusion for this ETF since the last evaluation from a Buy to a Hold/Accumulate candidate.

Current score: 0.000 Hold/Accumulate Downgraded

Zero in score indicates that our system is expecting high volatility and risk for the following trading day. Given the latest developments, we cannot determine the next direction as it may go both ways.

Predicted Opening Price for Alpha Architect U.S. Quantitative Value ETF of Thursday, March 28, 2024

Fair opening price March 28, 2024 Current price
$44.55 ( 0.454%) $44.75

The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.

Trading levels for QVAL

Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels

Level Price
Resistance R3 45.16 0.91 %
R2 44.92 0.388 %
R1 44.78 0.0663 %
Current price: 44.75
Support S1 44.31 -0.98 %
S2 44.17 -1.30 %
S3 43.94 -1.82 %

Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels

Level Price
Resistance R3 0 .
R2 0 .
R1 0 .
Current price 44.75
Support S1 41.80 -6.59%
S2 40.44 -9.63%
S3 39.85 -10.95%

QVAL Dividend Payout History


# Declaration Date Ex-Date Pay Date Amount Yield
1 Mar 13, 2024 Mar 13, 2024 Mar 15, 2024 $0.139 0.325%
2 Dec 19, 2023 Dec 20, 2023 Dec 22, 2023 $0.190 0.469%
3 Sep 26, 2023 Sep 27, 2023 Sep 29, 2023 $0.137 0.369%
4 Jun 27, 2023 Jun 28, 2023 Jun 30, 2023 $0.201 0.581%
5 Mar 28, 2023 Mar 29, 2023 Mar 31, 2023 $0.183 0.541%

FAQ

What is the symbol for Alpha Architect U.S. Quantitative Value ETF ETF and on which exchange is it traded?
The symbol for Alpha Architect U.S. Quantitative Value ETF is QVAL and it is traded on the BATS (BATS Global Markets).

Should I buy or sell Alpha Architect U.S. Quantitative Value ETF ETF?
Alpha Architect U.S. Quantitative Value holds several positive signals, but we still don't find these to be enough for a buy candidate. At the current level, it should be considered as a hold candidate (hold or accumulate) in this position whilst awaiting further development. Due to some small weaknesses in the technical picture we have downgraded our analysis conclusion for this ETF since the last evaluation from a Buy to a Hold/Accumulate candidate.

How to buy Alpha Architect U.S. Quantitative Value ETF ETF?
Alpha Architect U.S. Quantitative Value ETF ETF can be purchased through just about any brokerage firm, including online brokerage services.
Click here for our free guide on how to buy Alpha Architect U.S. Quantitative Value ETF ETF.

What's the current price of Alpha Architect U.S. Quantitative Value ETF ETF?
As of the end of day on the 2024-03-27, the price of an Alpha Architect U.S. Quantitative Value ETF (QVAL) share was $44.75.

What is the 52-week high and low for Alpha Architect U.S. Quantitative Value ETF ETF?
The 52-week high for Alpha Architect U.S. Quantitative Value ETF ETF is $44.75 and the 52-week low is $30.93.

What is the market capitalization of Alpha Architect U.S. Quantitative Value ETF ETF?
As of the 2024-03-27, the market capitalization of Alpha Architect U.S. Quantitative Value ETF is 391.621M.
Click to get the best stock tips daily for free!