Simmons First National Stock Forecast

Sell candidate since Nov 13, 2025 Loss -3.14%

The Simmons First National Corporation stock price fell by -3.79% on the last day (Monday, 17th Nov 2025) from $17.94 to $17.26. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 4.00% from a day low at $17.24 to a day high of $17.93. The price has risen in 6 of the last 10 days but is still down by -0.46% for this period. Volume has increased on the last day by 149 thousand shares but on falling prices. This may be an early warning and the risk will be increased slightly over the next couple of days. In total, 752 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately $12.98 million.

The stock lies in the middle of a falling trend in the short term and further fall within the trend is signaled. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to fall -17.27% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $13.64 and $14.97 at the end of this 3-month period. Do note, that if the stock price manages to stay at current levels or higher, our prediction target will start to change positively over the next few days as the conditions for the current predictions will be broken.

SFNC Signals & Forecast

A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Wednesday, October 29, 2025, and so far it has fallen 0%. Further rise is indicated until a new top pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. The Simmons First National Corporation stock holds sell signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a more negative forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general sell signal from the relation between the two signals where the long-term average is above the short-term average. On corrections up, there will be some resistance from the lines at $17.89 and $18.26. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. Volume rose on falling prices yesterday. This may be an early warning and the stock should be followed more closely.

Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Simmons First National Corporation stock

There is no support from accumulated volume below today's level and given the right condition the stock may perform very badly in the next couple of days.

In general the stock tends to have very controlled movements and with good liquidity the risk is considered very low in this stock. During the last day, the stock moved $0.690 between high and low, or 4.00%. For the last week the stock has had daily average volatility of 2.39%.

Our recommended stop-loss: We hold a negative evaluation for this stock. No stop-loss is set.

Trading Expectations (SFNC) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Tuesday 18th

For the upcoming trading day on Tuesday, 18th we expect Simmons First National Corporation to open at $17.48, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $17.03 and $17.49, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$0.458 (+/-2.69%) up or down from last closing price. If Simmons First National Corporation takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 2.69% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.

With no support below and resistance from accumulated volume @ $17.78, some $0.520 (3.01%) from the current price of $17.26, our system finds the risk reward not very attractive.

Dividend Warning For SFNC

Dividend coming up for SFNC: Ex-dividend date (Monday 15th December, 2025) is 26 days away. The dividend is $0.210.

Is Simmons First National Corporation stock A Buy?

Simmons First National Corporation holds several negative signals and is within a falling trend, so we believe it will still perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold a negative evaluation of this stock.

Current score: -1.519 Sell Candidate Unchanged

Predicted Fair Opening Price

Predicted fair opening price on November 18, 2025 - $17.48 ( 1.26%).

Want to trade but not sure how? Our step-by-step guide can help.
Skip the guide? Open account with our trusted broker*
*Your capital is at risk