Shopify Stock Forecast

Buy or Hold candidate since Jun 24, 2026 Gain 2.36%

The Shopify stock price gained 4.69% on the last trading day (Friday, 26th Jun 2026), rising from $111.62 to $116.86. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 5.15% from a day low at $112.10 to a day high of $117.87. The price has been going up and down for this period, and there has been a 5.78% gain for the last 2 weeks. Volume fell on the last day by -8 million shares and in total, 0 shares were bought and sold for approximately $0 . You should take into consideration that falling volume on higher prices causes divergence and may be an early warning about possible changes over the next couple of days.

The stock lies in the middle of a very wide and falling trend in the short term and further fall within the trend is signaled. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to fall -9.37% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $80.77 and $113.57 at the end of this 3-month period. Do note, that if the stock price manages to stay at current levels or higher, our prediction target will start to change positively over the next few days as the conditions for the current predictions will be broken.

SHOP Signals & Forecast

The Shopify stock holds buy signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a positive forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general buy signal from the relation between the two signals where the short-term average is above the long-term average. On corrections down, there will be some support from the lines at $110.75 and $108.80. A breakdown below any of these levels will issue sell signals. A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Thursday, June 25, 2026, and so far it has risen 4.69%. Further rise is indicated until a new top pivot has been found. Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume fell during the last trading day while the price increased. This causes a divergence and may be considered as an early warning, but it may not be. The very low volume increases the risk and reduces the other technical signals issued.

Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Shopify stock

Shopify finds support from accumulated volume at $111.74 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.

In general the stock tends to have very controlled movements and therefore the general risk is considered very low. However, be aware of low or falling volume and make sure to keep an eye on the stock During the last day, the stock moved $5.77 between high and low, or 5.15%. For the last week the stock has had daily average volatility of 4.88%

Our recommended stop-loss: $112.77 (-3.50%) (This stock has very low daily movements and this gives very low risk. There is a buy signal from a pivot bottom found 1 day ago.)

Trading Expectations (SHOP) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Monday 29th

For the upcoming trading day on Monday, 29th we expect Shopify Inc to open at $115.61, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $114.08 and $119.64, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$5.56 (+/-4.87%) up or down from last closing price. If Shopify Inc takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 4.87% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.

Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at $118.71 (1.58%) than the support at $111.74 (4.38%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.

Is Shopify Inc stock A Buy?

Shopify holds several positive signals, but we still don't find these to be enough for a buy candidate. At the current level, it should be considered as a hold candidate (hold or accumulate) in this position whilst awaiting further development.

Current score: 0.099 Hold/Accumulate Unchanged

Predicted Fair Opening Price

Predicted fair opening price on June 29, 2026 - $115.61 ( 1.07%).

Want to trade but not sure how? Our step-by-step guide can help.
Skip the guide? Open account with our trusted broker*
*Your capital is at risk