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Evaluation of First Trust Exchange-Traded Fund III ETF downgraded after the last trading session
(Updated on Jun 23, 2026)
The First Trust Exchange-Traded Fund III ETF price fell by -1.41% on the last day (Tuesday, 23rd Jun 2026) from $88.40 to $87.15. During the last trading day the ETF fluctuated 0.379% from a day low at $87.13 to a day high of $87.46. The price has risen in 7 of the last 10 days and is up by 1.19% over the past 2 weeks. Volume has increased on the last day by 2 thousand shares but on falling prices. This may be an early warning and the risk will be increased slightly over the next couple of days. In total, 5 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately $449.88 thousand.
The ETF lies in the middle of a weak rising trend in the short term and a further rise within the trend is signaled. Given the current short-term trend, the ETF is expected to rise 6.19% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $89.84 and $94.63 at the end of this 3-month period.
RFDI Signals & Forecast
The First Trust Exchange-Traded Fund III ETF holds a sell signal from the short-term Moving Average; at the same time, however, there is a buy signal from the long-term average. Since the short-term average is above the long-term average there is a general buy signal in the ETF giving a positive forecast for the ETF. On further gains, the ETF will meet resistance from the short-term Moving Average at approximately $88.26. On a fall, the ETF will find some support from the long-term average at approximately $86.82. A break-up through the short-term average will send a buy signal, whereas a breakdown through the long-term average will send a sell signal. Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Tuesday, June 16, 2026, and so far it has fallen -1.83%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. First Trust Exchange-Traded Fund III gained volume on the last day, but on falling prices. In technical terms, this is called divergence and may be an early warning. In some cases, increasing volume on falling prices may be considered positive, but that is mainly in typical "sell-offs".
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for First Trust Exchange-Traded Fund III ETF
First Trust Exchange-Traded Fund III finds support from accumulated volume at $86.30 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
In general the ETF tends to have very controlled movements and with good liquidity the risk is considered very low in this ETF. During the last day, the ETF moved $0.330 between high and low, or 0.379%. For the last week the ETF has had daily average volatility of 0.664%.
Our recommended stop-loss: We hold a negative evaluation for this stock. No stop-loss is set.
Trading Expectations (RFDI) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Wednesday 24th
For the upcoming trading day on Wednesday, 24th we expect First Trust Exchange-Traded Fund III RiverFront Dynamic Developed Intl ETF to open at $87.25, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $86.69 and $87.61, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$0.92 (+/-1.06%) up or down from last closing price. If First Trust Exchange-Traded Fund III RiverFront Dynamic Developed Intl ETF takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 1.06% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at $87.49 (0.39%) than the support at $86.30 (0.98%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.
Is First Trust Exchange-Traded Fund III RiverFront Dynamic Developed Intl ETF ETF A Buy?
First Trust Exchange-Traded Fund III holds several negative signals and we believe that it will still perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We, therefore, hold a negative evaluation of this ETF. Due to some small weaknesses in the technical picture we have downgraded our analysis conclusion for this ETF since the last evaluation from a Buy to a Sell candidate.
Current score:
-1.467
Sell Candidate
Downgraded
Predicted Fair Opening Price
Predicted fair opening price on June 24, 2026 - $87.25 ( 0.109%).
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RFDI Performance
Trading levels for RFDI
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |
|---|---|---|
| R3 | 87.58 | 0.488% |
| R2 | 87.45 | 0.343% |
| R1 | 87.37 | 0.254% |
| Price | 87.15 | |
| S1 | 87.12 | -0.0357% |
| S2 | 87.04 | -0.125% |
| S3 | 86.92 | -0.270% |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |
|---|---|---|
| R3 | 88.78 | 1.87% |
| R2 | 88.15 | 1.15% |
| R1 | 87.49 | 0.387% |
| Price | 87.15 | |
| S1 | 86.30 | -0.98% |
| S2 | 85.60 | -1.79% |
| S3 | 85.22 | -2.21% |
RFDI Dividend Payout History
| # | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mar 26, 2026 | Mar 26, 2026 | Mar 31, 2026 | $0.349 | 0.435% |
| 2 | Dec 11, 2025 | Dec 12, 2025 | Dec 31, 2025 | $1.00 | 1.25% |
| 3 | Sep 25, 2025 | Sep 25, 2025 | Sep 30, 2025 | $0.385 | 0.506% |
| 4 | Jun 25, 2025 | Jun 26, 2025 | Jun 30, 2025 | $1.10 | 1.51% |
| 5 | Mar 26, 2025 | Mar 27, 2025 | Mar 31, 2025 | $0.299 | 0.450% |
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