Savara Inc Stock Forecast
Savara Inc stock price took a fall of -7.33% on Tuesday
(Updated on Jul 02, 2024)
The Savara Inc stock price fell by -7.33% on the last day (Tuesday, 2nd Jul 2024) from $4.64 to $4.30. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 9.32% from a day low at $4.29 to a day high of $4.69. The price has been going up and down for this period, and there has been a 11.11% gain for the last 2 weeks. Volume fell on the last day along with the stock, which is actually a good sign as volume should follow the stock. On the last day, the trading volume fell by -3 million shares and in total, 2 million shares were bought and sold for approximately $9.30 million.
The stock lies in the middle of a very wide and falling trend in the short term and further fall within the trend is signaled. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to fall -20.13% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $2.83 and $3.69 at the end of this 3-month period. Do note, that if the stock price manages to stay at current levels or higher, our prediction target will start to change positively over the next few days as the conditions for the current predictions will be broken.
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SVRA Signals & Forecast
The Savara Inc stock holds buy signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a positive forecast for the stock, but the stock has a general sell signal from the relation between the two signals where the long-term average is above the short-term average. On corrections down, there will be some support from the lines at $4.01 and $4.15. A breakdown below any of these levels will issue sell signals. Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Monday, July 01, 2024, and so far it has fallen -7.33%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Volume fell together with the price during the last trading day and this reduces the overall risk as volume should follow the price movements.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Savara Inc stock
On the downside, the stock finds support just below today's level from accumulated volume at $4.03 and $3.84. There is a natural risk involved when a stock is testing a support level, since if this is broken, the stock then may fall to the next support level. In this case, Savara Inc finds support just below today's level at $4.03. If this is broken, then the next support from accumulated volume will be at $3.84 and $3.81.
This stock has average movements during the day and with good trading volume, the risk is considered to be medium. During the last day, the stock moved $0.400 between high and low, or 9.32%. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 14.56%.
Our recommended stop-loss: $4.05 (-5.92%) (This stock has medium daily movements and this gives medium risk. There is a sell signal from a pivot top found 6 days ago.)
Trading Expectations (SVRA) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Wednesday 3rd
For the upcoming trading day on Wednesday, 3rd we expect Savara Inc to open at $4.43, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $3.96 and $4.64, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$0.344 (+/-7.99%) up or down from last closing price. If Savara Inc takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 15.98% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the support from accumulated volume at $4.03 (6.28%) than the resistance at $4.64 (7.91%), our systems sees the trading risk/reward intra-day as attractive and believe profit can be made before the stock reaches first resistance..
Is Savara Inc stock A Buy?
Savara Inc holds several positive signals, but we still don't find these to be enough for a buy candidate. At the current level, it should be considered as a hold candidate (hold or accumulate) in this position whilst awaiting further development. Due to some small weaknesses in the technical picture we have downgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Buy to a Hold/Accumulate candidate.
Current score: 0.477 Hold/Accumulate Downgraded
Predicted Opening Price for Savara Inc of Wednesday, July 3, 2024
| Fair opening price July 3, 2024 | Current price |
|---|---|
| $4.43 ( 2.95%) | $4.30 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for SVRA
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |
|---|---|---|
| R3 | 4.83 | 12.25% |
| R2 | 4.67 | 8.69% |
| R1 | 4.58 | 6.50% |
| Price | 4.30 | |
| S1 | 4.27 | -0.608% |
| S2 | 4.18 | -2.80% |
| S3 | 4.03 | -6.36% |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |
|---|---|---|
| R3 | 5.16 | 20.00% |
| R2 | 4.95 | 15.12% |
| R1 | 4.64 | 7.91% |
| Price | 4.30 | |
| S1 | 4.03 | -6.28% |
| S2 | 3.84 | -10.70% |
| S3 | 3.81 | -11.40% |
FAQ
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