SPDR SSGA US Small Cap Low Volatility ETF Forecast

Weaker technical forecast for SPDR SSGA US Small Cap Low Volatility as ETF downgraded to Sell Candidate.
(Updated on Apr 19, 2024)

SMLV Signals & Forecast

A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Wednesday, April 17, 2024, and so far it has risen 2.34%. Further rise is indicated until a new top pivot has been found. SPDR SSGA US Small Cap Low Volatility has increased volume and follows the last lift in the price. This is considered to be a technical positive sign as volume should follow the price-formation. Higher liquidity also reduces the general risk. Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. The SPDR SSGA US Small Cap Low Volatility ETF holds a buy signal from the short-term Moving Average; at the same time, however, the long-term average holds a general sell signal. Since the longterm average is above the short-term average there is a general sell signal in the ETF giving a more negative forecast for the stock. On further gains, the ETF will meet resistance from the long-term Moving Average at $108.06. On a fall, the ETF will find some support from the short-term average at $104.62. A break-up through the long-term average will give another buy signal, while a fall below the short-term average will add another sell signal and strengthen the general signal. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). The ETF had a Golden Star Signal on Tuesday, July 11, 2023 in the long-term chart.

Golden Star Signal is when the short-term moving average, the long-term moving average, and price line meet in a special combination. This combination is very rare and often followed by long and strong gains for the ETF in question.

Support, Risk & Stop-loss for SPDR SSGA US Small Cap Low Volatility ETF

SPDR SSGA US Small Cap Low Volatility finds support from accumulated volume at $104.79 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.

This ETF is usually traded at a good volume, and with minor daily changes, the risk is considered to be low. During the last day, the ETF moved $3.02 (2.92%) between high and low. For the last week, the ETF has had daily average volatility of 1.33%.

Our recommended stop-loss: We hold a negative evaluation for this stock. No stop-loss is set.

Trading Expectations (SMLV) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Monday 22nd

For the upcoming trading day on Monday, 22nd we expect SPDR SSGA US Small Cap Low Volatility Index ETF to open at $105.40, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $104.72 and $107.46, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$1.37 (+/-1.29%) up or down from last closing price. If SPDR SSGA US Small Cap Low Volatility Index ETF takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 2.58% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.

Since the stock is closer to the support from accumulated volume at $104.79 (1.23%) than the resistance at $108.41 (2.19%), our systems sees the trading risk/reward intra-day as attractive and believe profit can be made before the stock reaches first resistance..

Is SPDR SSGA US Small Cap Low Volatility Index ETF ETF A Buy?

SPDR SSGA US Small Cap Low Volatility holds several negative signals and we believe that it will still perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We, therefore, hold a negative evaluation of this ETF. Due to some small weaknesses in the technical picture we have downgraded our analysis conclusion for this ETF since the last evaluation from a Hold/Accumulate to a Sell candidate.

Current score: -1.056 Sell Candidate Downgraded

Predicted Opening Price for SPDR SSGA US Small Cap Low Volatility Index ETF of Monday, April 22, 2024

The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.