- Bullish trend confirmed on both short and long timeframes
- Trading above its 200-day moving average
- Lower volatility than the market (beta 0.76)
First Trust Exchange-Traded Fund III ETF upgraded from Hold/Accumulate to Buy Candidate after Monday trading session
(Updated on Jul 13, 2026)
The First Trust Exchange-Traded Fund III ETF price fell by -0.644% on the last day (Monday, 13th Jul 2026) from $88.05 to $87.49. During the last trading day the ETF fluctuated 0.492% from a day low at $87.34 to a day high of $87.77. The price has risen in 6 of the last 10 days and is up by 1.26% over the past 2 weeks. Volume fell on the last day along with the ETF, which is actually a good sign as volume should follow the ETF. On the last day, the trading volume fell by -3 thousand shares and in total, 1 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately $89.67 thousand.
The ETF lies in the middle of a narrow and weak rising trend in the short term and a further rise within the trend is signaled. Given the current short-term trend, the ETF is expected to rise 2.31% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $87.95 and $91.41 at the end of this 3-month period.
RFDI Signals & Forecast
The First Trust Exchange-Traded Fund III ETF holds a sell signal from the short-term Moving Average; at the same time, however, there is a buy signal from the long-term average. Since the short-term average is above the long-term average there is a general buy signal in the ETF giving a positive forecast for the ETF. On further gains, the ETF will meet resistance from the short-term Moving Average at approximately $87.74. On a fall, the ETF will find some support from the long-term average at approximately $87.20. A break-up through the short-term average will send a buy signal, whereas a breakdown through the long-term average will send a sell signal. A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Wednesday, July 01, 2026, and so far it has risen 1.31%. Further rise is indicated until a new top pivot has been found. Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume fell along with the price during the last trading day which is technical positive. One should, however, note that this ETF may have low liquidity in periods, which increases the general risk. The very low volume increases the risk and reduces the other technical signals issued.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for First Trust Exchange-Traded Fund III ETF
First Trust Exchange-Traded Fund III finds support from accumulated volume at $86.81 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
In general the ETF tends to have very controlled movements and therefore the general risk is considered very low. However, be aware of low or falling volume and make sure to keep an eye on the ETF During the last day, the ETF moved $0.430 between high and low, or 0.492%. For the last week the ETF has had daily average volatility of 0.401%
Our recommended stop-loss: $82.43 (-5.78%) (This ETF has very low daily movements and this gives very low risk. There is a buy signal from a pivot bottom found 7 days ago.)
Trading Expectations (RFDI) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Tuesday 14th
For the upcoming trading day on Tuesday, 14th we expect First Trust Exchange-Traded Fund III RiverFront Dynamic Developed Intl ETF to open at $87.53, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $87.11 and $87.86, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$0.743 (+/-0.85%) up or down from last closing price. If First Trust Exchange-Traded Fund III RiverFront Dynamic Developed Intl ETF takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 0.85% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at $87.60 (0.13%) than the support at $86.81 (0.78%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.
Is First Trust Exchange-Traded Fund III RiverFront Dynamic Developed Intl ETF ETF A Buy?
Several short-term signals, along with a general good trend, are positive and we conclude that the current level may hold a buying opportunity as there is a fair chance for First Trust Exchange-Traded Fund III ETF to perform well in the short-term. We have upgraded our analysis conclusion for this ETF since the last evaluation from a Hold to a Buy candidate.
Current score:
3.275
Buy Candidate
Upgraded
Predicted Fair Opening Price
Predicted fair opening price on July 14, 2026 - $87.53 ( 0.0531%).
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RFDI Performance
Trading levels for RFDI
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |
|---|---|---|
| R3 | 87.96 | 0.545% |
| R2 | 87.80 | 0.357% |
| R1 | 87.70 | 0.241% |
| Price | 87.49 | |
| S1 | 87.37 | -0.135% |
| S2 | 87.27 | -0.251% |
| S3 | 87.10 | -0.438% |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |
|---|---|---|
| R3 | 88.78 | 1.48% |
| R2 | 87.64 | 0.181% |
| R1 | 87.60 | 0.127% |
| Price | 87.49 | |
| S1 | 86.81 | -0.776% |
| S2 | 86.30 | -1.36% |
| S3 | 85.22 | -2.59% |
RFDI Dividend Payout History
| # | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jun 24, 2026 | Jun 25, 2026 | Jun 30, 2026 | $1.07 | 1.24% |
| 2 | Mar 26, 2026 | Mar 26, 2026 | Mar 31, 2026 | $0.349 | 0.435% |
| 3 | Dec 11, 2025 | Dec 12, 2025 | Dec 31, 2025 | $1.00 | 1.25% |
| 4 | Sep 25, 2025 | Sep 25, 2025 | Sep 30, 2025 | $0.385 | 0.506% |
| 5 | Jun 25, 2025 | Jun 26, 2025 | Jun 30, 2025 | $1.10 | 1.51% |
FAQ
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