Swedbank Ab (publ) Stock Forecast

Buy or Hold candidate since Jun 26, 2026 Gain 9.32%

The Swedbank AB (publ) stock price gained 0.200% on the last trading day (Friday, 31st Jul 2026), rising from $39.97 to $40.05. It has now gained 3 days in a row. It will be exciting to see whether it manages to continue gaining or take a minor break for the next few days. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 1.12% from a day low at $39.71 to a day high of $40.16. The price has risen in 7 of the last 10 days and is up by 7.26% over the past 2 weeks. Volume has increased on the last day along with the price, which is a positive technical sign, and, in total, 564 more shares were traded than the day before. In total, 2 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately $96.84 thousand.

The stock lies in the upper part of a strong rising trend in the short term, and this may normally pose a very good selling opportunity for the short-term trader as reaction back towards the lower part of the trend can be expected. A break-up at the top trend line at $40.06 will firstly indicate a stronger rate of rising. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to rise 11.45% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $42.01 and $44.65 at the end of this 3-month period.

SWDBY Signals & Forecast

The Swedbank AB (publ) stock holds buy signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a positive forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general buy signal from the relation between the two signals where the short-term average is above the long-term average. On corrections down, there will be some support from the lines at $38.82 and $37.70. A breakdown below any of these levels will issue sell signals. A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Wednesday, June 10, 2026, and so far it has risen 13.36%. Further rise is indicated until a new top pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Swedbank AB (publ) has increased volume and follows the last lift in the price. This is considered to be a technical positive sign as volume should follow the price-formation. The very low volume increases the risk and reduces the other technical signals issued.

Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Swedbank AB (publ) stock

On the downside, the stock finds support just below today's level from accumulated volume at $38.02 and $37.06. There is a natural risk involved when a stock is testing a support level, since if this is broken, the stock then may fall to the next support level. In this case, Swedbank AB (publ) finds support just below today's level at $38.02. If this is broken, then the next support from accumulated volume will be at $37.06 and $35.33.

In general the stock tends to have very controlled movements and with good liquidity the risk is considered very low in this stock. During the last day, the stock moved $0.445 between high and low, or 1.12%. For the last week the stock has had daily average volatility of 1.15%.

Our recommended stop-loss: $38.62 (-3.56%) (This stock has very low daily movements and this gives very low risk. There is a buy signal from a pivot bottom found 35 days ago.)

Trading Expectations (SWDBY) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Monday 3rd

For the upcoming trading day on Monday, 3rd we expect Swedbank AB (publ) to open at $39.97, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $39.72 and $40.38, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$0.663 (+/-1.67%) up or down from last closing price. If Swedbank AB (publ) takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 1.67% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.

With no resistance above and support from accumulated volume @ $38.02, some $2.03 (5.07%) from the current price of $40.05, our system finds the risk reward attractive.

Is Swedbank AB (publ) stock A Buy?

Swedbank AB (publ) holds several positive signals, but we still don't find these to be enough for a buy candidate. At the current level, it should be considered as a hold candidate (hold or accumulate) in this position whilst awaiting further development.

Current score: 0.000 Hold/Accumulate Unchanged

Zero in score indicates that our system is expecting high volatility and risk for the following trading day. Given the latest developments, we cannot determine the next direction as it may go both ways.

Predicted Fair Opening Price

Predicted fair opening price on August 3, 2026 - $39.97 ( 0.196%).

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