- Bullish trend confirmed on both short and long timeframes
- Trading above its 200-day moving average
- Lower volatility than the market (beta 0.83)
Stronger technical forecast for MARKET VECTORS RETAIL ETF price after Thursday trading
(Updated on Jun 18, 2026)
The MARKET VECTORS RETAIL ETF price gained 0.517% on the last trading day (Thursday, 18th Jun 2026), rising from $255.45 to $256.77. During the last trading day the ETF fluctuated 0.490% from a day low at $256.02 to a day high of $257.28. The price has been going up and down for this period, and there has been a 0.01% gain for the last 2 weeks. Volume fell on the last day by -686 shares and in total, 3 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately $835.28 thousand. You should take into consideration that falling volume on higher prices causes divergence and may be an early warning about possible changes over the next couple of days.
The ETF lies in the lower part of a weak rising trend in the short term, and this may normally pose a very good buying opportunity. If the lower trend floor at $254.59 is broken, it will firstly indicate a slower rate of rising, but may also be an early warning for a trend shift. Given the current short-term trend, the ETF is expected to rise 2.56% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $261.10 and $280.64 at the end of this 3-month period.
RTH Signals & Forecast
The MARKET VECTORS RETAIL ETF holds sell signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a more negative forecast for the ETF. Also, there is a general sell signal from the relation between the two signals where the long-term average is above the short-term average. On corrections up, there will be some resistance from the lines at $259.26 and $261.91. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. Volume fell during the last trading day while the price increased. This causes a divergence and may be considered as an early warning, but it may also not. Some positive signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Tuesday, June 02, 2026, and so far it has risen 1.38%. Further rise is indicated until a new top pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD).
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for MARKET VECTORS RETAIL ETF
MARKET VECTORS RETAIL finds support from accumulated volume at $254.07 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
In general the ETF tends to have very controlled movements and therefore the general risk is considered very low. However, be aware of low or falling volume and make sure to keep an eye on the ETF During the last day, the ETF moved $1.26 between high and low, or 0.490%. For the last week the ETF has had daily average volatility of 1.04%
Our recommended stop-loss: $242.91 (-5.40%) (This ETF has very low daily movements and this gives very low risk. There is a buy signal from a pivot bottom found 12 days ago.)
Trading Expectations (RTH) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Monday 22nd
For the upcoming trading day on Monday, 22nd we expect MARKET VECTORS RETAIL ETF to open at $256.69, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $255.31 and $258.23, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$2.92 (+/-1.14%) up or down from last closing price. If MARKET VECTORS RETAIL ETF takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 1.14% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at $258.18 (0.55%) than the support at $254.07 (1.05%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.
Is MARKET VECTORS RETAIL ETF ETF A Buy?
Several of the signals/indicators are negative, and we believe that this will affect on the development for the next days and maybe possible weeks. However, over time, we think that today's level holds a possible buying opportunity and that the price will be higher during or at the end of this 3-month period. We have upgraded our analysis conclusion for this ETF since the last evaluation from a Sell to a Buy candidate.
Current score:
1.687
Buy Candidate
Upgraded
Predicted Fair Opening Price
Predicted fair opening price on June 22, 2026 - $256.69 ( 0.0326%).
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RTH Performance
Trading levels for RTH
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |
|---|---|---|
| R3 | 257.94 | 0.456% |
| R2 | 257.46 | 0.269% |
| R1 | 257.17 | 0.154% |
| Price | 256.77 | |
| S1 | 256.21 | -0.219% |
| S2 | 255.91 | -0.335% |
| S3 | 255.43 | -0.521% |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |
|---|---|---|
| R3 | 267.07 | 4.01% |
| R2 | 266.55 | 3.81% |
| R1 | 258.18 | 0.547% |
| Price | 256.77 | |
| S1 | 254.07 | -1.05% |
| S2 | 252.41 | -1.70% |
| S3 | 251.52 | -2.05% |
RTH Dividend Payout History
| # | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dec 19, 2025 | Dec 22, 2025 | Dec 26, 2025 | $2.42 | 0.97% |
| 2 | Dec 20, 2024 | Dec 23, 2024 | Dec 24, 2024 | $1.73 | 0.755% |
| 3 | Dec 15, 2023 | Dec 18, 2023 | Dec 22, 2023 | $2.01 | 1.07% |
| 4 | Dec 16, 2022 | Dec 19, 2022 | Dec 23, 2022 | $1.85 | 1.15% |
| 5 | Dec 17, 2021 | Dec 20, 2021 | Dec 27, 2021 | $1.52 | 0.789% |
FAQ
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